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Bastia v Ajaccio : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Saturday afternoon at the Stade Armand-Cesari, and it’s a Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio. Benoit Tavenot and Mathieu Chabert going all-out to claim victory. Stats drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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Bastia's next match is v Amiens at 19:00 on Friday 17th January
Ajaccio's next match is v Caen at 19:00 on Friday 17th January
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Ajaccio was on Saturday 11th January 2025
French Ligue 2
January 11th 2025
Bastia 4
0 Ajaccio
 
T. Ducrocq 19'
F. Tomi 23'
L. Cisse 40'
L. Tramoni 68'
 
BAS
AJC
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
2
2
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/1
 
BastiaAjaccio
 
J. Placide
Z. Ariss (F. Bohnert 80')
D. Guidi
T. Meynadier
A. Roncaglia
T. Ducrocqfootball icon (J. Maggiotti 70')
F. Tomifootball icon (C. Rodrigues 79')
C. Vincent
J. Janneh (C. Onana Etoga 80')
L. Tramonifootball icon
L. Cissefootball icon (M. Ble 70')
F. Sollacaro
A. Bamba
K. Kouassi
M. Huard
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
M. Barreto
(T. Strata 46') M. Puchherrantz
(V. Jacob 60') I. Chegra
E. Pereira da Silva
(J. Anziani 46') A. Kanté
(M. Soumano 71') C. Ibayi

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Bastia and Ajaccio go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics don't supply any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.50 with the bookies, so we're making under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
58%
8/13
2%
13/20
1%
Draw
27%
5/2
3%
11/5
Ajaccio
15%
19/417/4
5%
Bastia 1-0
19%
4/118/5
4%
Bastia 2-0
14%
11/25/1
8%
Draw 0-0
13%
6/1
8%
5/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Bastia 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
15/2
Ajaccio 1-0
8%
10/117/2
6%
Bastia 3-0
7%
11/110/1
Bastia 3-1
4%
16/114/1
Ajaccio 2-1
3%
18/1
10%
16/1
13%
Bastia 4-0
2%
25/120/1
Draw 2-2
2%
22/118/1
12%
Ajaccio 2-0
2%
28/120/1
11%
Bastia 4-1
1%
33/1
17%
25/1
Bastia 3-2
1%
40/128/1
12%
Bastia 5-0
1%
50/133/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
7/5
4%
6/4
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
8/15
2%
4/9
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/9-
Away 1st Goal
33%
13/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
10%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
34%
11/8
5%
6/4
4%
BTTS - No
66%
8/15
2%
10/21
1%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
15/4
5%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
5%
14/112/1
18%
Home/draw
85%
1/72/15
1%
Away/draw
42%
5/4
2%
23/20
2%
Home/away
73%
2/7
1%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/9
4%
1/2
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
13/8
5%
13/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
7/2
10%
19/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
2/11
1%
2/15
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/201/40
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1
12%
18/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/801/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/12
3%
1/11
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
7/1
23%
9/2
4%
Home DNB
77%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Away DNB
34%
3/1
8%
3/1
7%
Bastia win to nil
43%
5/4-
Ajaccio win to nil
10%
7/1-
Bastia / Bastia
31%
13/813/8
3%
Bastia / Ajaccio
2%
40/140/1
21%
Bastia / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Bastia
20%
3/13/1
Draw / Ajaccio
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
16/5
Ajaccio / Bastia
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
Ajaccio / Ajaccio
8%
9/18/1
6%
Ajaccio / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Ligue 2 league table. Bastia are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 4 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Bastia have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Bastia have played 8 games at home winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Ajaccio are in 17th position in the Ligue 2 on 15 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Ajaccio are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Ajaccio have conceded 18 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Ajaccio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient1810441334 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
May 3
l
 
3-0A
2
Paris FC1810441134 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
l
 
0-2A
May 10
3
Dunkerque181035533 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
Feb 28
l
 
1-0A
4
Metz188731131 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 22
5
Annecy18864330 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
l
 
1-2A
Apr 26
6
Lavallois188551029 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Feb 14
d
 
1-1F
7
Guingamp18927729 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
Feb 7
l
 
1-0A
8
Bastia Home185103525 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
9
Grenoble18738024 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
10
Pau18666-124 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
11
Rodez18657223 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
12
Clermont18657-323 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
13
Amiens18729-523 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
Apr 5
l
 
3-1A
14
Red Star18648-1022 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
15
Troyes18639-221 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
16
Caen184311-815 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
17
Ajaccio Away184311-1215 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
18
Martigues183312-2612 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Bastia1 - 1Dunkerque
Bastia0 - 4St Etienne
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Rodez
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia1 - 2Caen
Bastia2 - 0Angers
Bastia0 - 0Quevillaise.
Bastia0 - 0Auxerre
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia1 - 0Martigues
HBastia1 - 0Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Paris FC
ABastia2 - 1Pau
HBastia1 - 2Amiens
Ajaccio 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
6
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
6 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
14 / 20
D
3
Lost
17
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pau1 - 0Ajaccio
Dunkerque1 - 0Ajaccio
Guingamp1 - 0Ajaccio
Amiens3 - 1Ajaccio
Lorient3 - 0Ajaccio
Caen1 - 0Ajaccio
Lavallois1 - 1Ajaccio
Red Star1 - 0Ajaccio
Rodez2 - 0Ajaccio
Bordeaux4 - 0Ajaccio
Valenciennes1 - 0Ajaccio
Pau1 - 1Ajaccio
Paris FC2 - 0Ajaccio
Angers3 - 1Ajaccio
Lavallois1 - 1Ajaccio
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Dunkerque2 - 0Ajaccio
Troyes3 - 1Ajaccio
Auxerre2 - 0Ajaccio
Annecy2 - 0Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjaccio1 - 2Annecy
AAjaccio0 - 1Pau
HAjaccio0 - 2Paris FC
HAjaccio0 - 0Bastia
AAjaccio0 - 1Dunkerque
HAjaccio2 - 0Clermont
HAjaccio0 - 1Metz
AAjaccio0 - 1Guingamp
AAjaccio1 - 3Amiens
HAjaccio1 - 1Martigues
AAjaccio0 - 3Lorient
HAjaccio2 - 0Grenoble
AAjaccio0 - 1Caen
AAjaccio1 - 1Lavallois
HAjaccio2 - 1Troyes
AAjaccio0 - 1Red Star
HAjaccio1 - 0Rodez
AAjaccio0 - 2Rodez
HAjaccio1 - 2Grenoble
AAjaccio0 - 4Bordeaux
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bastia have beaten Ajaccio in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bastia since 2014
Bastia
Ajaccio
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
BAS
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia2 - 0
Bastia2 - 1
League games at Ajaccio since 2022
Ajaccio
Bastia
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
BAS
1
D
1
AJC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ajaccio
Draw0 - 0Draw
Ajaccio2 - 0
0 - 1Bastia
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Ajaccio fans, as should a 5 Ligue 2 games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bastia 8th Ajaccio 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Ajaccio will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Bastia have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-65
Ajaccio have scored 65% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.3
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279872/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Ajaccio
1.4
0.6
Attack rating
26%
better
BAS
AJC
view stats
Games scored11
8
Failed to score6
9
Scored first6
5
Goals scored18
11
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal9
11
Conversion rate for11
9
Avg. XG for1.2
0.6
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
17%
better
BAS
AJC
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded17
19
Avg. goals conceded1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+17%

Bastia v Ajaccio Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18525
J PlacideL CisséZ. ArissZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK18
-
T. Meynadier DEF13
1
-
A Roncaglia DEF12
1
D Guidi DEF8
2
-
Z. Ariss DEF162
5
-
T Ducrocq MID1812
4
-
J Janneh MID121
2
1
L Tramoni MID1712
2
-
C Vincent MID1411
3
-
F Tomi MID163
1
-
L Cissé FWD1551
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
F Bohnert DEF16
1
-
G Akueson DEF15
4
-
M. Ble DEF2
1
-
L Etoga MID111
3
-
J Maggiotti  MID161
2
-
C Rodrigues FWD163
2
-
Ajaccio Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17315
F SollacaroM SoumanoM HuardC. Ibayi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Sollacaro GLK17
3
-
J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze DEF17
4
-
A Bamba  DEF15
3
-
M Huard DEF91
1
1
E. Pereira da Silva MID8
1
2
I Chegra MID10
3
-
M Puchherrantz MID13
1
M Barreto MID121
3
-
K. Kouassi MID81
1
C. Ibayi FWD1821
5
-
A Kanté FWD91
-
Subs
G Quilichini GLK1
-
T Strata DEF1411
1
-
J Anziani DEF181
2
-
V Jacob MID51
-
T Folcarelli MID111
2
1
M Soumano FWD173
2
-
B Santelli FWD9
3
1