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Bastia v Nancy : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

the Stade Armand-Cesari plays host on Friday evening, as Benoit Tavenot's Bastia welcome Pablo Correa's Nancy in the Ligue 2. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Bastia's next match is v Troyes at 19:45 on Monday 16th February
Nancy's next match is v Red Star at 19:00 on Friday 13th February
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Nancy was on Friday 30th January 2026
French Ligue 2
January 30th 2026
Bastia 0
0 Nancy
 
BAS
NAC
Shots On
2
1
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
8
1
Possession
72%
28%
Fouls
17
23
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
BastiaNancy
 
J. Guevara (R. Beliandjou 87')
Z. Ariss
C. Vincent (A. Bi Zaouai 73')
F. Tomi
T. Ducrocq
A. Boutrah
J. Sebas
F. Bohnert
J. Placide
G. Akueson
J. Eickmayer (J. Janneh 73')
E. Basilio
J. Bourgault
E. Mendy
(A. Dabasse 63') R. Bamba
(N. Fernandez Veliz 78') T. Bouriaud
(C. Maouassa 78') W. Bouabdelli
M. Carlier
(H. Barbier 50') J. Gelin
(J. Evans Oghenerukwe 78') Z. Fdaouch
E. Tacafred
Y. Nahounou

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by market-specific form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 37% chance of Nancy coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
36%
6/514/1
Draw
27%
19/101/66
Nancy
37%
21/1022/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/133/1
Nancy 1-0
11%
7/19/1
Bastia 1-0
10%
11/26/1
Draw 0-0
9%
6/11/6
Nancy 2-1
8%
11/1125/1
Bastia 2-1
8%
9/190/1
Nancy 2-0
7%
14/155/1
Bastia 2-0
6%
9/140/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1100/1
Nancy 3-1
3%
28/1150/1
Bastia 3-1
3%
20/1100/1
Nancy 3-0
3%
33/1150/1
Bastia 3-0
3%
20/1125/1
Nancy 3-2
2%
40/1150/1
Bastia 3-2
2%
40/1125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
7/51/50
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/151/50
Home 1st Goal
47%
10/1114/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/1025/1
No 1st Goal
5%
6/11/50
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/1090/1
BTTS - No
50%
4/61/1000
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/290/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/433/1
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/1125/1
Home/draw
63%
1/31/1000
Away/draw
64%
4/71/150
Home/away
73%
4/1111/1
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/955/1
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
13/81/1000
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
7/21/50
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/111/50
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
10/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/201/50
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
22/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/801/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/1010/1
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
6/11/66
Home DNB
55%
8/1310/21
Away DNB
56%
6/56/4
Bastia win to nil
20%
5/2-
Nancy win to nil
21%
4/1-
Bastia / Bastia
23%
11/49/1
Bastia / Nancy
3%
33/150/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Bastia
15%
9/22/1
Draw / Nancy
11%
6/17/2
Draw / Draw
19%
10/311/8
Nancy / Bastia
3%
28/140/1
Nancy / Nancy
14%
9/214/1
Nancy / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 19 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Nancy lay in 14th place on 21 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Nancy have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Nancy have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Nancy
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2212551241 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
2
Reims2211651439 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 24
3
Le Mans221093839 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
4
St Etienne2211471037 
Apr 17
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Dunkerque229761234 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
May 9
w
 
1-3A
6
Red Star21975534 
Dec 5
Apr 10
l
 
0-1A
Feb 13
7
Pau22976034 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 6
d
 
2-2F
May 2
8
Guingamp22967033 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
9
Annecy22958632 
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
Apr 17
w
 
1-2A
10
Montpellier22949231 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
Mar 6
l
 
4-1F
11
Rodez22796-230 
l
 
2-3F
Mar 20
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Grenoble22688-526 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
l
 
1-0A
13
Nancy227411-1025 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
-
-
14
Boulogne226511-1023 
Mar 13
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 20
15
Clermont225710-622 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
w
 
1-0F
Apr 10
16
Amiens226412-822 
Apr 3
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
17
Lavallois223811-1517 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 27
18
Bastia213711-1316 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Nancy 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Nancy have not lost to Bastia in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Bastia since 2016
Bastia
Nancy
Goals: Scored
1
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
D
2
League games at Nancy since 2017
Nancy
Bastia
Goals: Scored
5
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
NAC
3
Goal Statistics
Bastia 18th Nancy 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nancy will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-17
Nancy have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Nancy
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
BAS
NAC
22%
better
view stats
Games scored8
11
Failed to score11
9
Scored first7
7
Goals scored11
18
Avg. goals scored0.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal14
10
Conversion rate for7
10
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
16%
better
BAS
NAC
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first9
12
Goals conceded24
29
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
17%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+16%

Bastia v Nancy Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20417
Z. ArissJ SebasJ PlacideZ. Ariss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK181
2
-
F Bohnert DEF141
4
-
G Akueson DEF4
1
-
Z. Ariss DEF201
7
-
J. Guevara DEF141
5
-
T Ducrocq MID151
4
1
C Vincent MID17
3
-
A Boutrah MID1621
1
-
F Tomi MID2121
3
-
J Eickmayer FWD3
-
J Sebas FWD184
4
1
Subs
L. Olmeta GLK3
1
-
D. Basset DEF1
-
A. Bi Zaouai MID141
2
-
M. Petrignani MID41
1
-
J Janneh MID15
-
R. Beliandjou FWD2
-
A Aiki FWD
-
Nancy Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21326
T. BouriaudZ. FdaouchT. BouriaudM Carlier
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Basilio GLK20
1
E. Tacafred DEF81
1
-
M Carlier DEF181
5
1
E. Mendy DEF111
1
1
R. Bamba MID172
3
-
J Gélin MID611
1
-
T. Bouriaud MID222
4
-
J. Bourgault MID31
-
Y Nahounou FWD71
1
-
W. Bouabdelli FWD2211
2
-
Z. Fdaouch FWD1831
-
Subs
G. Lembet GLK
-
N Fernandez DEF211
1
1
F Maouassa DEF12
1
-
H. Barbier MID4
1
-
N. Sissoko FWD2
1
-
A Dabasse FWD112
1
-
J Evans FWD1811
3
-