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Bastia v Lorient : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

It's an away trip for Olivier Pantaloni's Lorient side on Saturday evening, as they head to the Stade Armand-Cesari for a Ligue 2 tie with Benoit Tavenot's Bastia. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Bastia's next match is v Ajaccio at 18:30 on Tuesday 3rd December
Lorient's next match is v Troyes at 19:00 on Friday 6th December
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Lorient was on Saturday 23rd November 2024
French Ligue 2
November 23rd 2024
Bastia 0
0 Lorient
 
BAS
LOR
Shots On
1
7
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
6
5
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
10
17
Yellow/red cards
4/2
2/0
 
BastiaLorient
 
J. Placide
D. Guidi (S. Mazikou 67')
T. Meynadier
Z. Ariss
A. Roncaglia
C. Onana Etoga (F. Tomi 77')
T. Ducrocq
J. Maggiotti (C. Inao Oulaï 60')
J. Janneh
L. Cisse (A. Boutrah 60')
L. Tramoni (F. Bohnert 60')
Y. Mvogo
M. Talbi
(J. Mvuka 57') P. Katseris
J. Laporte
I. Silva de Almeida
D. Yongwa Ngameni
A. Ebong Avon
L. Abergel
(T. Aiyegun 37') J. Makengo
(T. Le Bris 86') J. Ponceau
S. Soumano

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Bastia and Lorient have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bastia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
38%
2/1
3%
19/10
3%
Draw
28%
5/2
3%
21/10
9%
Lorient
34%
5/4
5%
23/20
5%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Bastia 1-0
12%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Lorient 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1
9%
7/1
16%
Bastia 2-1
8%
10/19/1
Lorient 2-1
7%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Bastia 2-0
7%
14/1
12%
12/1
Lorient 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
17/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Bastia 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Bastia 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Lorient 3-1
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Lorient 3-0
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
Bastia 3-2
2%
33/122/1
10%
Lorient 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
1/1
5%
19/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/5
5%
8/11
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/4
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
4/5
4%
4/5
4%
BTTS - No
52%
10/11
5%
10/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/119/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/417/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
15/4
10%
17/5
10%
Home/draw
66%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
Away/draw
62%
4/117/20
Home/away
72%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/3
3%
3/10
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
9/4
7%
2/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5/2
8%
9/4
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/7
3%
1/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/1
8%
5/1
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/10
1%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
13%
10/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
1/100
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16
1%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1
9%
13/2
12%
Home DNB
58%
11/10
7%
6/5
4%
Away DNB
53%
4/6
6%
3/5
3%
Bastia win to nil
23%
4/1
9%
-
Lorient win to nil
20%
11/4-
Bastia / Bastia
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
Bastia / Lorient
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Bastia
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Draw / Lorient
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
12%
Lorient / Bastia
3%
28/122/1
Lorient / Lorient
22%
11/4
7%
5/2
6%
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league. Bastia are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 5 and won 2. Bastia have conceded 11 goals, scored 12, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 2nd place on 26 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 26 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 7 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Paris FC148421128 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Dec 14
Mar 8
2
Dunkerque14914528 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-2A
Jan 18
3
Lorient 148331127 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
-
-
4
Metz14743925 
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
Jan 11
d
 
1-1A
5
Annecy14653323 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
w
 
4-2A
Apr 19
6
Guingamp14716522 
Dec 13
May 3
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
7
Amiens14626-120 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
8
Lavallois14545519 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
Jan 4
9
Pau14545-119 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
10
Grenoble14536218 
Apr 26
Jan 3
w
 
2-0F
Mar 29
11
Bastia 13382017 
-
-
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
12
Rodez14446216 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
Mar 1
d
 
3-3F
13
Clermont14446-316 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Jan 25
l
 
2-1A
14
Caen14437-315 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Apr 26
w
 
1-2A
15
Troyes14437-615 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
Dec 6
Feb 15
16
Ajaccio13427-414 
Jan 10
Dec 3
w
 
3-0F
May 3
17
Red Star14428-1414 
Feb 22
Dec 6
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
18
Martigues14239-219 
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
May 10
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Lorient 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Lorient
League games at Bastia since 2013
Bastia
Lorient
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
BAS
2
D
1
LOR
1
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Bastia
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BAS
1
D
2
LOR
1
Goal Statistics
Bastia 11th Lorient 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Bastia have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Lorient have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279832/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
BAS
LOR
29%
better
view stats
Games scored9
11
Failed to score3
2
Scored first6
6
Goals scored13
26
Avg. goals scored1.1
2
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
18
Avg. XG for1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
15%
better
BAS
LOR
view stats
Games conceded8
10
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first4
7
Goals conceded13
15
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%

Bastia v Lorient Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14414
J PlacideA BoutrahT DucrocqZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK14
-
T. Meynadier DEF10
-
A Roncaglia DEF8
1
D Guidi DEF4
1
-
Z. Ariss DEF13
4
-
T Ducrocq MID141
3
-
J Janneh MID10
1
1
L Tramoni MID131
2
-
J Maggiotti  MID13
2
-
L Etoga MID81
2
-
L Cissé FWD113
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
F Bohnert DEF12
1
-
S. Mazikou DEF1
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID1
-
F Tomi MID121
-
A Boutrah FWD144
-
C Rodrigues FWD123
1
-
Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14644
Y Mvogo S SoumanoD YongwaL Abergel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK14
-
I Silva DEF81
1
-
J Laporte DEF3
1
-
M Talbi DEF11
1
1
D Yongwa DEF134
2
-
L Abergel MID144
4
-
P Katseris MID112
1
-
A Avon MID123
-
J Makengo MID4
-
J Ponceau MID1412
1
-
S Soumano FWD1362
1
-
Subs
B Leroy GLK
-
E. Genton DEF31
-
I. James DEF5
2
-
J Mvuka MID132
-
S Diarra MID
-
T Bris MID5
-
A Tosin  FWD1223
-