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Boulogne v Montpellier : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade de la Libération, Boulogne-sur-Mer

Montpellier, led by manager Zoumana Camara, visit Fabien Dagneaux and his Boulogne side at the Stade de la Libération on Friday evening in the Ligue 2. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight given to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Boulogne's next match is v Red Star at 13:00 on Saturday 24th January
Montpellier's next match is v Bastia at 19:00 on Friday 23rd January

The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Boulogne and Montpellier was on Friday 16th January 2026

French Ligue 2

January 16th 2026

Boulogne 1	0 Montpellier

C. Fatou 59'

	BOU MTP
Shots On	1 2
Shots Off	5 3
Corners	5 2
Possession	40% 60%
Fouls	9 15
Yellow/red cards	3/0 1/0

Boulogne	Montpellier

V. Burlet G. Zohore I. Kone J. Boyer D. Thiam (E. Kouassi 90') S. Duflos (J. Bultel 68') S. Gourville A. El Farissi (J. Martin 80') N. Binet N. Fatar (M. Lecolier 46') C. Fatou (S. Keita 69')	J. Laporte T. Savanier (K. Fayad 70') Y. Issoufou (N. Mbuku 69') N. Pays L. Mincarelli Davin V. Džodić Y. Mouanga B. Omeragic E. Tchato Mbiayi (T. Chennahi 58') E. Pereira da Silva A. Mendy

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Boulogne and Montpellier have delivered plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.22.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Montpellier coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Boulogne 28%	19/10	1/40
Draw 26%	2/1	10/1
Montpellier 46%	5/4	55/1
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	6/1
Montpellier 1-0 12%	6/1	18/5
Montpellier 2-1 9%	17/2	40/1
Boulogne 1-0 9%	15/2	1/5
Montpellier 2-0 8%	10/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 8%	7/1	13/10
Boulogne 2-1 7%	11/1	33/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	90/1
Boulogne 2-0 5%	14/1	15/2
Montpellier 3-1 4%	20/1	100/1
Montpellier 3-0 4%	20/1	33/1
Boulogne 3-1 2%	25/1	125/1
Montpellier 3-2 2%	33/1	150/1
Boulogne 3-2 2%	40/1	100/1
Boulogne 3-0 2%	33/1	45/1
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	6/5	33/1
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	13/20	1/1000
Home 1st Goal 44%	6/5	2/1
Away 1st Goal 51%	5/6	15/8
No 1st Goal 5%	7/1	13/10
BTTS - Yes 50%	5/6	10/1
BTTS - No 50%	5/6	1/33
BTTS - Home Win 12%	11/2	33/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	6/1
BTTS - Away Win 19%	9/2	40/1
Home/draw 54%	8/15	1/1000
Away/draw 72%	4/11	10/1
Home/away 74%	1/3	1/40
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	4/11	6/1
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	2/1	1/14
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	3/1	80/1
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	2/9	1/1000
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8/1	1/50
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/14	1/50
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	18/1	1/50
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/50	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	8/15
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1	13/10
Home DNB 46%	6/5	23/20
Away DNB 64%	8/13	8/13
Boulogne win to nil 16%	4/1	-
Montpellier win to nil 26%	11/4	-
Boulogne / Boulogne 15%	4/1	14/1
Boulogne / Montpellier 3%	28/1	40/1
Boulogne / Draw 6%	14/1	25/1
Draw / Boulogne 11%	11/2	3/1
Draw / Montpellier 16%	9/2	11/5
Draw / Draw 18%	15/4	7/5
Montpellier / Boulogne 3%	33/1	45/1
Montpellier / Montpellier 23%	11/4	11/1
Montpellier / Draw 6%	14/1	25/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Boulogne have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Boulogne have conceded 27 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Boulogne have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Montpellier lay in 9th place on 25 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Montpellier have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Montpellier have played 8 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Boulogne Montpellier
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Troyes	19	12	5	2	16	41	l 1-2A	Apr 17	Apr 3	l 1-0A
2	St Etienne	19	10	4	5	11	34	l 0-1A	Jan 31	l 0-2A	Feb 7
3	Dunkerque	19	9	6	4	14	33	Apr 24	d 1-1A	l 1-3A	w 0-1F
4	Reims	19	9	5	5	12	32	l 2-6F	Apr 3	Feb 27	l 2-0A
5	Red Star	18	9	5	4	8	32	l 1-2A	Jan 24	d 1-1A	May 9
6	Le Mans	19	8	8	3	5	32	Apr 10	l 1-0A	Feb 14	w 1-2F
7	Guingamp	19	8	5	6	1	29	d 2-2A	l 3-0A	Jan 30	l 1-0A
8	Pau	19	7	6	6	-4	27	l 0-3A	Feb 13	l 0-1A	Mar 20
9	Annecy	19	7	4	8	4	25	May 2	d 1-1A	w 1-0F	Apr 10
10	Montpellier	19	7	4	8	-1	25	w 1-0F	w 1-3F	-	-
11	Rodez	19	5	8	6	-5	23	Feb 6	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	Feb 20
12	Clermont	19	5	7	7	-3	22	Feb 20	d 1-1F	May 2	d 1-1F
13	Grenoble	19	5	6	8	-6	21	w 3-1A	Feb 27	Apr 17	d 1-1F
14	Nancy	19	6	3	10	-9	21	Mar 20	l 1-0A	w 4-1A	Mar 6
15	Boulogne	19	5	4	10	-10	19	-	-	l 1-3A	l 1-0A
16	Amiens	19	5	3	11	-8	18	Mar 6	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	Apr 24
17	Lavallois	19	3	6	10	-14	15	l 1-2A	May 9	Mar 13	w 0-1F
18	Bastia	18	3	5	10	-11	14	w 1-0F	Mar 13	w 2-0F	Jan 23

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 9

Conceded

8 / 9

Clean sheets

1 / 9

Failed to score

2 / 9

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boulogne	1 - 2	Troyes
Boulogne	3 - 1	Grenoble
Boulogne	2 - 6	Reims
Boulogne	2 - 2	Guingamp
Boulogne	1 - 2	Red Star
Boulogne	0 - 3	Pau
Boulogne	1 - 0	Bastia
Boulogne	1 - 2	Lavallois
Boulogne	0 - 1	St Etienne

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 18

Conceded

16 / 18

Clean sheets

2 / 18

Failed to score

6 / 18

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Boulogne	0 - 3	Guingamp
H	Boulogne	1 - 2	Troyes
A	Boulogne	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Boulogne	3 - 1	Grenoble
A	Boulogne	1 - 1	Dunkerque
A	Boulogne	1 - 1	Annecy
H	Boulogne	2 - 6	Reims
A	Boulogne	0 - 1	Le Mans
H	Boulogne	2 - 2	Guingamp
A	Boulogne	1 - 0	Amiens
H	Boulogne	1 - 2	Red Star
A	Boulogne	3 - 1	Montpellier
H	Boulogne	0 - 3	Pau
H	Boulogne	1 - 0	Bastia
H	Boulogne	1 - 2	Lavallois
A	Boulogne	0 - 1	Rodez
H	Boulogne	0 - 1	St Etienne
A	Boulogne	0 - 1	Nancy

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

13 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grenoble	1 - 1	Montpellier
Reims	2 - 0	Montpellier
Clermont	1 - 1	Montpellier
Dunkerque	0 - 1	Montpellier
Lavallois	0 - 1	Montpellier
Guingamp	1 - 0	Montpellier
Troyes	1 - 0	Montpellier
Le Mans	1 - 2	Montpellier
Nantes	3 - 0	Montpellier
Brest	1 - 0	Montpellier
Marseille	5 - 1	Montpellier
Angers	2 - 0	Montpellier
Auxerre	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lille	1 - 0	Montpellier
Nice	2 - 0	Montpellier
Strasbourg	2 - 0	Montpellier
Toulouse	1 - 2	Montpellier
Lyon	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lens	2 - 0	Montpellier
St Etienne	1 - 0	Montpellier

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Dunkerque
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Grenoble
H	Montpellier	0 - 1	Pau
A	Montpellier	0 - 2	Reims
H	Montpellier	1 - 0	Annecy
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Rodez
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Montpellier	4 - 1	Nancy
A	Montpellier	1 - 0	Dunkerque
H	Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
A	Montpellier	1 - 0	Lavallois
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Boulogne
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Guingamp
H	Montpellier	1 - 1	Amiens
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Troyes
A	Montpellier	2 - 1	Le Mans
H	Montpellier	1 - 1	Red Star
A	Montpellier	0 - 3	Nantes
H	Montpellier	1 - 4	PSG

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Montpellier of late. It has been 5 Ligue 2 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Boulogne.

	Boulogne 16th	Montpellier 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Boulogne will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Montpellier will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
9 home / away league games	=0 Boulogne’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-55 Montpellier have scored 55% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	0.5 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season

BOU

MTP

10%

better

view stats

Games scored	12		13
Failed to score	6		5
Scored first	5		8
Goals scored	18		19
Avg. goals scored	1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	11		11
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+10%

BOU

MTP

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		13
Clean sheets	2		5
Conceded first	13		10
Goals conceded	29		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		9
Conversion rate against	20%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+30%

Boulogne v Montpellier Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Boulogne Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	5	3	6
D Thiam	C. Fatou	S. Duflos	S. Duflos

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Koné GLK	8			1 -
D Thiam DEF	19			3 -
S Gourville DEF	18			2 -
J Boyer DEF	18	1	1	5 -
G Zohore DEF	17			3 1
V. Burlet DEF	6	1		2 -
A. El Farissi MID	14	2	2	2 -
S. Duflos MID	16		3	5 1
N. Binet MID	18		1	2 -
N Fatar MID	17	1	1	1 -
C. Fatou FWD	18	5	1	-
Subs
A. Uriev GLK	12		1	-
E. Kouassi DEF	4			-
A Pinot DEF	15	2		3 -
S. Keita MID	6			1 1
J. Bultel MID	16	1		2 -
J Martin MID	5			1 -
M. Lecolier FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	3	4
C. Fatou	A. El Farissi	S. Duflos	J Boyer

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. Fatou FWD	5	9	1	4
A. El Farissi MID	2	9	2	2
Subs
A Pinot DEF	2	2
J Boyer DEF	1	4	1	4
V. Burlet DEF	1	4
N Fatar MID	1	8	1	3
Subs
J. Bultel MID	1	3		1
S Gourville DEF		1
G Zohore DEF		3
S. Duflos MID		2	3	4
N. Binet MID		4	1	3
Subs
A. Uriev GLK			1	1
S. Keita MID		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
593	53	117
J Boyer	N. Binet	N. Binet

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Boyer DEF	593	36	71
G Zohore DEF	571	23	55
D Thiam DEF	550	26	69
N. Binet MID	529	53	117
S Gourville DEF	522	18	81
Subs
A Pinot DEF	499	16	57
J. Bultel MID	364	28	64
A. Uriev GLK	324	1	6
S. Duflos MID	277	16	39
I Koné GLK	276	1	7
N Fatar MID	275	17	77
A. El Farissi MID	248	16	54
C. Fatou FWD	187	8	39
Subs
J Martin MID	181	8	17
V. Burlet DEF	114	16	37
Subs
E. Kouassi DEF	46	1	5
S. Keita MID	31	6	12
M. Lecolier FWD	12	1	6

Montpellier Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	3	6
B Omeragic	T Savanier	T Savanier	T. Chennahi

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V. Džodić GLK	2			-
E Tchato DEF	5			1 -
J Laporte DEF	15			2 1
B Omeragic DEF	19	2		4 -
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	17			2 -
Y. Mouanga MID	11			1 -
E. Pereira da Silva MID	13		1	3 -
N. Pays MID	15	1		3 -
T Savanier MID	17	5	3	2 -
Y. Issoufou MID	2			-
A Mendy FWD	19	5	1	2 -
Subs
M Michel GLK	1			-
N. El Hannach DEF	14			3 -
C Jullien DEF	13	1	1	2 -
K Fayad MID	11	1	1	2 -
T. Chennahi MID	18		1	6 -
N Mbuku FWD	17	2	2	1 -
V. Orakpo FWD	13		1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	15	3	9
T Savanier	T Savanier	T Savanier	T Savanier

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Savanier MID	5	15	3	9
A Mendy FWD	5	15	1	2
B Omeragic DEF	2	6
Subs
N Mbuku FWD	2	6	2	4
N. Pays MID	1	6		3
Subs
C Jullien DEF	1	2	1
K Fayad MID	1	2	1	3
E Tchato DEF				2
J Laporte DEF		1		1
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF				2
Y. Mouanga MID		1
E. Pereira da Silva MID		3	1	1
Y. Issoufou MID		1
Subs
N. El Hannach DEF		2
T. Chennahi MID		2	1	1
V. Orakpo FWD		6	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1050	33	95
B Omeragic	N. El Hannach	A Mendy

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Omeragic DEF	1050	20	71
J Laporte DEF	924	17	70
T Savanier MID	664	19	75
Subs
C Jullien DEF	579	9	41
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	539	19	34
Subs
N. El Hannach DEF	518	33	62
N Mbuku FWD	401	28	90
E. Pereira da Silva MID	394	20	48
Subs
T. Chennahi MID	390	31	69
Y. Mouanga MID	327	14	33
N. Pays MID	282	14	56
A Mendy FWD	266	4	95
Subs
K Fayad MID	238	16	33
E Tchato DEF	186	12	22
Subs
V. Orakpo FWD	173	7	35
V. Džodić GLK	58		1
Subs
M Michel GLK	27
Y. Issoufou MID	20	2	3