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Ajaccio v Lorient : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade François-Coty, Ajaccio

Olivier Pantaloni pays counterpart Mathieu Chabert a visit on Friday evening in the Ligue 2, as their Lorient and Ajaccio teams go head to head at the Stade François-Coty. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Ajaccio and Lorient was on Friday 2nd May 2025
French Ligue 2
May 2nd 2025
Ajaccio 2
1 Lorient
 
J. Anziani 24'84' P. Pagis
B. Touré 68'
 
AJC
LOR
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
2
8
Corners
6
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
8
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
AjaccioLorient
 
G. Quilichini
K. Kouassi
T. Strata
A. Bamba
M. Huard (J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze 66')
C. Vidal
M. Barreto
J. Anzianifootball icon
T. Mangani (E. Pereira da Silva 72')
B. Touréfootball icon (A. Kanté 72')
B. Santelli
B. Leroy
F. Mendy
D. Yongwa Ngameni
G. Kalulu Kyatengwa
J. Laporte
(P. Pagis 63') J. Ponceau
(A. Ebong Avon 63') J. Makengo
L. Abergel
(S. Diarra 70') J. Mvuka
(E. Kroupi 46') T. Aiyegun
(Mohamed Bamba 63') S. Soumano

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Ajaccio and Lorient have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Lorient coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajaccio
28%
4/1
17%
-
Draw
27%
11/4
1%
-
Lorient
46%
4/6
6%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
7%
-
Lorient 1-0
12%
6/1
27%
-
Ajaccio 1-0
9%
12/1-
Lorient 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
9/1
18%
-
Lorient 2-0
9%
7/1
23%
-
Ajaccio 2-1
7%
14/1
21%
-
Ajaccio 2-0
5%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
19%
-
Lorient 3-1
4%
14/1-
Lorient 3-0
4%
12/1
18%
-
Ajaccio 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Lorient 3-2
2%
25/1
24%
-
Ajaccio 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Ajaccio 3-2
2%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
19/20
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
17/20
9%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
2/1
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/9
3%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
5/6
17%
-
BTTS - No
51%
5/6
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
17/2
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
11/4
13%
-
Home/draw
55%
23/20
7%
-
Away/draw
72%
1/6
4%
-
Home/away
73%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
5/2
17%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
12/5
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
3/10
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
11/2
19%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/9
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/20
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
29%
-
Home DNB
46%
5/2
19%
-
Away DNB
64%
2/7
8%
-
Ajaccio win to nil
16%
7/1
11%
-
Lorient win to nil
27%
7/4
22%
-
Ajaccio / Ajaccio
9%
15/2
23%
-
Ajaccio / Lorient
4%
22/1-
Ajaccio / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw / Ajaccio
8%
9/1
17%
-
Draw / Lorient
19%
7/2
13%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2-
Lorient / Ajaccio
2%
40/1-
Lorient / Lorient
33%
13/8
9%
-
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Ajaccio have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Ajaccio have conceded 31 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Ajaccio have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 1st place on 68 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 5 and losing 6 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Ajaccio
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient Away3422573771 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
Paris FC3421672269 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
3
Metz34181153065 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
4
Dunkerque3417512756 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Guingamp34174131255 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
6
Annecy3414911-151 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-2A
d
 
0-00-0
7
Lavallois3414812650 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
8
Bastia3411158648 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
9
Grenoble3413714-146 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
10
Troyes3413516244 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Amiens3413417-1243 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
12
Ajaccio Home3412616-1242 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
13
Pau34101212-1442 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Rodez3491213239 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3F
15
Red Star3491114-1438 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
16
Clermont3471215-1633 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
17
Martigues349520-2732 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Caen345722-2722 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Ajaccio 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajaccio1 - 1Pau
Ajaccio2 - 1Amiens
Ajaccio2 - 1Red Star
Ajaccio1 - 2Dunkerque
Ajaccio3 - 0Lavallois
Ajaccio0 - 3Guingamp
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Ajaccio1 - 2Annecy
Ajaccio0 - 2Paris FC
Ajaccio0 - 0Bastia
Ajaccio2 - 0Clermont
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Ajaccio1 - 1Martigues
Ajaccio2 - 0Grenoble
Ajaccio2 - 1Troyes
Ajaccio1 - 0Rodez
Ajaccio1 - 2Grenoble
Ajaccio1 - 1Quevillaise.
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Ajaccio2 - 0St Etienne
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjaccio0 - 2Annecy
HAjaccio1 - 1Pau
AAjaccio0 - 0Troyes
HAjaccio2 - 1Amiens
AAjaccio0 - 2Martigues
HAjaccio2 - 1Red Star
AAjaccio2 - 2Grenoble
HAjaccio1 - 2Dunkerque
AAjaccio1 - 0Metz
HAjaccio3 - 0Lavallois
HAjaccio0 - 3Guingamp
AAjaccio1 - 0Clermont
AAjaccio2 - 1Rodez
HAjaccio2 - 1Caen
AAjaccio0 - 4Bastia
HAjaccio1 - 2Annecy
AAjaccio0 - 1Pau
HAjaccio0 - 2Paris FC
HAjaccio0 - 0Bastia
AAjaccio0 - 1Dunkerque
Lorient 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Annecy0 - 0Lorient
Guingamp1 - 2Lorient
Grenoble1 - 2Lorient
Paris FC3 - 2Lorient
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Red Star1 - 2Lorient
Dunkerque0 - 1Lorient
Lavallois2 - 0Lorient
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Clermont2 - 1Lorient
Rodez3 - 3Lorient
Caen1 - 2Lorient
Pau1 - 0Lorient
Metz1 - 1Lorient
Amiens1 - 0Lorient
Martigues0 - 1Lorient
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Lens2 - 0Lorient
Nice3 - 0Lorient
Montpellier2 - 0Lorient
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLorient4 - 0Caen
ALorient0 - 0Annecy
ALorient2 - 1Guingamp
HLorient5 - 0Pau
ALorient2 - 1Grenoble
HLorient4 - 0Bastia
ALorient2 - 3Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Rodez
HLorient0 - 1Lavallois
ALorient1 - 0Troyes
HLorient3 - 1Amiens
ALorient2 - 1Red Star
HLorient3 - 2Clermont
ALorient1 - 0Dunkerque
HLorient0 - 0Metz
ALorient0 - 2Lavallois
HLorient2 - 0Paris FC
HLorient2 - 0Troyes
ALorient0 - 0Bastia
HLorient3 - 1Guingamp
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lorient have beaten Ajaccio in 3 consecutive league meetings
3
Lorient have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Ajaccio
League games at Ajaccio since 2013
Ajaccio
Lorient
Goals: Scored
5
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
AJC
2
D
1
LOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
0 - 1Lorient
Ajaccio1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ajaccio3 - 2
1 - 2Lorient
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
10
0
Games: Scored
5 / 6
0 / 6
Clean sheets
6 / 6
1 / 6
D
1
LOR
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Lorient3 - 0
Lorient3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lorient1 - 0
Lorient2 - 0
Lorient1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Lorient's defensive record is very strong, Olivier Pantaloni's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Ajaccio makes sense in this context.

Ajaccio 12th Lorient 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ajaccio will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 59% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Ajaccio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Lorient have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280010/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PG (predicted goals)
0
0
Attack rating
%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
%
Defence rating
%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
%

Ajaccio v Lorient Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29647
A Bamba A KantéM BarretoC Vidal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Quilichini GLK5
-
T Strata DEF2712
2
-
A Bamba  DEF293
5
-
C Vidal DEF26
7
-
M Huard DEF221
4
1
K. Kouassi DEF231
3
2
M Barreto MID2424
6
-
T Mangani  MID171
6
-
J Anziani MID3341
4
-
B Touré FWD193
2
-
B Santelli FWD2311
6
1
Subs
F Sollacaro GLK28
5
-
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF24
6
-
T Campanini DEF
-
V Jacob MID51
-
I Chegra MID19
3
-
A Kanté FWD2461
-
E. Pereira da Silva FWD212
2
1
Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
322287
Y Mvogo E KroupiA Tosin L Abergel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Leroy GLK1
-
G Kalulu DEF20
2
-
J Laporte DEF212
4
-
F Mendy DEF211
2
-
D Yongwa DEF3216
6
-
J Mvuka MID293
-
J Makengo MID1811
1
-
L Abergel MID3116
7
-
J Ponceau MID2935
3
-
A Tosin  FWD2538
-
S Soumano FWD32143
1
-
Subs
Y Mvogo  GLK32
-
M Talbi DEF2911
3
1
S Diarra MID3
-
A Avon MID3123
2
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD935
1
-
P Pagis FWD2545
3
-
E Kroupi FWD29222
4
-
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds