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Ajaccio v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

Caen are away from home on Friday evening, as manager Ostap Markevych takes his team to visit Ajaccio and Mathieu Chabert at the Stade François-Coty in the Ligue 2. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while there's also head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Ajaccio's next match is v Clermont at 19:00 on Friday 31st January
Caen's next match is v Troyes at 13:00 on Saturday 1st February
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Ajaccio and Caen was on Friday 17th January 2025
French Ligue 2
January 17th 2025
Ajaccio 2
1 Caen
 
A. Bamba 70'62' A. Mendy
A. Kanté 84'
 
AJC
CAE
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
6
1
Corners
10
1
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
16
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
AjaccioCaen
 
F. Sollacaro
T. Strata
C. Vidal
A. Bambafootball icon
K. Kouassi
T. Jabol Folcarelli
M. Barreto (M. Puchherrantz 80')
J. Anziani
V. Jacob (A. Kanté 26')
M. Soumano (I. Chegra 80')
C. Ibayi (B. Santelli 71')
A. Mandrea
(D. Bolumbu 86') Q. Lecoeuche
L. Sy
B. Traoré
A. Moucketou Moussounda
(M. Le Bihan 46') L. Rajot
B. Brahimi
N. Lebreton
(L. Milliner 87') G. Kyeremeh
(T. Gomis 80') I. Najim
football iconA. Mendy

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this fixture will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Ajaccio and Caen have seldom been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Ligue 2 individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajaccio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajaccio
45%
11/8
17%
13/10
16%
Draw
28%
2/1
3%
15/8
1%
Caen
27%
21/10
19%
2/1
22%
Ajaccio 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
9%
19/4
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
7%
11/2
Caen 1-0
10%
15/2
21%
13/2
15%
Ajaccio 2-0
9%
10/1
15%
17/2
14%
Ajaccio 2-1
9%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
Caen 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Caen 2-0
5%
14/1
25%
12/1
30%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Ajaccio 3-0
4%
22/1
21%
16/1
19%
Ajaccio 3-1
4%
20/1
19%
14/1
21%
Caen 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
24%
Ajaccio 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Caen 3-0
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Caen 3-2
1%
40/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
5/4
4%
6/5
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/13
3%
11/20
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5
20%
23/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
25%
1/1
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2
7%
11/2
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/1119/20
BTTS - No
54%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
15%
4/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Home/draw
73%
4/11
9%
1/3
11%
Away/draw
55%
8/15
9%
11/20
11%
Home/away
72%
4/11
3%
4/11
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
7/413/8
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
14/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/161/20
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
14%
5/1
Home DNB
65%
8/13
15%
8/13
17%
Away DNB
46%
6/5
22%
23/20
23%
Ajaccio win to nil
28%
11/4
13%
-
Caen win to nil
16%
4/1
25%
-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio
20%
3/1
16%
14/5
17%
Ajaccio / Caen
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Ajaccio / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Ajaccio
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
13%
Draw / Caen
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
18%
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
4%
3/1
Caen / Ajaccio
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Caen / Caen
16%
4/1
15%
4/1
19%
Caen / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Ajaccio have conceded 22 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 9 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Caen lay in 16th place on 15 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches. Caen have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Caen have conceded 0 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Caen have played 8 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajaccio
Caen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Metz2010731637 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 22
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
2
Lorient1911441437 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
3
Guingamp2011271135 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
Paris FC191045934 
l
 
0-2A
May 10
l
 
0-2A
Mar 29
5
Lavallois209651133 
Feb 14
d
 
1-1F
Mar 7
l
 
1-0A
6
Dunkerque191036433 
Feb 28
l
 
1-0A
Feb 10
l
 
3-1A
7
Annecy19964433 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1A
Feb 17
8
Pau20776128 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
9
Grenoble20839-227 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
10
Bastia205114426 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
11
Amiens208210-726 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
12
Clermont19667-324 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
13
Rodez20659-223 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3A
Apr 12
14
Red Star19649-1222 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
May 3
d
 
2-2F
15
Troyes206311-421 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
16
Ajaccio Home206311-1021 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
17
Caen Away204313-1015 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
18
Martigues204313-2415 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
Apr 19
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajaccio 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Caen 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Ajaccio have beaten Caen in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Ajaccio since 2019
Ajaccio
Caen
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
AJC
3
CAE
1
League games at Caen since 2020
Caen
Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
7
1
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
AJC
1
CAE
4
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Ajaccio of late. It has been 6 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against Caen.

Ajaccio 16th Caen 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Caen scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Caen’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279884/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajaccio
PG (predicted goals)
Caen
1.3
1
Attack rating
AJC
CAE
29%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score10
7
Scored first5
7
Goals scored11
18
Avg. goals scored0.6
1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal12
8
Conversion rate for8
12
Avg. XG for0.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
9%
better
AJC
CAE
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first12
11
Goals conceded23
26
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+9%

Ajaccio v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19426
F SollacaroM SoumanoM BarretoB Santelli
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Sollacaro GLK19
4
-
C Vidal DEF14
4
-
T Strata DEF1611
1
-
A Bamba  DEF171
4
-
K. Kouassi DEF101
1
V Jacob MID61
-
T Folcarelli MID131
2
1
J Anziani MID201
3
-
M Barreto MID1422
4
-
C. Ibayi FWD1921
5
-
M Soumano FWD194
2
-
Subs
G Quilichini GLK1
-
M Huard DEF101
1
1
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF17
4
-
M Puchherrantz MID15
1
I Chegra MID12
3
-
A Kanté FWD1121
-
B Santelli FWD10
5
1
Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18835
R ThomasA MendyB BrahimiQ Lecoeuche
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Mandréa GLK14
-
A Moucketou-Moussounda DEF2
-
B Traoré DEF121
1
-
Q Lecoeuche DEF15
5
-
L Sy DEF4
-
G Kyeremeh MID19
1
-
B Brahimi MID1943
2
-
N Lebreton MID202
3
-
L Rajot MID181
4
-
I Najim MID51
-
A Mendy FWD1881
2
-
Subs
Y Clementia GLK6
-
R Thomas DEF181
1
-
D Bolumbu DEF13
2
-
L. Milliner MID5
1
-
G. Tomé MID2
-
T. Gomis FWD2022
-
M Bihan FWD181
-