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Bastia v Pau FC : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Jan, 19:00 BST, Stade Armand-Cesari, Bastia

the Stade Armand-Cesari is the stage on Friday evening, as Benoit Tavenot's Bastia host Nicolas Usai's Pau FC in the Ligue 2. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bastia
54%
--
Draw
26%
--
Pau
20%
--
Bastia 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
Bastia 2-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Bastia 2-1
9%
--
Pau 1-0
8%
--
Bastia 3-0
6%
--
Pau 2-1
5%
--
Bastia 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Pau 2-0
3%
--
Bastia 4-0
2%
--
Bastia 3-2
2%
--
Bastia 4-1
2%
--
Pau 3-1
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
39%
--
No 1st Goal
6%
--
BTTS - Yes
44%
--
BTTS - No
56%
--
BTTS - Home Win
20%
--
BTTS - Draw
16%
--
BTTS - Away Win
8%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
46%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
72%
--
Away DNB
38%
--
Bastia win to nil
34%
--
Pau win to nil
12%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Bastia have played 18 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 2 league table. Bastia are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Bastia have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Bastia have played 9 games at home winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Pau are in 10th position in the Ligue 2 on 24 points having played 18 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Pau have conceded 11 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bastia
Pau
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient1810441334 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
2
Paris FC1810441134 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 7
3
Dunkerque181035533 
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
4
Metz188731131 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
5
Annecy18864330 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
Mar 29
l
 
2-0A
6
Lavallois188551029 
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Jan 31
l
 
3-1A
7
Guingamp18927729 
w
 
3-1A
May 3
May 10
w
 
0-1F
8
Bastia Home185103525 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
9
Grenoble18738024 
Apr 26
l
 
3-2A
Feb 28
d
 
1-1A
10
Pau Away18666-124 
Jan 24
d
 
1-1A
-
-
11
Rodez18657223 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 7
Feb 14
l
 
1-0A
12
Clermont18657-323 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 14
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
13
Amiens18729-523 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 17
l
 
0-2A
May 3
14
Red Star18648-1022 
Feb 21
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
Jan 17
15
Troyes18639-221 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 28
Mar 7
l
 
3-0A
16
Caen184311-815 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
17
Ajaccio184311-1215 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
18
Martigues183312-2612 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
10
Bastia have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Home
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bastia4 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia3 - 1Guingamp
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Bastia2 - 2Rodez
Bastia0 - 0Clermont
Bastia2 - 2Annecy
Bastia2 - 1Paris FC
Bastia0 - 0Troyes
Bastia1 - 0Amiens
Bastia1 - 1Paris FC
Bastia1 - 2Amiens
Bastia2 - 0Concarneau
Bastia1 - 1Dunkerque
Bastia0 - 4St Etienne
Bastia1 - 0Grenoble
Bastia0 - 2Rodez
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia1 - 2Caen
Bastia2 - 0Angers
Bastia0 - 0Quevillaise.
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
11
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
ABastia1 - 2Dunkerque
HBastia2 - 1Paris FC
HBastia0 - 0Troyes
ABastia1 - 0Martigues
HBastia1 - 0Amiens
ABastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Paris FC
ABastia2 - 1Pau
Pau 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 0Pau
Rodez1 - 0Pau
Annecy2 - 0Pau
Troyes3 - 0Pau
Guingamp0 - 1Pau
Lavallois3 - 1Pau
Dunkerque3 - 2Pau
Grenoble1 - 1Pau
Clermont2 - 2Pau
Bordeaux3 - 2Pau
Angers2 - 1Pau
Troyes2 - 2Pau
Valenciennes1 - 4Pau
Amiens2 - 3Pau
Dunkerque1 - 0Pau
Grenoble0 - 1Pau
Paris FC1 - 1Pau
Annecy0 - 0Pau
Rodez2 - 1Pau
Lavallois1 - 1Pau
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPau1 - 1Dunkerque
APau0 - 0Metz
HPau1 - 0Ajaccio
APau0 - 1Rodez
HPau4 - 1Red Star
HPau0 - 0Paris FC
APau0 - 2Annecy
APau0 - 3Troyes
HPau0 - 2Amiens
HPau1 - 1Bastia
APau1 - 0Guingamp
APau1 - 3Lavallois
HPau1 - 0Lorient
APau2 - 3Dunkerque
HPau3 - 0Martigues
APau1 - 1Grenoble
HPau1 - 0Caen
APau2 - 2Clermont
APau2 - 3Bordeaux
HPau1 - 2Bastia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bastia since 2022
Bastia
Pau
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
BAS
1
D
1
PAU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
1 - 4Pau
Bastia1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Pau since 2021
Pau
Bastia
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
BAS
2
D
1
PAU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pau
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Bastia
2 - 6Bastia
Pau2 - 0
Goal Statistics
Bastia 8th Pau 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bastia will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Pau scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Bastia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Pau’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279891/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bastia
PG (predicted goals)
Pau
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
7%
better
BAS
PAU
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score6
6
Scored first7
7
Goals scored22
19
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal8
10
Conversion rate for12
10
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
9%
better
BAS
PAU
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded17
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+9%

Bastia v Pau Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18525
J PlacideA BoutrahT DucrocqZ. Ariss
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK18
-
T Ducrocq MID1812
4
-
L Tramoni FWD1712
2
-
A Boutrah FWD175
-
Z. Ariss DEF162
5
-
F Bohnert DEF16
1
-
J Maggiotti  MID161
2
-
F Tomi MID163
1
-
C Rodrigues FWD163
2
-
G Akueson DEF15
4
-
L Cissé FWD1551
-
C Vincent MID1411
3
-
T. Meynadier DEF13
1
-
A Roncaglia MID12
1
J Janneh MID121
2
1
J. Guevara DEF111
3
-
L Etoga MID111
3
-
D Guidi DEF8
2
-
D Tavares DEF5
1
1
C. Inao Oulaï MID3
1
-
S. Mazikou DEF1
-
M. Boumaaoui FWD1
-
Pau Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17555
K AhoussouK BoutaïbA BobichonP. Mboup
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A. Mille MID1813
4
-
T Arconte FWD1811
1
-
K Ahoussou DEF171
3
-
P. Mboup FWD1732
5
-
I Mohamed MID16
3
-
K Boutaïb FWD165
1
1
J Ruiz DEF1511
5
-
T Koudou DEF152
3
-
B Kamara GLK14
1
-
J Gaspar DEF14
4
-
O Ngom MID142
1
1
K Diawara FWD143
1
-
A Bobichon MID1325
1
1
S Beusnard MID12
2
-
J. Kalulu Kyatengwa DEF10
-
Y. Njoh FWD10
-
X Kouassi DEF9
1
-
K. Gasnier MID7
-
O Kanté DEF6
1
-
M Jeannin GLK4
-
J Obiang DEF4
-
K Boto DEF4
-
M Chahiri FWD2
-
J Evan's DEF1
-