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Caen v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Michel-d'Ornano, Caen

the Stade Michel-d'Ornano plays host on Saturday afternoon, as Nicolas Seube's Caen host Benoit Tavenot's Bastia in the Ligue 2. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all laid out below. Helping our users place smart bets is what we do best. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Caen's next match is v Rodez at 19:00 on Friday 22nd November
Bastia's next match is v Lorient at 19:00 on Saturday 23rd November
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Caen and Bastia was on Saturday 2nd November 2024
French Ligue 2
November 2nd 2024
Caen 2
0 Bastia
 
A. Mendy 31'
B. Brahimi 57'
 
CAE
BAS
Shots On
2
1
Shots Off
3
9
Corners
1
11
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
20
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
CaenBastia
 
Y. Clementia
V. Henry (D. Bolumbu 46')
B. Traoré
R. Thomas
Q. Lecoeuche
N. Lebreton
D. Debohi
B. Brahimifootball icon
A. Mendyfootball icon (M. Autret 90')
M. Le Bihan (G. Kyeremeh 65')
K. Coulibaly (T. Gomis 66')
J. Placide
J. Guevara
Z. Ariss
G. Akueson
(F. Tomi 67') F. Bohnert
(T. Meynadier 67') T. Ducrocq
(L. Rajot 77') C. Vincent
J. Janneh
A. Boutrah
(J. Maggiotti 74') C. Rodrigues
(L. Cisse 46') L. Tramoni

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a relatively tight affair here and, as such, are predicting under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Caen and Bastia go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The stats and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Caen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Caen
34%
6/56/5
5%
Draw
30%
21/10
3%
19/10
6%
Bastia
36%
23/10
2%
21/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/119/4
4%
Bastia 1-0
13%
8/17/1
Caen 1-0
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
Draw 0-0
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
7%
Bastia 2-1
7%
12/1
8%
9/1
Caen 2-1
7%
17/215/2
6%
Bastia 2-0
7%
14/112/1
Caen 2-0
7%
9/18/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Bastia 3-1
3%
28/120/1
Bastia 3-0
3%
33/125/1
Caen 3-1
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
Caen 3-0
2%
20/116/1
13%
Bastia 3-2
1%
40/125/1
Caen 3-2
1%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
5/4
5%
23/20
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
8/13
3%
4/7
5%
Home 1st Goal
46%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
46%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
8%
13/2
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
10/11
4%
10/11
BTTS - No
57%
4/5
2%
4/5
BTTS - Home Win
12%
4/119/5
7%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
13/2
7%
11/2
Home/draw
64%
1/31/3
2%
Away/draw
66%
4/63/5
4%
Home/away
70%
4/117/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
2/5
3%
4/11
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
7/4
8%
13/8
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
3/111/4
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
2/91/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/141/18
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
18/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/501/500
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
1/14
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
7/1
6%
11/2
7%
Home DNB
55%
4/74/7
3%
Away DNB
57%
5/45/4
5%
Caen win to nil
22%
5/2-
Bastia win to nil
23%
9/2-
Caen / Caen
22%
11/413/5
6%
Caen / Bastia
3%
33/125/1
Caen / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Caen
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Bastia
12%
6/111/2
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
7%
Bastia / Caen
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Bastia / Bastia
15%
9/217/4
Bastia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Caen have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Caen have conceded 15 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Caen have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Bastia lay in 10th place on 15 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 10 matches. Bastia are unbeaten in 5 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 5 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 4 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bastia have conceded 3 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Bastia have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Caen
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Paris FC128221126 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 29
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
Lorient12723923 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 26
Nov 23
Mar 15
Annecy12642722 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
d
 
2-2A
Apr 5
Dunkerque12714322 
Feb 8
Dec 16
Mar 29
l
 
2-1F
Metz12633821 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
Guingamp12615419 
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
Dec 13
May 3
Amiens12615219 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Grenoble12525317 
Jan 11
l
 
3-1F
Apr 26
Jan 4
Lavallois12435215 
Mar 8
Dec 6
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Bastia Away11362015 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
-
-
Clermont12435-115 
Jan 4
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Pau12435-415 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Caen Home12426-214 
-
-
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Red Star12426-814 
May 3
d
 
2-2F
Feb 22
Dec 6
Rodez12336-212 
Nov 22
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
Feb 8
Ajaccio11326-511 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 18
Jan 11
Dec 3
Troyes12327-911 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
Martigues12228-188 
Apr 19
w
 
0-3F
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Caen 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Bastia 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Caen have beaten Bastia in 4 consecutive home league meetings
6
Caen have not lost to Bastia in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Caen since 2014
Caen
Bastia
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
CAE
4
D
2
League games at Bastia since 2015
Bastia
Caen
Goals: Scored
6
5
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
CAE
1
D
3
BAS
2
Goal Statistics
Caen 14th Bastia 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Caen will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Bastia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Caen have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Bastia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279817/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Caen
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
0%
better
CAE
BAS
view stats
Games scored8
8
Failed to score3
2
Scored first6
5
Goals scored12
11
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
11
Avg. XG for2.7
1.9
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
CAE
BAS
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded16
9
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against0.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+31%

Caen v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13734
R ThomasA MendyB BrahimiD Debohi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Clementia GLK3
-
V Henry DEF8
3
-
B Traoré DEF91
-
R Thomas DEF13
1
-
Q Lecoeuche DEF10
2
-
D Debohi MID12
4
-
N Lebreton MID132
2
-
M Bihan MID121
-
B Brahimi MID1223
1
-
K Coulibaly MID8
1
-
A Mendy FWD1171
1
-
Subs
A Mandréa GLK10
-
R. Verhaeghe DEF
-
D Bolumbu DEF7
2
-
L Rajot MID111
2
-
G Kyeremeh MID13
1
-
M Autret MID6
-
T. Gomis FWD1322
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13413
J PlacideA BoutrahJ. GuevaraG Akueson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK13
-
F Bohnert DEF11
1
-
G Akueson DEF12
3
-
J. Guevara DEF111
3
-
Z. Ariss DEF12
3
-
T Ducrocq MID131
2
-
J Janneh MID9
1
-
L Tramoni MID121
2
-
A Boutrah MID134
-
C Vincent MID1111
2
-
C Rodrigues FWD113
1
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
D Guidi DEF3
1
-
T. Meynadier DEF9
-
J Maggiotti  MID12
2
-
F Tomi MID111
-
L Etoga MID71
2
-
L Cissé FWD103
-