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Bastia v Boulogne : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Mar, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Boulogne pay Ligue 2 competitors Bastia a visit on Friday evening, as Fabien Dagneaux guides his men into an away clash with Benoit Tavenot & co. at the Stade Armand-Cesari. In this preview you'll find the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A real chess match could be in store as Bastia and Boulogne go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in terms of who could claim victory. The statistics don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.48 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 35% chance of Boulogne coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
33%
1.95
5%
2.00
Draw
31%
2.903.00
Boulogne
35%
3.80
6%
3.60
Draw 0-0
14%
6.506.00
Boulogne 1-0
14%
8.507.50
Bastia 1-0
14%
5.50
8%
5.25
Draw 1-1
14%
6.006.00
Boulogne 2-0
7%
19.00
12%
15.00
Boulogne 2-1
7%
15.0012.00
Bastia 2-0
7%
8.007.50
Bastia 2-1
6%
10.008.50
Draw 2-2
3%
21.0015.00
Boulogne 3-0
2%
41.0026.00
Boulogne 3-1
2%
41.0026.00
Bastia 3-0
2%
17.00
11%
15.00
Bastia 3-1
2%
21.0017.00
Boulogne 3-2
1%
51.0034.00
Bastia 3-2
1%
41.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
2.602.50
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
1.481.44
Home 1st Goal
45%
1.73
4%
1.75
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.60
4%
2.60
No 1st Goal
10%
6.506.00
BTTS - Yes
38%
2.252.20
BTTS - No
62%
1.571.60
BTTS - Home Win
10%
5.505.25
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
11%
10.00
5%
8.50
Home/draw
65%
1.22
2%
1.25
Away/draw
67%
1.73
4%
1.73
Home/away
69%
1.361.35
Over 1.5 Goals
58%
1.501.48
Under 1.5 Goals
42%
2.502.38
Over 3.5 Goals
13%
5.004.80
Under 3.5 Goals
87%
1.171.13
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
13.009.50
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1.041.02
Over 5.5 Goals
1%
26.0019.00
Under 5.5 Goals
99%
1.011.00
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1.101.08
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
7.005.75
Home DNB
55%
1.40
3%
1.44
Away DNB
57%
2.75
5%
2.60
Bastia win to nil
23%
3.00
8%
-
Boulogne win to nil
24%
6.00
9%
-
Bastia / Bastia
24%
3.40
3%
3.25
Bastia / Boulogne
2%
41.0034.00
Bastia / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Bastia
17%
4.75
5%
4.80
Draw / Boulogne
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
Draw / Draw
19%
4.334.20
Boulogne / Bastia
3%
29.0023.00
Boulogne / Boulogne
13%
7.005.75
Boulogne / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 29 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 9 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Boulogne lay in 12th place on 30 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 11 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Boulogne have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Boulogne have played 13 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Boulogne
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2615651651 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 18
2
St Etienne2615471749 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
3
Le Mans2611114944 
May 7
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
4
Reims26111051443 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-6F
Apr 4
5
Rodez2610106140 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Dunkerque2610971439 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Apr 27
d
 
1-1A
7
Annecy261169639 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 30
d
 
1-1A
8
Montpellier2611510638 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
9
Red Star251087338 
Dec 5
Apr 11
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
10
Guingamp26998-136 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 30
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
11
Pau26989-535 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
12
Boulogne268612-930 
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
-
-
13
Grenoble266119-629 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
14
Clermont267712-528 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
15
Nancy267613-1427 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Mar 20
l
 
1-0A
16
Amiens266515-1523 
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
17
Lavallois2631112-1620 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 7
18
Bastia2531012-1519 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 13
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
7
Bastia have not won in 7 consecutive league games
4
Bastia have failed to score in 4 consecutive home league games
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia0 - 2Annecy
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia0 - 0Nancy
Bastia0 - 2Montpellier
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Lavallois
Bastia1 - 3Reims
Bastia1 - 0Clermont
Bastia0 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia2 - 3Rodez
Bastia1 - 3Guingamp
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia2 - 1Caen
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia2 - 2Pau
HBastia0 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 1Dunkerque
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia0 - 0Reims
HBastia0 - 0Nancy
HBastia0 - 2Montpellier
ABastia2 - 0Lavallois
HBastia1 - 0Grenoble
ABastia2 - 2St Etienne
HBastia0 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 1Annecy
HBastia1 - 3Reims
HBastia1 - 0Clermont
ABastia0 - 2Nancy
ABastia0 - 1Troyes
HBastia0 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 0Grenoble
HBastia2 - 3Rodez
ABastia0 - 2Montpellier
Boulogne 12TH
13 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
8 / 13
Conceded
10 / 13
Clean sheets
3 / 13
Failed to score
5 / 13
Won
4
Draw
5
Lost
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble0 - 0Boulogne
Pau1 - 2Boulogne
St Etienne0 - 1Boulogne
Red Star2 - 2Boulogne
Guingamp3 - 0Boulogne
Clermont1 - 1Boulogne
Dunkerque1 - 1Boulogne
Annecy1 - 1Boulogne
Le Mans1 - 0Boulogne
Amiens0 - 1Boulogne
Montpellier1 - 3Boulogne
Rodez1 - 0Boulogne
Nancy1 - 0Boulogne
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBoulogne4 - 2Amiens
ABoulogne0 - 0Grenoble
HBoulogne0 - 2Clermont
ABoulogne2 - 1Pau
HBoulogne1 - 2Rodez
ABoulogne1 - 0St Etienne
ABoulogne2 - 2Red Star
HBoulogne1 - 0Montpellier
ABoulogne0 - 3Guingamp
HBoulogne1 - 2Troyes
ABoulogne1 - 1Clermont
HBoulogne3 - 1Grenoble
ABoulogne1 - 1Dunkerque
ABoulogne1 - 1Annecy
HBoulogne2 - 6Reims
ABoulogne0 - 1Le Mans
HBoulogne2 - 2Guingamp
ABoulogne1 - 0Amiens
HBoulogne1 - 2Red Star
ABoulogne3 - 1Montpellier
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Bastia of late. It has been 6 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against Boulogne.

Bastia 18th Boulogne 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Boulogne scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Bastia have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-12
Boulogne have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Boulogne
1
1
Attack rating
BAS
BOU
35%
better
view stats
Games scored10
18
Failed to score15
8
Scored first8
8
Goals scored14
29
Avg. goals scored0.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal15
7
Conversion rate for7
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
23%
better
BAS
BOU
view stats
Games conceded16
21
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first11
17
Goals conceded29
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
20%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+23%

Bastia v Boulogne Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24428
Z. ArissJ SebasA BoutrahZ. Ariss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Tomi MID2521
3
-
Z. Ariss DEF241
8
-
T. Meynadier DEF22
4
-
J Placide GLK211
2
-
C Vincent MID211
3
-
J Sebas FWD214
4
2
A Roncaglia DEF202
2
2
A Boutrah FWD2022
2
-
T Ducrocq MID191
4
1
J. Guevara DEF181
8
-
J Janneh MID18
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID181
2
-
F Bohnert DEF171
4
-
I Karamoko FWD17
2
-
D Guidi DEF161
6
-
A Aiki FWD15
-
M. Ble FWD14
1
-
L Etoga MID91
1
-
G Akueson DEF8
2
-
N. Parravicini FWD6
3
-
L. Olmeta GLK4
1
-
D. Basset DEF1
-
Boulogne Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24647
D ThiamC. FatouA. El FarissiJ Boyer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Thiam DEF262
4
-
J Boyer DEF2521
7
-
S Gourville DEF241
3
-
N Fatar FWD2432
2
-
J. Bultel MID2311
2
-
G Zohore DEF22
3
1
S. Duflos DEF223
5
1
C. Fatou FWD2261
1
-
A. El Farissi MID2134
5
-
A Pinot DEF202
3
-
A Platret DEF1923
1
-
A. Uriev GLK121
-
J Martin MID111
2
-
I Koné GLK8
1
-
H. Touré MID8
1
-
L Raillot MID6
-
G. Capuano FWD41
3
-
S. Paillard MID1
-