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Bastia v Guingamp : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Benoit Tavenot's Bastia side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 2 on Friday evening, as Sylvain Ripoll's Guingamp arrive at the Stade Armand-Cesari. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Guingamp was on Friday 13th December 2024
French Ligue 2
December 13th 2024
Bastia 3
1 Guingamp
 
F. Tomi 50'32' J. Siwe
L. Cisse 72'
J. Maggiotti 86'
 
BAS
GUI
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
5
1
Corners
8
4
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
18
22
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
BastiaGuingamp
 
J. Placide
G. Akueson
T. Meynadier (Z. Ariss 46')
F. Bohnert
D. Guidi
T. Ducrocq
F. Tomifootball icon (L. Tramoni 73')
C. Vincent (A. Roncaglia 79')
C. Inao Oulaï (J. Maggiotti 73')
L. Cissefootball icon
C. Rodrigues (A. Boutrah 46')
E. Basilio
M. Riou
N. Sissoko
L. Maronnier
S. Nair
(B. Labeau 73') A. Hemia
H. Picard
(R. Touzghar 79') D. Louiserre
(S. Guendouz 64') R. Ghrieb
K. Sidibé
(T. Luvambo 79') football iconJ. Siwe

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Bastia and Guingamp go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the players in terms of who could claim victory. The stats don't provide any clear conclusion in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. That's a prediction available at best priced odds of 1.60 with the bookmakers, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
45%
31/20
4%
29/20
7%
Draw
28%
2/1
3%
9/5
7%
Guingamp
26%
2/19/5
3%
Bastia 1-0
14%
13/2
7%
6/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/2
8%
9/2
8%
Draw 0-0
11%
7/1
7%
11/2
7%
Guingamp 1-0
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Bastia 2-0
9%
11/1
9%
10/1
16%
Bastia 2-1
8%
9/18/1
6%
Guingamp 2-1
6%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Guingamp 2-0
5%
12/111/1
Bastia 3-0
4%
22/118/1
12%
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Bastia 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Guingamp 3-1
2%
25/118/1
Bastia 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Guingamp 3-0
1%
28/122/1
Bastia 4-0
1%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/5
4%
11/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
13/20
3%
3/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
5/6-
Away 1st Goal
42%
5/4
2%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/6
4%
17/20
5%
BTTS - No
57%
5/6
2%
17/20
6%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
4%
16/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/2
7%
19/4
4%
Home/draw
74%
4/114/11
Away/draw
55%
1/2
2%
1/2
3%
Home/away
72%
4/112/5
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/1
9%
17/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
3/1
8%
13/5
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/1
10%
6/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/18
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/1
7%
11/2
Home DNB
65%
8/118/11
5%
Away DNB
46%
1/11/1
5%
Bastia win to nil
29%
3/1
7%
-
Guingamp win to nil
16%
4/1
11%
-
Bastia / Bastia
21%
3/13/1
5%
Bastia / Guingamp
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Bastia
15%
9/29/2
5%
Draw / Guingamp
12%
11/25/1
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
6%
3/1
5%
Guingamp / Bastia
3%
28/122/1
Guingamp / Guingamp
16%
15/4
5%
19/5
Guingamp / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league. Bastia are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 5 and won 2. Bastia have conceded 10 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 1 match and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Guingamp lay in 6th place on 25 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Guingamp have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Guingamp have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Guingamp
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient1610331533 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
2
Paris FC169431131 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
3
Metz158431128 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
4
Dunkerque15915328 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
Jan 4
Apr 5
5
Annecy15753526 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
d
 
2-2A
Jan 10
6
Lavallois16745825 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
7
Guingamp Away16817425 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
-
-
8
Amiens16727-123 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
9
Bastia Home164102222 
-
-
May 3
l
 
3-1F
10
Pau16646-122 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
May 10
11
Rodez16556320 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
12
Grenoble16538-218 
Apr 26
Jan 3
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
13
Troyes16538-418 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
14
Red Star16538-1218 
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-4A
Mar 1
15
Clermont16457-517 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Mar 8
l
 
4-1A
16
Caen15438-415 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
17
Ajaccio16439-715 
Jan 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
18
Martigues162311-269 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Bastia1 - 1Dunkerque
Bastia0 - 4St Etienne
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Rodez
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia1 - 2Caen
Bastia2 - 0Angers
Bastia0 - 0Quevillaise.
Bastia0 - 0Auxerre
Bastia3 - 1Bordeaux
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia1 - 0Martigues
HBastia1 - 0Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Paris FC
ABastia2 - 1Pau
HBastia1 - 2Amiens
ABastia2 - 3Annecy
HBastia2 - 0Concarneau
Guingamp 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Martigues0 - 1Guingamp
Lorient3 - 1Guingamp
Metz1 - 0Guingamp
Clermont4 - 1Guingamp
Paris FC2 - 0Guingamp
Rodez1 - 2Guingamp
Lavallois0 - 1Guingamp
Paris FC2 - 1Guingamp
Pau1 - 2Guingamp
Dunkerque0 - 1Guingamp
Grenoble0 - 0Guingamp
Concarneau2 - 3Guingamp
Bordeaux1 - 0Guingamp
Ajaccio3 - 0Guingamp
Auxerre1 - 1Guingamp
Quevillaise.0 - 1Guingamp
Angers1 - 0Guingamp
St Etienne1 - 3Guingamp
Troyes0 - 1Guingamp
Rodez0 - 0Guingamp
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGuingamp1 - 0Martigues
HGuingamp3 - 0Amiens
AGuingamp1 - 3Lorient
HGuingamp3 - 0Grenoble
HGuingamp1 - 0Ajaccio
AGuingamp0 - 1Metz
HGuingamp0 - 1Pau
AGuingamp1 - 4Clermont
HGuingamp3 - 1Caen
AGuingamp0 - 2Paris FC
HGuingamp2 - 2Annecy
AGuingamp2 - 1Rodez
HGuingamp3 - 4Red Star
AGuingamp1 - 0Lavallois
HGuingamp4 - 0Troyes
HGuingamp0 - 1Lavallois
AGuingamp1 - 2Paris FC
HGuingamp2 - 2St Etienne
AGuingamp2 - 1Pau
HGuingamp1 - 2Angers
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Guingamp
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
2 / 6
BAS
2
D
3
GUI
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Guingamp
Bastia1 - 0
Bastia3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Guingamp since 2013
Guingamp
Bastia
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
BAS
2
D
2
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guingamp
0 - 1Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Bastia
Guingamp5 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Guingamp1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Guingamp look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Bastia haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Ligue 2 matches, and it could be a long evening for S. Ripoll's men.

Bastia 9th Guingamp 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Guingamp scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Bastia have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Guingamp have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279852/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Guingamp
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
BAS
GUI
33%
better
view stats
Games scored9
12
Failed to score6
3
Scored first6
8
Goals scored13
25
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
19%
better
BAS
GUI
view stats
Games conceded8
9
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded13
19
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+19%

Bastia v Guingamp Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16424
J PlacideL CisséZ. ArissZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK16
-
T. Meynadier DEF12
1
-
G Akueson DEF14
3
-
D Guidi DEF6
2
-
F Bohnert DEF14
1
-
T Ducrocq MID161
3
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID3
1
-
F Tomi MID142
1
-
C Rodrigues MID143
2
-
C Vincent MID1211
2
-
L Cissé FWD134
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
Z. Ariss DEF142
4
-
M. Ble DEF1
-
A Roncaglia MID10
1
J Maggiotti  MID151
2
-
A Boutrah FWD164
-
L Tramoni FWD151
2
-
Guingamp Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16874
E BasilioJ SiweA SissokoK Sidibé
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Basilio GLK16
-
A Sissoko DEF167
3
-
M Riou DEF141
-
S. Nair DEF11
1
1
L Maronnier DEF121
1
-
R Ghrieb MID1211
-
K Sidibé MID1613
4
-
D Louiserre MID161
-
H Picard MID1612
-
A. Hemia FWD135
4
-
J Siwe FWD1581
2
-
Subs
B Niasse GLK
-
P Lemonnier  DEF8
1
-
R. Touzghar MID2
-
L Phiri MID3
-
T Luvambo MID143
1
-
B Labeau FWD1431
-
S. Guendouz FWD8
1
-
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