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Bastia v Paris FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

Bastia are in Ligue 2 action on Friday evening, as Lilian Laslandes aims to beat Stéphane Gilli and his Paris FC side at the Stade Armand-Cesari. This preview has the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.

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The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Bastia and Paris FC was on Friday 17th May 2024
French Ligue 2
May 17th 2024
Bastia 1
1 Paris FC
 
M. Alfarela 45'29' T. Kolodziejczak
 
BAS
PAR
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
7
3
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
BastiaParis FC
 
J. Placide
I. Dramé
T. Meynadier
F. Bohnert (G. Charbonnier 66')
C. Traoré
A. Roncaglia
F. Bianchini (F. Tomi 66')
T. Ducrocq (J. Janneh 46')
C. Vincent (M. Siby 82')
M. Alfarelafootball icon (J. López Baila 82')
B. Santelli
O. Nkambadio
K. Dabila
(T. Ollila 83') J. Gaudin
football iconT. Kolodziejczak
M. Mbow
(S. Chergui 67') C. Mandouki
(A. Camara 44') I. Kebbal
(M. Loubatieres 82') L. Doucet
V. Marchetti
N. Dicko
(A. Gory 67') A. Jabbari
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this game will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Bastia and Paris FC have seldom treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Ligue 2 individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Paris FC coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
29%
13/5
9%
14/5
17%
Draw
28%
3/1
11%
5/2
6%
Paris FC
43%
4/5
8%
3/4
10%
Draw 1-1
13%
13/2
7%
11/2
Paris FC 1-0
13%
13/26/1
Bastia 1-0
10%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
Draw 0-0
10%
11/1
9%
17/2
6%
Paris FC 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Paris FC 2-0
8%
15/2
11%
7/1
6%
Bastia 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
Bastia 2-0
5%
18/1
12%
16/1
31%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
11/1
Paris FC 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Paris FC 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Bastia 3-1
2%
28/122/1
10%
Paris FC 3-2
2%
25/116/1
11%
Bastia 3-0
2%
40/128/1
12%
Bastia 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
17/20
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
19/20
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
13/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/15
6%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/53/4
3%
BTTS - No
53%
10/1119/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/1
8%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2
10%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
Home/draw
57%
19/20
8%
19/20
8%
Away/draw
71%
2/7
3%
2/9
6%
Home/away
72%
2/9
5%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
9/4
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/3
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
12/1
18%
-
Home DNB
49%
7/4
10%
2/1
20%
Away DNB
62%
2/5
7%
7/20
9%
Bastia win to nil
17%
11/2
8%
-
Paris FC win to nil
26%
9/4
4%
-
Bastia / Bastia
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
18%
Bastia / Paris FC
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Bastia
9%
15/2
13%
15/2
21%
Draw / Paris FC
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
5%
Paris FC / Bastia
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Paris FC / Paris FC
29%
15/8
11%
7/4
14%
Paris FC / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 37 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Bastia have conceded 30 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Bastia have played 18 games at home, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Paris FC lay in 4th place on 58 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 37 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 9 and losing 8 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Paris FC have conceded 34 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Paris FC have played 18 away games, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Bastia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Paris FC
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
 Auxerre38211163674 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Angers38208101468 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-2A
 St Etienne38198111765 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
 Rodez381612101160 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Paris FC Away38161111759 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Caen3817714658 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
 Lavallois38151013-555 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
 Amiens3812179053 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
 Guingamp38131213451 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-2A
 Pau38131213351 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Grenoble38131213-151 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Bordeaux3814915-250 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3F
-
-
 Bastia Home3814915-450 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Annecy38121016-146 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Ajaccio38121016-1146 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
 Dunkerque38121016-1646 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Troyes3791414-741 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
 Quevillaise.3871714-438 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Concarneau3810820-1838 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
 Valenciennes3751121-2926 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Bastia 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Paris FC 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2022
Bastia
Paris FC
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
BAS
1
PAR
1
All league games since 2021
Bastia
Paris FC
Goals: Scored
3
4
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
BAS
2
PAR
3
Goal Statistics
Bastia 13th Paris FC 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Paris FC will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Bastia have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Paris FC have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 2 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263355/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1
1.3
Attack rating
BAS
PAR
10%
better
view stats
Games scored25
29
Failed to score13
10
Scored first16
18
Goals scored44
51
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate14%
14%
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
1%
better
BAS
PAR
view stats
Games conceded25
28
Clean sheets13
11
Conceded first17
19
Goals conceded48
44
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate14%
13%
KickOff rating
+1%

Bastia v Paris FC Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341268
F BohnertM AlfarelaF BianchiniT Ducrocq
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK32
3
1
T. Meynadier DEF12
-
C Traoré DEF12
1
I Dramé DEF202
3
-
A Roncaglia DEF31
5
-
F Bohnert DEF3412
3
-
C Vincent MID3434
6
1
T Ducrocq MID352
7
1
F Bianchini MID2856
5
-
M Alfarela FWD37122
4
-
B Santelli FWD3172
3
1
Subs
J Fabri GLK4
-
C keita DEF271
8
-
F Tomi MID2011
1
-
M Loubatieres MID9
-
M Siby MID141
-
J Janneh MID321
6
-
R Wright FWD161
1
-
Paris FC Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
387118
M MbowA GoryI KebbalJ Gaudin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Nkambadio GLK31
2
-
K Dabila DEF3233
1
-
M Mbow DEF39
4
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF121
2
-
J Gaudin DEF3712
7
1
L Doucet MID30
3
-
C Mandouki MID362
6
1
V Marchetti MID91
2
-
I Kebbal MID37611
3
-
A Jabbari FWD1522
3
-
N Dicko FWD1761
2
-
Subs
R Riou GLK
1
-
T Ollila DEF132
-
S Chergui DEF19
4
-
A. Camara MID362
7
-
A Gory FWD2978
2
-
J López FWD201
-
J Lukembila FWD3034
1
-
French Ligue 2 match betting previews, predictions and odds