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Red Star FC v Bastia : Ligue 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade de Paris, Saint-Ouen

Grégory Poirier welcomes Benoit Tavenot to the Stade de Paris on Saturday afternoon, as their Red Star FC and Bastia sides clash in the Ligue 2. Ligue 2 statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.

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Red Star FC's next match is v Reims at 13:00 on Saturday 18th April
Bastia's next match is v St Etienne at 19:00 on Saturday 18th April
The last French Ligue 2 meeting between Red Star and Bastia was on Saturday 11th April 2026
French Ligue 2
April 11th 2026
Red Star 4
3 Bastia
 
D. Durand 15'7' J. Guevara
D. Durand 48'34' F. Tomi
D. Durand 58'37' (OG)P. Lemonnier
H. Benali 86'
 
RED
BAS
Shots On
8
7
Shots Off
6
4
Corners
4
2
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
4
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/1
 
Red StarBastia
 
G. Poussin
D. Durivaux
P. Lemonnierfootball icon
B. Danger
B. Pierret
D. Sylla (T. Magnin 75')
G. Haag (S. Khaoui 46')
D. Durandfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon
J. Ikanga (P. Ba 75')
K. Cabral (H. Benali 75')
R. Hachem (M. Huard 84')
L. Olmeta
football iconJ. Guevara
(I. Karamoko 84') D. Guidi
N. Zilliox
(R. Beliandjou 77') football iconF. Tomi
T. Ducrocq
(J. Sebas 65') A. Boutrah
(P. Lebas Da Silva 77') F. Bohnert
G. Akueson
J. Eickmayer
(J. Janneh 65') A. Bi Zaouai

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Red Star and Bastia go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Red Star are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Red Star
42%
5/61/50
Draw
30%
2/110/1
Bastia
27%
31/1050/1
Red Star 1-0
15%
9/217/4
Draw 0-0
13%
11/25/1
Draw 1-1
13%
11/24/1
Bastia 1-0
12%
17/211/2
Red Star 2-0
9%
13/213/2
Red Star 2-1
8%
17/219/5
Bastia 2-1
6%
14/118/5
Bastia 2-0
5%
20/17/1
Red Star 3-0
3%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
3%
20/110/3
Red Star 3-1
3%
18/113/2
Bastia 3-1
2%
40/113/5
Bastia 3-0
1%
50/114/1
Red Star 3-2
1%
40/113/2
Red Star 4-0
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
7/52/15
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
8/154/1
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/67/10
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/47/4
No 1st Goal
9%
11/25/1
BTTS - Yes
39%
6/52/7
BTTS - No
61%
8/1312/5
BTTS - Home Win
13%
4/11/33
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/110/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/166/1
Home/draw
73%
1/51/1000
Away/draw
58%
4/510/1
Home/away
70%
1/31/40
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
4/91/12
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
13/811/2
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
7/22/13
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
2/117/2
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/11/4
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/205/2
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/17/20
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/8015/8
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/101/11
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
6/15/1
Home DNB
63%
1/34/11
Away DNB
49%
9/415/8
Red Star win to nil
29%
7/4-
Bastia win to nil
18%
11/2-
Red Star / Red Star
26%
21/1033/1
Red Star / Bastia
2%
40/11/50
Red Star / Draw
6%
14/1150/1
Draw / Red Star
17%
7/255/1
Draw / Bastia
10%
15/280/1
Draw / Draw
18%
7/260/1
Bastia / Red Star
3%
28/111/1
Bastia / Bastia
12%
13/22/11
Bastia / Draw
6%
16/15/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 2 table

Red Star have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 2 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Red Star have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

Red Star have played 14 games at home winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Bastia are in 18th position in the Ligue 2 on 21 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 12 and won 3. Bastia have conceded 32 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Red Star
Bastia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Troyes2917752158 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
2
St Etienne3017672257 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
3
Le Mans30141241654 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 9
l
 
1-0A
4
Reims30121261548 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
5
Red Star291397648 
-
-
Dec 5
l
 
4-3F
6
Rodez2911126245 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
7
Montpellier3012810844 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
8
Annecy3012711243 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Pau3011910-742 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
10
Dunkerque30101010840 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
11
Guingamp30101010-340 
Apr 24
w
 
0-4F
l
 
1-3A
May 2
12
Boulogne309912-836 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Grenoble3061410-732 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Clermont307914-730 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 24
15
Nancy307914-1630 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
16
Lavallois3041313-1725 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
Amiens306618-1824 
l
 
1-3A
May 2
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Bastia2931214-1721 
w
 
4-3A
Dec 5
-
-
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Bastia have drawn 4 consecutive away league games
10
Bastia have not won in 10 consecutive league games
3
Red Star have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
Red Star 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Bastia 18TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
10
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
1
Draw
10
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Red Star FC of late. It has been 6 Ligue 2 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Bastia.

With a PG of just 0.9, Bastia look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Red Star FC have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive Ligue 2 games, and it could be a long afternoon for B. Tavenot's men.

Red Star 5th Bastia 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
4+
There is a 68% probability that Red Star will score no more than 1 goal
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Bastia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Red Star have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
-38
Bastia have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 2 - 2025/2026 season
Red Star
PG (predicted goals)
Bastia
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
41%
better
RED
BAS
view stats
Games scored20
12
Failed to score8
16
Scored first16
8
Goals scored32
16
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
15
Conversion rate for13
7
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
20%
better
RED
BAS
view stats
Games conceded15
19
Clean sheets13
9
Conceded first8
14
Goals conceded27
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Red Star v Bastia Ligue 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Red Star Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291258
D DurivauxD. DurandS KhaouiG Haag
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Poussin GLK27
2
-
D Durivaux DEF2913
3
-
B Danger DEF262
7
-
P Lemonnier  DEF2411
1
-
G Haag MID2412
8
-
D Sylla MID284
4
-
B Pierret MID9
4
-
R. Hachem MID2811
3
-
D. Durand MID29123
1
-
K Cabral FWD2231
2
1
J. Ikanga FWD2531
2
-
Subs
Q Beunardeau GLK2
-
T Magnin DEF6
-
M Huard DEF211
5
-
S Khaoui MID2625
4
-
P Ba FWD1111
-
A. Hachem FWD19
1
-
H. Benali FWD245
3
-
Bastia Ligue 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24428
F TomiF TomiA. Bi ZaouaiJ. Guevara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Olmeta GLK6
1
-
D Guidi DEF181
7
-
G Akueson DEF12
3
-
J. Guevara DEF2211
8
-
N Zilliox MID4
2
-
T Ducrocq MID231
4
1
J Eickmayer MID112
1
-
F Bohnert MID211
5
-
A. Bi Zaouai FWD222
2
-
F Tomi FWD2941
3
-
A Boutrah FWD2422
4
-
Subs
S Contena GLK
-
P Lebas DEF4
-
M. Petrignani MID41
1
-
J Janneh MID22
-
I Karamoko FWD19
2
-
J Sebas FWD244
5
2
R. Beliandjou FWD7
-