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Le Havre v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 14:00 BST, Stade Oceane, Le Havre

the Stade Oceane masses welcome Toulouse's supporters on Sunday afternoon, as Didier Digard's Le Havre go head to head with Carles Martínez Novell's troops in the Ligue 1. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across seventeen major markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this match will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics are in line with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Le Havre and Toulouse haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, in the absence of a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.22.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Toulouse coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Le Havre 31%	-	3.40 9%
Draw 28%	-	3.30 6%
Toulouse 41%	-	2.15
Draw 1-1 13%	-	6.00 4%
Toulouse 1-0 12%	-	6.00
Le Havre 1-0 10%	-	8.00 6%
Draw 0-0 10%	-	7.50 7%
Toulouse 2-1 8%	-	8.00
Toulouse 2-0 8%	-	8.50
Le Havre 2-1 7%	-	10.00 9%
Le Havre 2-0 5%	-	13.00 13%
Draw 2-2 4%	-	13.00
Toulouse 3-1 3%	-	15.00
Toulouse 3-0 3%	-	15.00
Le Havre 3-1 2%	-	23.00 12%
Le Havre 3-0 2%	-	29.00
Toulouse 3-2 2%	-	23.00
Le Havre 3-2 2%	-	29.00
Over 2.5 Goals 41%	-	2.20
Under 2.5 Goals 59%	-	1.62
Home 1st Goal 45%	-	2.30 6%
Away 1st Goal 49%	-	1.80 3%
No 1st Goal 6%	-	7.50 7%
BTTS - Yes 47%	-	1.95
BTTS - No 53%	-	1.80
BTTS - Home Win 12%	-	6.50 7%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4.50 4%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	4.60 2%
Home/draw 59%	-	1.67 2%
Away/draw 69%	-	1.30 4%
Home/away 72%	-	1.33 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%	-	1.40
Under 1.5 Goals 33%	-	2.80
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	-	4.00 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	-	1.22
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	8.00
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	17.00 13%
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	1.01
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	-	1.07 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	-	7.50 7%
Home DNB 51%	-	2.38 5%
Away DNB 61%	-	1.53 3%
Le Havre win to nil 18%	-	-
Toulouse win to nil 25%	-	-
Le Havre / Le Havre 15%	-	5.25 5%
Le Havre / Toulouse 4%	-	21.00
Le Havre / Draw 6%	-	13.00
Draw / Le Havre 11%	-	7.00 13%
Draw / Toulouse 15%	-	5.25
Draw / Draw 17%	-	4.50 7%
Toulouse / Le Havre 3%	-	26.00 10%
Toulouse / Toulouse 24%	-	3.25 2%
Toulouse / Draw 6%	-	12.00

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Le Havre have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Le Havre have conceded 24 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Le Havre have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 8th place on 30 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Le Havre Toulouse
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	20	15	3	2	27	48	Feb 28	l 3-0A	l 3-6A	Apr 5
2	Lens	20	15	1	4	18	46	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	l 0-3A	Apr 19
3	Marseille	20	12	3	5	24	39	May 9	l 6-2F	Mar 8	d 2-2F
4	Lyon	20	12	3	5	13	39	Mar 15	l 1-0A	May 9	w 1-2A
5	Lille	20	10	2	8	4	32	l 0-1A	May 3	Apr 12	l 2-1F
6	Rennes	20	8	7	5	-1	31	d 2-2A	d 1-1F	d 2-2A	Feb 28
7	Strasbourg	20	9	3	8	8	30	Feb 8	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	May 3
8	Toulouse	20	8	6	6	8	30	Feb 15	d 0-00-0	-	-
9	Lorient	20	7	7	6	-4	28	d 1-1A	May 16	Mar 22	d 1-1A
10	Monaco	20	8	3	9	-1	27	d 0-00-0	l 3-1A	Apr 26	l 1-0A
11	Angers	20	7	5	8	-4	26	w 2-1F	Apr 19	l 0-1A	Feb 8
12	Brest	20	6	5	9	-7	23	w 1-0F	Mar 8	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
13	Nice	20	6	4	10	-11	22	w 3-1F	Apr 12	w 5-1F	w 0-1F
14	Paris FC	20	5	6	9	-8	21	d 0-00-0	Mar 22	Feb 21	w 0-3F
15	Le Havre	20	4	8	8	-9	20	-	-	d 0-00-0	Feb 15
16	Nantes	20	3	5	12	-17	14	d 1-1A	Feb 22	d 2-2A	May 16
17	Auxerre	20	3	4	13	-15	13	Apr 5	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
18	Metz	20	3	3	14	-25	12	Apr 26	d 0-00-0	w 4-0F	Mar 15

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Le Havre	0 - 0	Monaco
Le Havre	2 - 1	Angers
Le Havre	0 - 0	Paris FC
Le Havre	0 - 1	Lille
Le Havre	1 - 1	Nantes
Le Havre	1 - 0	Brest
Le Havre	2 - 2	Rennes
Le Havre	1 - 1	Lorient
Le Havre	3 - 1	Nice
Le Havre	1 - 2	Lens
Le Havre	1 - 3	Marseille
Le Havre	1 - 1	Monaco
Le Havre	1 - 5	Rennes
Le Havre	3 - 2	Nantes
Le Havre	1 - 1	St Etienne
Le Havre	1 - 4	Toulouse
Le Havre	1 - 3	Nice
Le Havre	0 - 1	Brest
Le Havre	1 - 2	Lens
Le Havre	0 - 3	Strasbourg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Le Havre	0 - 1	Lens
H	Le Havre	0 - 0	Monaco
A	Le Havre	1 - 1	Rennes
H	Le Havre	2 - 1	Angers
A	Le Havre	0 - 1	Lyon
H	Le Havre	0 - 0	Paris FC
H	Le Havre	0 - 1	Lille
A	Le Havre	0 - 3	PSG
H	Le Havre	1 - 1	Nantes
A	Le Havre	0 - 0	Toulouse
H	Le Havre	1 - 0	Brest
A	Le Havre	1 - 0	Auxerre
A	Le Havre	2 - 6	Marseille
H	Le Havre	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Le Havre	0 - 0	Metz
H	Le Havre	1 - 1	Lorient
A	Le Havre	0 - 1	Strasbourg
H	Le Havre	3 - 1	Nice
H	Le Havre	1 - 2	Lens
A	Le Havre	1 - 3	Monaco

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest	0 - 2	Toulouse
Paris FC	0 - 3	Toulouse
Marseille	2 - 2	Toulouse
Lorient	1 - 1	Toulouse
Monaco	1 - 0	Toulouse
Lyon	1 - 2	Toulouse
Auxerre	1 - 0	Toulouse
Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
Nice	0 - 1	Toulouse
St Etienne	2 - 3	Toulouse
Nantes	0 - 0	Toulouse
Reims	1 - 0	Toulouse
Marseille	3 - 2	Toulouse
Strasbourg	2 - 1	Toulouse
Angers	0 - 4	Toulouse
Le Havre	1 - 4	Toulouse
Auxerre	2 - 2	Toulouse
Lyon	0 - 0	Toulouse
Lens	0 - 1	Toulouse
Monaco	2 - 0	Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
H	Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
H	Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
A	Toulouse	3 - 0	Paris FC
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Strasbourg
A	Toulouse	2 - 2	Marseille
H	Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
A	Toulouse	1 - 1	Lorient
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Le Havre
H	Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Monaco
H	Toulouse	4 - 0	Metz
A	Toulouse	2 - 1	Lyon
H	Toulouse	2 - 2	Nantes
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
H	Toulouse	3 - 6	PSG
H	Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
A	Toulouse	1 - 0	Nice

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Le Havre

Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

HAV

TOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Le Havre
	1 - 4	Toulouse
Le Havre	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Toulouse

Toulouse

Le Havre

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

1 / 5

HAV

TOU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Toulouse	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Le Havre
Toulouse	4 - 0
Toulouse	4 - 3

Goal Statistics

Le Havre's defensive record is to be admired, D. Digard's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Toulouse makes sense in this context.

	Le Havre 15th	Toulouse 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Le Havre will score no more than 1 goal	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 Le Havre have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Toulouse have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season

HAV

TOU

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		14
Failed to score	9		6
Scored first	6		9
Goals scored	16		31
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1.6
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	10		6
Conversion rate for	10		17
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.5
KickOff rating		+32%

HAV

TOU

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		12
Clean sheets	6		8
Conceded first	10		9
Goals conceded	25		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	14%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

Le Havre v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Le Havre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	3	3	4
A Seko	R Ndiaye	R Ndiaye	Y. Zouaoui

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Seko MID	20			3 -
R Ndiaye MID	20	3	3	1 -
I Soumaré FWD	20	3	2	1 -
L Négo DEF	19			2 -
Y. Zouaoui DEF	19		1	4 -
A Sangante DEF	18	1		3 -
Y Kechta MID	18	1	1	2 -
F Doucouré DEF	17	2	1	-
G Lloris DEF	17	1	1	1 1
S Ebonog MID	17			3 -
M Diaw GLK	16		1	-
F Mambimbi FWD	15	1		1 -
A Samatta FWD	13			4 -
Y Namli FWD	12		1	2 -
A Touré MID	11	2		2 -
G Kyeremeh FWD	10		1	-
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF	7			2 -
R Khadra MID	6			-
T Delaine DEF	5			-
L M'Pasi GLK	3			1 -
D. Mosengo MID	3			-
S. Zagadou DEF	2			-
D Pizarro FWD	2			-
P. Argney GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	14	3	5
R Ndiaye	I Soumaré	R Ndiaye	I Soumaré

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Ndiaye MID	3	6	3	4
I Soumaré FWD	3	14	2	5
F Doucouré DEF	2	5	1	2
A Touré MID	2	4
A Sangante DEF	1	4
Y Kechta MID	1	5	1	2
G Lloris DEF	1	4	1	1
F Mambimbi FWD	1	3		1
A Seko MID		4		2
L Négo DEF		2		3
Y. Zouaoui DEF		3	1	3
S Ebonog MID		2		1
M Diaw GLK			1	1
A Samatta FWD		7
Y Namli FWD			1	1
G Kyeremeh FWD		1	1	1
R Khadra MID		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
944	40	152
A Sangante	R Ndiaye	I Soumaré

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Sangante DEF	944	22	85
G Lloris DEF	917	20	75
L Négo DEF	683	31	69
Y. Zouaoui DEF	641	24	61
A Seko MID	637	33	77
M Diaw GLK	528	2	7
R Ndiaye MID	485	40	79
I Soumaré FWD	395	21	152
Y Kechta MID	306	22	40
A Touré MID	297	12	39
F Doucouré DEF	250	26	37
S Ebonog MID	243	23	58
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF	155	6	10
A Samatta FWD	146	3	44
L M'Pasi GLK	130		2
T Delaine DEF	122	2	5
F Mambimbi FWD	116	12	24
Y Namli FWD	113	9	21
S. Zagadou DEF	75	1	4
G Kyeremeh FWD	63	6	27
D. Mosengo MID	43	2	6
R Khadra MID	42	6	14
P. Argney GLK	30
D Pizarro FWD	3		1

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	4	5
G. Restes	Y Gboho	Y Gboho	C Cresswell

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Restes GLK	20			2 -
D Sidibé DEF	20	2	3	1 -
R Nicolaisen DEF	20			1 -
C Cresswell DEF	20	3	1	5 -
C Yepes MID	19	1		4 -
Y Gboho FWD	19	6	4	1 -
M McKenzie DEF	18		2	4 -
A Dönnum MID	17	3	4	5 -
F Magri FWD	17	5	1	3 -
D. Methalie DEF	16			4 -
S Hidalgo FWD	16	4	2	2 -
A. Vossah MID	15	1	1	1 1
M Sauer MID	14			2 -
Emersonn FWD	14	3	2	3 1
W Kamanzi DEF	13			-
N. Edjouma FWD	12			-
R. Messali MID	10			2 -
A Francis MID	8			2 -
J. Vignolo FWD	7	1		-
S. Koumbassa DEF	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	12	4	7
Y Gboho	F Magri	Y Gboho	A Dönnum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Gboho FWD	6	10	4	2
F Magri FWD	5	12	1	1
S Hidalgo FWD	4	6	2
C Cresswell DEF	3	8	1
A Dönnum MID	3	9	4	7
Emersonn FWD	3	10	2
D Sidibé DEF	2	3	3	3
C Yepes MID	1	4		2
A. Vossah MID	1	2	1	1
J. Vignolo FWD	1	2
R Nicolaisen DEF		3
M McKenzie DEF		1	2	1
D. Methalie DEF		5		1
M Sauer MID		1
W Kamanzi DEF		1
N. Edjouma FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
969	51	125
C Cresswell	C Yepes	C Cresswell

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Cresswell DEF	969	18	125
C Yepes MID	775	51	104
M McKenzie DEF	700	32	62
R Nicolaisen DEF	691	15	81
A Dönnum MID	575	31	82
G. Restes GLK	505		9
D Sidibé DEF	496	30	57
Y Gboho FWD	438	8	103
D. Methalie DEF	263	34	66
A Francis MID	238	19	33
F Magri FWD	203	8	78
A. Vossah MID	196	8	24
M Sauer MID	174	9	20
Emersonn FWD	130	14	65
R. Messali MID	123	8	20
S Hidalgo FWD	120	10	35
W Kamanzi DEF	115	7	18
N. Edjouma FWD	62	5	19
S. Koumbassa DEF	23	2	2
J. Vignolo FWD	13	1	3