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Lorient v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade du Moustoir, Lorient

The Ligue 2 is the focus for both Lorient and Bastia on Saturday evening, as bosses Olivier Pantaloni and Benoit Tavenot go head to head at the Stade du Moustoir. We have custom-designed stats for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Lorient's next match is v Grenoble at 13:00 on Saturday 29th March
Bastia's next match is v Dunkerque at 19:00 on Friday 28th March
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Lorient and Bastia was on Saturday 15th March 2025
French Ligue 2
March 15th 2025
Lorient 4
0 Bastia
 
A. Ebong Avon 8'
E. Kroupi 42'
P. Katseris 70'
D. Yongwa Ngameni 88'
 
LOR
BAS
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
1
5
Corners
2
1
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
19
18
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
LorientBastia
 
Y. Mvogo
M. Talbi
P. Katserisfootball icon (J. Mvuka 76')
J. Laporte
I. Silva de Almeida
D. Yongwa Ngamenifootball icon
A. Ebong Avonfootball icon
L. Abergel
E. Kroupifootball icon (Mohamed Bamba 68')
P. Pagis (B. Fadiga 84')
S. Soumano (F. Mendy 77')
J. Placide
Z. Ariss
D. Guidi
G. Akueson
(F. Bohnert 84') T. Meynadier
(C. Vincent 65') C. Inao Oulaï
T. Ducrocq
(C. Onana Etoga 46') J. Janneh
J. Sebas
(A. Aiki 66') L. Cisse
(M. Ble 46') A. Boutrah

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Lorient and Bastia have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lorient are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lorient
57%
3/4
3%
3/4
3%
Draw
24%
23/10
3%
9/4
Bastia
19%
7/2
5%
16/5
7%
Lorient 1-0
13%
5/1
9%
9/2
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
11/2
Lorient 2-0
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Lorient 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 0-0
7%
13/26/1
Bastia 1-0
6%
10/18/1
5%
Lorient 3-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Lorient 3-1
6%
16/112/1
Bastia 2-1
5%
16/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
Bastia 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Lorient 4-0
3%
28/120/1
Lorient 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Lorient 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Bastia 3-1
1%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
5/423/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/134/7
1%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
39%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
11/10
5%
11/10
2%
BTTS - No
52%
4/6
3%
4/6
3%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
7/210/3
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/18/1
5%
Home/draw
81%
1/6
1%
1/5
3%
Away/draw
43%
10/11
9%
19/20
5%
Home/away
76%
3/103/10
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
7/413/8
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
10/314/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/51/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/161/20
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/661/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/16
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/1
7%
11/2
Home DNB
74%
3/10
4%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
35%
12/5
9%
11/5
6%
Lorient win to nil
34%
13/8
5%
-
Bastia win to nil
10%
6/1
13%
-
Lorient / Lorient
28%
15/8
5%
9/5
4%
Lorient / Bastia
2%
40/133/1
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Lorient
18%
10/317/5
5%
Draw / Bastia
9%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
15/47/2
Bastia / Lorient
3%
25/120/1
Bastia / Bastia
11%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Bastia / Draw
5%
16/112/1
13%
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Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Lorient have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 2 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Lorient have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Lorient have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Bastia are in 8th position in the Ligue 2 on 37 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Bastia have conceded 10 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lorient
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lorient Home2717462355 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-0A
2
Metz2715842653 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
3
Paris FC2716471452 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
4
Dunkerque271539748 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 28
l
 
2-1F
5
Guingamp27143101145 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-1A
May 2
6
Lavallois2712781143 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 14
d
 
2-2F
7
Annecy271179-440 
w
 
4-2A
Apr 21
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
8
Bastia Away278136237 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
9
Grenoble2710710137 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 29
Apr 25
l
 
3-2A
10
Pau278109-734 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
11
Ajaccio2710413-834 
w
 
3-0F
May 2
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
12
Troyes2710314133 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
13
Amiens2710314-1333 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
Red Star279513-1332 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Rodez278712231 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
16
Clermont276813-1326 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
17
Martigues277416-2325 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Caen275418-1719 
Apr 26
w
 
1-2A
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Lorient 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient3 - 1Rodez
Lorient0 - 1Lavallois
Lorient3 - 1Amiens
Lorient3 - 2Clermont
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Troyes
Lorient3 - 1Guingamp
Lorient4 - 2Dunkerque
Lorient4 - 2Annecy
Lorient3 - 0Ajaccio
Lorient2 - 1Red Star
Lorient2 - 0Grenoble
Lorient5 - 0Clermont
Lorient1 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 4PSG
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lorient0 - 2Lyon
Lorient0 - 1Nantes
Lorient2 - 0Reims
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALorient2 - 3Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Rodez
HLorient0 - 1Lavallois
ALorient1 - 0Troyes
HLorient3 - 1Amiens
ALorient2 - 1Red Star
HLorient3 - 2Clermont
ALorient1 - 0Dunkerque
HLorient0 - 0Metz
ALorient0 - 2Lavallois
HLorient2 - 0Paris FC
HLorient2 - 0Troyes
ALorient0 - 0Bastia
HLorient3 - 1Guingamp
ALorient1 - 2Clermont
HLorient4 - 2Dunkerque
ALorient3 - 3Rodez
HLorient4 - 2Annecy
ALorient2 - 1Caen
HLorient3 - 0Ajaccio
Bastia 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Clermont1 - 1Bastia
Rodez0 - 2Bastia
Amiens1 - 0Bastia
Grenoble3 - 2Bastia
Red Star0 - 0Bastia
Ajaccio0 - 0Bastia
Lavallois2 - 2Bastia
Caen2 - 0Bastia
Pau1 - 1Bastia
Dunkerque2 - 1Bastia
Martigues0 - 1Bastia
Metz1 - 1Bastia
Pau1 - 2Bastia
Annecy3 - 2Bastia
Guingamp0 - 1Bastia
Bordeaux2 - 3Bastia
Lavallois1 - 2Bastia
Troyes2 - 0Bastia
Auxerre1 - 1Bastia
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBastia1 - 0Martigues
ABastia0 - 2Troyes
HBastia1 - 0Red Star
ABastia1 - 1Clermont
ABastia2 - 0Rodez
HBastia1 - 1Metz
HBastia1 - 1Pau
ABastia0 - 1Amiens
HBastia4 - 0Ajaccio
ABastia2 - 3Grenoble
HBastia3 - 1Guingamp
ABastia0 - 0Red Star
ABastia0 - 0Ajaccio
HBastia0 - 0Lorient
ABastia2 - 2Lavallois
ABastia0 - 2Caen
HBastia2 - 2Rodez
ABastia1 - 1Pau
HBastia0 - 0Clermont
HBastia2 - 2Annecy
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bastia have not lost to Lorient in 5 consecutive league meetings
4
Bastia have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Lorient
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Bastia
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
LOR
1
D
2
BAS
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
0 - 3Bastia
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lorient2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bastia since 2013
Bastia
Lorient
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
2 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
3 / 5
LOR
1
D
2
BAS
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bastia
Draw0 - 0Draw
Bastia2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Lorient
Bastia4 - 1
Goal Statistics
Lorient 1st Bastia 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Lorient will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Lorient have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Bastia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279956/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lorient
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
19%
better
LOR
BAS
view stats
Games scored20
18
Failed to score6
8
Scored first11
12
Goals scored45
29
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
LOR
BAS
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets9
11
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded26
23
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%

Lorient v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lorient Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271367
Y Mvogo E KroupiL AbergelL Abergel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Mvogo  GLK27
-
I Silva DEF191
4
-
J Laporte DEF151
2
-
M Talbi DEF2411
3
1
D Yongwa DEF2615
4
-
L Abergel MID2516
7
-
P Katseris MID214
3
-
A Avon MID2523
2
-
P Pagis MID2032
2
-
E Kroupi MID23132
2
-
S Soumano FWD26103
1
-
Subs
B Leroy GLK
-
E. Genton DEF61
1
-
I. James DEF5
2
-
F Mendy DEF191
1
-
B Fadiga MID3
-
J Mvuka MID233
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD222
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27627
J PlacideL CisséZ. ArissJ Janneh
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Placide GLK27
2
-
T. Meynadier DEF20
3
-
G Akueson DEF23
6
-
D Guidi DEF13
2
-
Z. Ariss DEF242
6
-
T Ducrocq MID2632
6
-
J Janneh MID201
5
2
J Sebas MID61
1
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID10
4
-
A Boutrah MID265
1
-
L Cissé FWD2461
-
Subs
J Fabri GLK
-
F Bohnert DEF23
2
-
M. Ble DEF102
1
-
A Roncaglia MID18
2
1
C Vincent MID2011
4
-
L Etoga MID161
4
1
A Aiki FWD5
-