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Guingamp v Caen : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Municipal de Roudourou, Guingamp

Stephane Dumont and Nicolas Seube meet in the Ligue 2 on Saturday evening, as Guingamp face Caen at the Stade Municipal de Roudourou. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.

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Guingamp's next match is v Concarneau at 18:00 on Saturday 9th March
Caen's next match is v Paris FC at 18:00 on Saturday 9th March
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Guingamp and Caen was on Saturday 17th February 2024
French Ligue 2
February 17th 2024
Guingamp 1
0 Caen
 
D. Gomis 4'
 
GUI
CAE
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
3
9
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
21
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
GuingampCaen
 
E. Basilio
M. Sivis
P. Lemonnier
L. Maronnier
D. Gomisfootball icon
D. Louiserre
V. Lobry
M. Merghem (T. Luvambo 75')
H. Picard (U. Bonnet 87')
A. Sagna (B. Roux 88')
A. El Ouazzani (B. Guillaume 65')
A. Mandrea
(S. Ben Youssef 77') V. Henry
B. Traoré
D. Meddah
A. Abdi
(M. Le Bihan 69') M. Autret
(D. Debohi 77') B. Brahimi
N. Lebreton
(G. Kyeremeh 69') Q. Daubin
(M. Hafid 77') S. Salama
A. Mendy
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of strong, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Stephane Dumont or Nicolas Seube mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Latest form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guingamp are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Guingamp
45%
21/20
14%
11/10
15%
Evs
3%
Evens
11%
Draw
24%
9/4
4%
2/1
8%
21/10
3%
9/4
4%
Caen
30%
5/2
13%
5/2
18%
5/2
3%
27/10
8%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
11/227/5
5%
Guingamp 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
17/2
12%
15/215/2
Guingamp 1-0
9%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
11/211/2
4%
Caen 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
23/2
4%
Guingamp 2-0
7%
8/1
13%
17/2
19%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Caen 1-0
7%
8/1
10%
8/1
18%
17/2
5%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
11%
16/114/115/1
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
7/1
6%
7/1
6%
15/215/2
Guingamp 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
20/1
24%
16/116/1
6%
Caen 2-0
5%
16/1
19%
18/1
17%
16/116/1
6%
Guingamp 3-0
4%
18/1
27%
20/1
40%
16/115/1
14%
Guingamp 3-2
3%
33/133/128/128/1
3%
Caen 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
33/1
26%
28/1
15%
30/1
11%
Caen 3-2
2%
40/150/1
9%
40/140/1
11%
Guingamp 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
37%
40/140/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
5/4
5%
6/5
2%
6/5
5%
6/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
8/13
3%
8/15
4%
8/13
3%
8/13
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6
9%
5/6
10%
8/11
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/5
10%
6/4
11%
6/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
7/1
6%
7/1
6%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
1/11/110/1119/20
4%
BTTS - No
42%
8/114/5
3%
4/510/13
3%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
4/1
11%
4/1
11%
18/5
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
7/215/4
7%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/1
11%
7/1
16%
13/2-
Home/draw
70%
2/7
8%
2/9
4%
2/7
3%
2/9
3%
Away/draw
55%
8/11
5%
8/13
12%
8/11
4%
3/4
7%
Home/away
76%
1/3
3%
3/10
1%
1/33/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
7/20
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
7/4
8%
13/8
5%
7/4
8%
2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
10/3
8%
3/1
5%
3/1
7%
33/10
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
2/9
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/1
11%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
8/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/16
1%
1/161/16
1%
1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/66
1%
1/66--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/141/141/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/1
6%
6/1
7%
13/215/2
6%
Home DNB
62%
1/2
10%
8/15
13%
4/921/50
5%
Away DNB
47%
6/4
17%
11/8
21%
13/817/10
10%
Guingamp win to nil
22%
9/4
18%
23/10
15%
11/5
3%
-
Caen win to nil
14%
9/2
15%
19/4
18%
5/1-
Guingamp / Guingamp
25%
12/5
13%
27/10
19%
23/10
3%
11/5
8%
Guingamp / Caen
2%
33/1
17%
45/1
18%
40/140/1
Guingamp / Draw
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/113/1
7%
Draw / Guingamp
17%
4/1
11%
19/5
9%
4/14/1
4%
Draw / Caen
11%
13/2
12%
13/2
17%
7/1
6%
7/1
11%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
5%
17/5
7%
18/5
8%
15/4
5%
Caen / Guingamp
3%
25/1
13%
33/1
17%
25/125/1
Caen / Caen
13%
5/1
20%
11/2
19%
5/121/4
7%
Caen / Draw
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/113/1
7%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Guingamp have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Guingamp have conceded 16 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Guingamp have played 11 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Caen lay in 6th place on 36 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Caen have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Caen have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Guingamp
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Caen
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Auxerre27141032552 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 16
Apr 23
l
 
1-0A
 Angers2614481046 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
May 18
l
 
2-1F
 Lavallois271296545 
May 4
l
 
2-1F
May 4
w
 
1-3A
 St Etienne271269842 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Caen Away271269442 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Mar 30
 Grenoble2710107740 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
 Rodez271098539 
Apr 13
l
 
5-3A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
 Ajaccio261088138 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 20
Apr 6
l
 
4-1F
 Amiens279117-338 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
 Pau279108-137 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
-
-
 Guingamp Home27999236 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 11
 Paris FC27999136 
Mar 9
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Bordeaux2710710-336 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1F
Apr 20
d
 
0-00-0
 Bastia279711-233 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 9
 Concarneau279612-733 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
 Troyes2771010-531 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 13
 Dunkerque278712-1331 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Quevillaise.2751111-326 
d
 
3-3F
Mar 30
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-4A
 Annecy275913-1124 
Apr 23
w
 
1-2A
Mar 16
d
 
0-00-0
 Valenciennes2721015-2016 
May 18
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Guingamp 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Caen 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Guingamp since 2014
Guingamp
Caen
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
GUI
2
D
5
CAE
2
All league games since 2014
Guingamp
Caen
Goals: Scored
18
19
Games: Scored
11 / 18
12 / 18
Clean sheets
6 / 18
7 / 18
GUI
4
D
8
CAE
6
Goal Statistics
Guingamp 11th Caen 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Guingamp will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Caen will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Guingamp have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Caen have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 2 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263236/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Guingamp
PG (predicted goals)
Caen
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
GUI
CAE
23%
better
view stats
Games scored16
22
Failed to score11
5
Scored first11
14
Goals scored31
38
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate12%
16%
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
3%
better
GUI
CAE
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first11
11
Goals conceded29
34
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate15%
15%
KickOff rating
+3%

Guingamp v Caen Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Guingamp Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27757
E BasilioA OuazzaniA OuazzaniM Sivis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Basilio GLK27
1
-
M Sivis DEF2511
6
1
D Gomis DEF2421
6
1
P Lemonnier  DEF19
2
-
L Maronnier DEF6
1
-
V Lobry MID7
1
-
D Louiserre MID24
7
-
M Merghem MID2431
2
-
H Picard MID2522
-
A Sagna MID2754
3
-
A Ouazzani FWD2775
3
-
Subs
B Niasse GLK
-
B Roux DEF181
2
-
V Manceau DEF11
1
-
T Luvambo DEF141
1
-
J Iglesias MID91
1
-
U Bonnet FWD3
-
B Guillaume FWD2562
4
-
Caen Ligue 2 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271766
B TraoréA MendyV HenryV Henry
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Mandréa GLK23
3
-
V Henry DEF226
6
-
B Traoré DEF271
1
-
D Meddah DEF9
1
-
A Abdi DEF2481
5
-
N Lebreton MID171
3
-
Q Daubin MID2611
5
-
M Autret MID2316
1
-
B Brahimi MID1911
3
-
A Mendy FWD2617
-
A Salama FWD51
-
Subs
Y Clementia GLK4
-
S Youssef DEF3
2
-
D Debohi DEF12
3
-
A Coeff DEF153
1
G Kyeremeh MID2726
2
-
M Bihan FWD2231
1
-
M Hafid FWD8
-