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Bastia v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Home advantage can be vital in the Ligue 2, and Benoit Tavenot’s Bastia will have the luxury of it on Saturday afternoon. Michel Der Zakarian’s Caen are their opponents at the Stade Armand-Cesari. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all published below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. Here we've gone for Bastia to win, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Caen was on Saturday 10th May 2025
French Ligue 2
May 10th 2025
Bastia 2
1 Caen
 
D. Guidi 24'28' I. Najim
Z. Ariss 72'
 
BAS
CAE
Shots On
11
2
Shots Off
10
2
Corners
12
1
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
11
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
BastiaCaen
 
J. Placide
Z. Arissfootball icon
F. Bohnert (T. Meynadier 64')
D. Guidifootball icon
T. Ducrocq
A. Roncaglia
F. Tomi
C. Inao Oulaï (C. Vincent 77')
L. Cisse (L. Tramoni 77')
A. Boutrah (M. Boumaaoui 86')
J. Sebas (M. Ble 64')
Y. Clementia
B. Traoré
D. Bolumbu
(R. Verhaeghe 46') E. Ntim
N. Lebreton
(L. Rajot 73') B. Brahimi
L. Milliner
Y. M'Vila
(M. Autret 61') S. Grandsir
(A. Ba Loua 61') M. Le Bihan
(G. Tomé 73') football iconI. Najim

Best Tip: Bastia to win

As training goes on this week and the Bastia players prepare themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Stade Armand-Cesari has not been a successful away day for Caen in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
67%
21/50
8%
-
Draw
19%
7/2
13%
-
Caen
14%
21/4
14%
-
Bastia 2-0
12%
7/1
7%
-
Bastia 1-0
11%
15/2
13%
-
Bastia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
13%
-
Bastia 3-0
8%
9/1
9%
-
Bastia 3-1
7%
10/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
42%
-
Bastia 4-0
4%
16/1
19%
-
Caen 1-0
4%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Caen 2-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Bastia 4-1
4%
18/1
17%
-
Bastia 3-2
3%
20/1
19%
-
Bastia 5-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Caen 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
27/20
18%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
3/10
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
5/2
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
42%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
8/11
5%
-
BTTS - No
49%
1/1
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
15/8
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
10/1
10%
-
Home/draw
86%
1/8
2%
-
Away/draw
33%
7/4
16%
-
Home/away
81%
2/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/6
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4/1
33%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/8
21%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
8/15
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
3/1
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/9
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
42%
-
Home DNB
81%
1/6
4%
-
Away DNB
27%
4/1
25%
-
Bastia win to nil
38%
13/8-
Caen win to nil
7%
12/1
30%
-
Bastia / Bastia
40%
11/10
13%
-
Bastia / Caen
2%
40/1-
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Bastia
19%
10/3-
Draw / Caen
6%
14/1
36%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
25%
-
Caen / Bastia
4%
18/1
10%
-
Caen / Caen
8%
10/1
16%
-
Caen / Draw
5%
16/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 8 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Bastia have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

Bastia have played 16 games at home winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Caen are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 22 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 32 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 15 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 21 games, drawn 7 and won 5. Caen have conceded 56 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Caen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient3422573771 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
2
Paris FC3421672269 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-2A
3
Metz34181153065 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Dunkerque3417512756 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
Guingamp34174131255 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
6
Annecy3414911-151 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
Lavallois3414812650 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Bastia Home3411158648 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
9
Grenoble3413714-146 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
10
Troyes3413516244 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
11
Amiens3413417-1243 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
12
Ajaccio3412616-1242 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
13
Pau34101212-1442 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
14
Rodez3491213239 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2A
15
Red Star3491114-1438 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
16
Clermont3471215-1633 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
17
Martigues349520-2732 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
18
Caen Away345722-2722 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
8
Caen have not won in 8 consecutive league games
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia2 - 3Grenoble
Bastia5 - 2Lavallois
Bastia2 - 0Dunkerque
Bastia1 - 0Martigues
Bastia1 - 0Red Star
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Bastia1 - 1Pau
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Bastia1 - 1Dunkerque
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia2 - 2Guingamp
HBastia2 - 3Grenoble
ABastia0 - 1Paris FC
HBastia5 - 2Lavallois
ABastia1 - 1Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Dunkerque
ABastia0 - 4Lorient
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
Caen 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient4 - 0Caen
Rodez2 - 2Caen
Paris FC4 - 2Caen
Amiens2 - 1Caen
Clermont0 - 1Caen
Annecy1 - 0Caen
Troyes3 - 0Caen
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Dunkerque3 - 1Caen
Lavallois1 - 0Caen
Metz1 - 0Caen
Martigues0 - 3Caen
Red Star2 - 2Caen
Guingamp3 - 1Caen
Grenoble3 - 1Caen
Pau1 - 0Caen
Dunkerque2 - 2Caen
St Etienne1 - 0Caen
Ajaccio2 - 1Caen
Quevillaise.1 - 2Caen
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCaen1 - 1Red Star
ACaen0 - 4Lorient
HCaen0 - 3Martigues
ACaen2 - 2Rodez
HCaen2 - 2Metz
ACaen2 - 4Paris FC
ACaen1 - 2Amiens
HCaen0 - 1Lavallois
ACaen1 - 0Clermont
HCaen2 - 2Pau
ACaen0 - 1Annecy
HCaen0 - 2Dunkerque
ACaen0 - 3Troyes
HCaen0 - 1Guingamp
ACaen1 - 2Ajaccio
HCaen0 - 1Grenoble
HCaen0 - 1Clermont
ACaen1 - 3Dunkerque
ACaen0 - 1Lavallois
HCaen3 - 3Rodez
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Caen have beaten Bastia in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Caen
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
BAS
2
D
3
CAE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
1 - 2Caen
Bastia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bastia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Caen since 2014
Caen
Bastia
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
6 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
1 / 7
D
2
CAE
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Caen
Caen2 - 0
Caen1 - 0
Caen3 - 1
Caen2 - 1
Caen2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Bastia in their clash with Caen, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Ligue 2 matches.

Bastia 8th Caen 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Bastia will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Caen scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Bastia have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-17
Caen have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280012/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Caen
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
22%
better
BAS
CAE
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score10
14
Scored first14
9
Goals scored41
30
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for13
11
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
35%
better
BAS
CAE
view stats
Games conceded21
29
Clean sheets12
4
Conceded first14
24
Goals conceded36
56
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.9
KickOff rating
+35%

Bastia v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32947
J PlacideL CisséT DucrocqZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK32
3
-
F Bohnert DEF27
3
-
D Guidi DEF201
5
-
A Roncaglia DEF21
2
1
Z. Ariss DEF2713
7
-
T Ducrocq MID3034
7
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID161
5
-
F Tomi MID2052
1
-
A Boutrah MID3161
2
-
J Sebas MID131
2
-
L Cissé FWD3193
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
T. Meynadier DEF26
3
-
M. Ble DEF173
2
-
L Etoga MID141
4
1
C Vincent MID2551
6
-
M. Boumaaoui FWD4
-
L Tramoni FWD2313
2
-
Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26447
N LebretonN LebretonB BrahimiN Lebreton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Clementia GLK8
2
-
E Ntim DEF8
-
D Bolumbu DEF14
2
-
B Traoré DEF251
3
-
L. Milliner DEF7
1
-
M Bihan MID251
2
1
N Lebreton MID3241
7
-
Y M'Vila MID1911
7
-
S Grandsir MID91
-
B Brahimi FWD3044
2
1
I Najim FWD1321
-
Subs
A Mandréa GLK26
-
J Gaudin DEF111
4
-
R. Verhaeghe DEF3
-
L Rajot MID261
4
-
M Autret MID12
-
G. Tomé MID4
-
A Loua MID61
-
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds