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Montpellier v Le Mans : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Feb, 13:00 BST, Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

Le Mans are away on Saturday afternoon, as manager Patrick Videira takes his men to visit Montpellier and Zoumana Camara at the Stade de la Mosson in the Ligue 2. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Ligue 2 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score at least two goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Montpellier and Le Mans's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.36.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Montpellier are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Montpellier 38%	5/4	6/5
Draw 26%	21/10	21/10
Le Mans 36%	11/5	19/10
Draw 1-1 12%	5/1	19/4
Montpellier 1-0 9%	6/1	11/2
Le Mans 1-0 9%	8/1	13/2
Montpellier 2-1 8%	17/2	7/1
Le Mans 2-1 8%	11/1	9/1
Draw 0-0 6%	15/2	13/2
Montpellier 2-0 6%	9/1 9%	8/1
Le Mans 2-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	14/1	12/1
Montpellier 3-1 4%	18/1 10%	16/1
Le Mans 3-1 4%	28/1	18/1
Montpellier 3-0 3%	20/1	16/1
Le Mans 3-0 3%	33/1	22/1
Montpellier 3-2 3%	33/1	22/1
Le Mans 3-2 3%	40/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 51%	23/20	11/10
Under 2.5 Goals 49%	4/6	3/5
Home 1st Goal 48%	5/6	17/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	5/4 2%	5/4
No 1st Goal 4%	15/2	13/2
BTTS - Yes 56%	5/6	10/11
BTTS - No 44%	5/6	4/5
BTTS - Home Win 19%	4/1	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2 4%	17/5
BTTS - Away Win 18%	6/1	5/1
Home/draw 64%	4/11	7/20
Away/draw 62%	8/13	3/5
Home/away 74%	4/11	1/3
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	4/11	7/20
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	2/1	7/4
Over 3.5 Goals 29%	11/4	11/4
Under 3.5 Goals 71%	1/4	1/5
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	8/1	6/1
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1/14	1/18
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	18/1	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/50	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/14	1/18
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	15/2	6/1
Home DNB 56%	4/7 3%	8/13
Away DNB 54%	5/4 2%	23/20
Montpellier win to nil 19%	11/4	-
Le Mans win to nil 19%	9/2	-
Montpellier / Montpellier 22%	11/4	5/2
Montpellier / Le Mans 3%	33/1 17%	25/1
Montpellier / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Montpellier 15%	9/2	9/2
Draw / Le Mans 11%	6/1	6/1
Draw / Draw 17%	15/4	18/5
Le Mans / Montpellier 3%	25/1	20/1
Le Mans / Le Mans 16%	4/1	19/5
Le Mans / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Montpellier have played 22 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 14 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Montpellier have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Le Mans lay in 3rd place on 39 points in the Ligue 2 league table having played 22 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Le Mans have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Le Mans have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Montpellier Le Mans
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Troyes	22	12	5	5	12	41	Apr 4	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
2	Reims	22	11	6	5	14	39	Feb 27	l 2-0A	May 2	l 1-0A
3	Le Mans	22	10	9	3	8	39	Feb 14	w 1-2F	-	-
4	St Etienne	22	11	4	7	10	37	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	w 2-3F
5	Dunkerque	22	9	7	6	12	34	l 1-3A	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	d 2-2A
6	Red Star	21	9	7	5	5	34	d 1-1A	May 9	d 0-00-0	Feb 28
7	Pau	22	9	7	6	0	34	l 0-1A	Mar 20	Apr 6	w 1-2A
8	Guingamp	22	9	6	7	0	33	w 3-1A	l 1-0A	Feb 23	d 3-3F
9	Annecy	22	9	5	8	6	32	w 1-0F	Apr 10	Mar 7	w 1-2F
10	Montpellier	22	9	4	9	2	31	-	-	l 1-2A	Feb 14
11	Rodez	22	7	9	6	-2	30	w 2-0F	Feb 20	l 0-1A	d 1-1A
12	Grenoble	22	6	8	8	-5	26	Apr 17	d 1-1F	w 1-0F	Apr 24
13	Nancy	22	7	4	11	-10	25	w 4-1A	Mar 6	w 1-0F	Mar 13
14	Boulogne	22	6	5	11	-10	23	l 1-3A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	Apr 10
15	Clermont	22	5	7	10	-6	22	May 2	d 1-1F	Apr 17	d 1-1A
16	Amiens	22	6	4	12	-8	22	d 1-1A	Apr 24	w 1-0F	Mar 20
17	Lavallois	22	3	8	11	-15	17	Mar 13	w 0-1F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F
18	Bastia	21	3	7	11	-13	16	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	May 9

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Le Mans have not lost in 17 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montpellier	3 - 1	Guingamp
Montpellier	1 - 3	Dunkerque
Montpellier	0 - 1	Pau
Montpellier	1 - 0	Annecy
Montpellier	2 - 0	Rodez
Montpellier	4 - 1	Nancy
Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
Montpellier	1 - 3	Boulogne
Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
Montpellier	1 - 1	Amiens
Montpellier	1 - 1	Red Star
Montpellier	1 - 4	PSG
Montpellier	0 - 0	Reims
Montpellier	0 - 2	Le Havre
Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
Montpellier	0 - 4	Rennes
Montpellier	1 - 4	Lyon
Montpellier	0 - 2	Lens
Montpellier	2 - 1	Monaco
Montpellier	1 - 3	Angers

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	St Etienne
H	Montpellier	3 - 1	Guingamp
A	Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Boulogne
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Dunkerque
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Grenoble
H	Montpellier	0 - 1	Pau
A	Montpellier	0 - 2	Reims
H	Montpellier	1 - 0	Annecy
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Rodez
A	Montpellier	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Montpellier	4 - 1	Nancy
A	Montpellier	1 - 0	Dunkerque
H	Montpellier	0 - 2	St Etienne
A	Montpellier	1 - 0	Lavallois
H	Montpellier	1 - 3	Boulogne
H	Montpellier	2 - 0	Bastia
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Guingamp
H	Montpellier	1 - 1	Amiens
A	Montpellier	0 - 1	Troyes

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Troyes	0 - 2	Le Mans
Rodez	1 - 1	Le Mans
Annecy	1 - 2	Le Mans
Pau	1 - 2	Le Mans
Lavallois	1 - 1	Le Mans
St Etienne	2 - 3	Le Mans
Clermont	1 - 1	Le Mans
Dunkerque	2 - 2	Le Mans
Reims	1 - 0	Le Mans
Guingamp	3 - 3	Le Mans
Chambly	2 - 2	Le Mans
Ajaccio	2 - 0	Le Mans
Sochaux	1 - 0	Le Mans
Lorient	4 - 2	Le Mans
Valenciennes	1 - 0	Le Mans
Paris FC	0 - 3	Le Mans
Le Havre	2 - 0	Le Mans
Caen	3 - 3	Le Mans
Clermont	0 - 1	Le Mans
Troyes	2 - 1	Le Mans

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Le Mans	1 - 1	Lavallois
A	Le Mans	2 - 0	Troyes
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Dunkerque
A	Le Mans	1 - 1	Rodez
H	Le Mans	0 - 0	St Etienne
A	Le Mans	2 - 1	Annecy
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Amiens
A	Le Mans	2 - 1	Pau
H	Le Mans	0 - 0	Red Star
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Nancy
A	Le Mans	1 - 1	Lavallois
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Boulogne
A	Le Mans	3 - 2	St Etienne
H	Le Mans	2 - 2	Troyes
A	Le Mans	1 - 1	Clermont
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Grenoble
A	Le Mans	2 - 2	Dunkerque
H	Le Mans	0 - 1	Rodez
A	Le Mans	0 - 1	Reims
H	Le Mans	1 - 0	Bastia

Goal Statistics

Le Mans's defensive record is very strong, P. Videira's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Ligue 2 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Montpellier makes sense in this context.

	Montpellier 10th	Le Mans 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Montpellier will score no more than 1 goal	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Le Mans will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-27 Montpellier have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted	+33 Le Mans have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.8 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season

MTP

LMS

17%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		18
Failed to score	7		4
Scored first	9		12
Goals scored	24		27
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.2
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	8		7
Conversion rate for	12		15
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+17%

MTP

LMS

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	16		13
Clean sheets	6		9
Conceded first	13		8
Goals conceded	22		19
Avg. goals conceded	1		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+15%

Montpellier v Le Mans Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	8	4	6
B Omeragic	A Mendy	N Mbuku	T. Chennahi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Omeragic DEF	22	2		5 -
A Mendy FWD	22	8	1	2 -
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	20			3 -
T. Chennahi MID	20		1	6 -
N Mbuku FWD	20	2	4	1 -
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK	19			3 -
T Savanier MID	19	5	3	2 -
J Laporte DEF	18			3 1
N. Pays MID	18	1		3 -
C Jullien DEF	14	1	1	2 -
T Sainte-Luce DEF	14		1	2 1
Y. Mouanga DEF	13			1 -
K Fayad MID	13	1	1	3 -
V. Orakpo FWD	13		1	2 -
E Tchato DEF	8			2 -
A. Sishuba MID	8			1 -
Y. Issoufou FWD	5	1	1	1 -
J. Ndiaye FWD	4	1		-
V. Džodić GLK	2			-
M Michel GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	4	9
A Mendy	A Mendy	N Mbuku	T Savanier

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Mendy FWD	8	19	1	2
T Savanier MID	5	17	3	9
B Omeragic DEF	2	6
N Mbuku FWD	2	7	4	5
N. Pays MID	1	7		3
C Jullien DEF	1	2	1
K Fayad MID	1	2	1	3
Y. Issoufou FWD	1	2	1	2
J. Ndiaye FWD	1	1
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF				2
T. Chennahi MID		3	1	1
J Laporte DEF		2		1
T Sainte-Luce DEF			1
Y. Mouanga DEF		1
V. Orakpo FWD		6	1	2
E Tchato DEF				2
A. Sishuba MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1165	33	114
B Omeragic	T. Chennahi	A Mendy

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Omeragic DEF	1165	25	83
J Laporte DEF	1072	25	87
T Savanier MID	730	22	86
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF	606	27	47
C Jullien DEF	582	9	42
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK	563	1	19
N Mbuku FWD	463	31	100
T Sainte-Luce DEF	456	24	58
T. Chennahi MID	407	33	75
Y. Mouanga DEF	381	16	41
N. Pays MID	338	19	71
A Mendy FWD	303	6	114
E Tchato DEF	278	22	40
K Fayad MID	259	18	37
V. Orakpo FWD	173	7	35
V. Džodić GLK	58		1
Y. Issoufou FWD	57	7	12
A. Sishuba MID	39	3	12
M Michel GLK	27
J. Ndiaye FWD	14	1	2

Le Mans Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	5	3	9
N Kocik	D Gueye	D Gueye	A Lauray

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Kocik GLK	22			3 -
T. Eyoum DEF	22	1		1 -
E. Quarshie MID	22	1	1	3 -
D Gueye FWD	22	5	3	2 -
S Yohou DEF	21	2		8 -
A Lauray MID	21		1	9 -
L Calodat MID	20	2	3	2 -
M. Rossignol MID	19	1	1	3 -
M. Robin MID	19		2	3 -
A Rabillard FWD	18	3	1	1 -
H. Voyer DEF	17	1	1	1 1
E. Colas FWD	17	3	1	1 -
L Buadés MID	16	1	1	3 -
I. Cossier DEF	14			2 -
A. Ribelin DEF	14	1		4 -
J. Vercruysse MID	9	1		1 -
T Luvambo FWD	9			1 -
B. Oggad FWD	9		1	1 -
L Abanda DEF	6		1	1 -
B Guillaume FWD	6			-
D. Gomes MID	4			2 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	6
D Gueye	D Gueye	D Gueye	L Calodat

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Gueye FWD	5	11	3	4
A Rabillard FWD	3	7	1	2
E. Colas FWD	3	10	1	3
S Yohou DEF	2	2
L Calodat MID	2	7	3	6
T. Eyoum DEF	1	3
E. Quarshie MID	1	8	1	1
M. Rossignol MID	1	2	1	3
H. Voyer DEF	1	1	1	1
L Buadés MID	1	5	1	3
A. Ribelin DEF	1	1
J. Vercruysse MID	1	5
A Lauray MID			1	2
M. Robin MID		7	2	3
I. Cossier DEF		1
T Luvambo FWD		4		2
B. Oggad FWD			1	1
L Abanda DEF			1	1
B Guillaume FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1122	63	105
T. Eyoum	A Lauray	D Gueye

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Eyoum DEF	1122	33	103
S Yohou DEF	774	21	103
A Lauray MID	756	63	99
H. Voyer DEF	718	35	63
N Kocik GLK	615		16
E. Quarshie MID	549	37	79
M. Robin MID	448	37	84
L Buadés MID	434	39	102
I. Cossier DEF	396	24	44
L Calodat MID	386	31	66
M. Rossignol MID	370	22	35
D Gueye FWD	325	12	105
J. Vercruysse MID	271	22	44
A. Ribelin DEF	247	15	35
A Rabillard FWD	204	20	44
E. Colas FWD	119	7	51
B. Oggad FWD	59	1	7
T Luvambo FWD	58	2	16
L Abanda DEF	56	5	5
B Guillaume FWD	42		8
D. Gomes MID	25	1	3