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Mariehamn v VPS : Veikkausliiga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn

Jussi Nuorela is aiming for a vital away win in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday evening, as he takes his VPS side to the Wiklöf Holding Arena to visit Mariehamn and Gary Williams. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. All can be selected using the tabs below.

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Mariehamn's next match is v Seinäjoki at 10:00 on Saturday 28th June
VPS's next match is v Oulu at 21:00 on Saturday 28th June
The last Finnish Veikkausliiga meeting between Mariehamn and Vaasan was on Saturday 14th June 2025
Finnish Veikkausliiga
June 14th 2025
Mariehamn 1
5 Vaasan
 
C. Okereke 72'6' O. Jakonen
54' M. Fall
57' O. Jakonen
66' P. Ahiabu
80' M. Fall
 
MAR
VPS
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
9
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
10
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
MariehamnVaasan
 
D. Ayrton Garcia Silva
E. Toivonen
D. Enqvist (J. Nissinen 74')
C. Okerekefootball icon
P. Lindgren
N. Kujasalo
J. van der Heyden (E. Patut 65')
S. Dahlström (A. Muskwe 74')
M. Olawale (A. Lundberg 85')
J. Reid (K. Adedoyin 65')
H. Santos Cardoso
R. Leislahti
(M. Ita Etok 44') T. Dekker
(N. Fleuriau Chateau 69') P. Almeida Gomes
M. Niemi
M. Haukioja
football iconP. Ahiabu
football iconfootball iconM. Fall
(K. Huhta 85') A. Cicale
A. Räisänen
(A. Almen 85') Y. El Ouatki
(J. Lakkamäki 69') football iconfootball iconO. Jakonen

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Veikkausliiga tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Vaasan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mariehamn
27%
12/5750/1
Draw
22%
23/10750/1
Vaasan
51%
1/11/1000
Draw 1-1
9%
11/217/4
Vaasan 2-1
9%
8/117/4
Vaasan 1-0
7%
15/2
7%
9/4
Vaasan 2-0
7%
9/12/1
Mariehamn 2-1
7%
11/1
13%
14/1
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1
13%
14/1
Vaasan 3-1
6%
14/14/1
Mariehamn 1-0
5%
11/117/2
Vaasan 3-0
4%
18/111/8
Vaasan 3-2
4%
22/116/1
Draw 0-0
3%
11/1
9%
17/2
Mariehamn 2-0
3%
18/114/1
Mariehamn 3-1
3%
25/133/1
Mariehamn 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
40/1
Vaasan 4-1
3%
33/13/5
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
4/51/3
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
1/12/1
Home 1st Goal
46%
7/5
4%
13/10
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/133/4
No 1st Goal
2%
11/1
9%
17/2
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/6
3%
2/1
BTTS - No
35%
11/10
3%
7/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/2
6%
125/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3
5%
70/1
BTTS - Away Win
30%
3/11/1000
Home/draw
49%
4/670/1
Away/draw
73%
2/71/1000
Home/away
78%
3/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/4
2%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
11/4
7%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
2/11/2
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/1111/8
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
5/1
8%
13/20
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/8
2%
11/10
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
12/1
15%
6/5
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/25
1%
4/7
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
11/1
18%
8/1
Home DNB
43%
6/4
8%
29/20
Away DNB
66%
1/2
2%
1/2
Mariehamn win to nil
10%
11/2-
Vaasan win to nil
21%
11/4
5%
-
Mariehamn / Mariehamn
14%
9/2
7%
66/1
Mariehamn / Vaasan
4%
22/1100/1
Mariehamn / Draw
6%
14/190/1
Draw / Mariehamn
10%
13/225/1
Draw / Vaasan
16%
9/2
5%
18/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
9%
16/1
Vaasan / Mariehamn
3%
28/112/1
Vaasan / Vaasan
26%
9/41/3
Vaasan / Draw
6%
12/14/1
Win / draw / win form
Mariehamn 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Vaasan 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Vaasan have not lost to Mariehamn in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mariehamn since 2018
Mariehamn
Vaasan
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
MAR
1
D
3
VPS
2
League games at Vaasan since 2018
Vaasan
Mariehamn
Goals: Scored
12
8
Games: Scored
6 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
0 / 6
MAR
1
D
1
VPS
4
Goal Statistics
Mariehamn 9th Vaasan 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Mariehamn will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Vaasan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Mariehamn have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
Vaasan have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Veikkausliiga - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/292608/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Mariehamn
PG (predicted goals)
Vaasan
1.4
2
Attack rating
MAR
VPS
10%
better
view stats
Games scored7
7
Failed to score3
2
Scored first6
3
Goals scored11
14
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for16
23
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
MAR
VPS
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded20
14
Avg. goals conceded2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded13
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
18%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+13%

Mariehamn v Vaasan Veikkausliiga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mariehamn Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12333
N KujasaloC. OkerekeH. Santos CardosoE. Toivonen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Silva GLK1
-
E. Toivonen DEF101
3
-
P Lindgren DEF11
3
-
C. Okereke DEF103
-
D Enqvist DEF91
1
-
S Dahlström MID123
-
N Kujasalo MID1211
1
-
J. van der Heyden MID3
-
H. Santos Cardoso FWD123
1
-
M Olawale FWD103
1
-
J Reid  FWD41
-
Subs
J Viitala GLK6
-
M Fonsell DEF6
1
-
J Nissinen DEF101
1
-
A Huttunen MID111
-
E Patut MID1211
2
-
L Andersson MID9
-
A Muskwe FWD5
-
A Lundberg FWD6
-
Vaasan Veikkausliiga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11534
M HaukiojaM. FallP AhiabuP Ahiabu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Leislahti GLK7
-
P Justiniano  DEF5
1
-
M Haukioja DEF11
1
-
M Niemi DEF6
1
-
T Dekker DEF8
1
-
P Ahiabu MID1013
3
1
A Räisänen MID101
1
-
A. Cicale MID1111
-
Y Ouatki MID1113
2
-
M. Fall MID115
3
-
O Jakonen FWD731
1
-
Subs
E. Ehrnrooth GLK
-
J. Lakkamäki DEF61
-
M. Deng DEF
-
M. Ita Etok MID41
1
-
A Almen MID2
-
N. Fleuriau Chateau FWD1022
-