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Lille v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Friday night sees Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca’s Lille and Jean-Louis Gasset’s Marseille go up against one another in a Ligue 1 battle at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Recent form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers are all published below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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Lille's next match is v Strasbourg at 14:00 on Sunday 21st April
Marseille's next match is v Benfica at 20:00 on Thursday 18th April
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Lille and Marseille was on Friday 5th April 2024
French Ligue 1
April 5th 2024
Lille 3
1 Marseille
 
J. David 54'81' I. Gonçalves dos Santos
R. Cabella 71'
G. Gudmundsson 84'
 
LIL
MAR
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
6
7
Corners
4
2
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
13
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
6/0
 
LilleMarseille
 
L. Chevalier
T. Santos Carvalho
I. Gonçalves dos Santosfootball icon
L. Yoro
A. Souza Ribeiro
N. Bentaleb
R. Cabellafootball icon (G. Gudmundsson 78')
B. André (I. Neves Abreu Cavaleiro 90')
E. Zhegrova (B. Diakité 88')
J. Davidfootball icon (A. Bouaddi 90')
H. Haraldsson (A. Ounas 88')
P. López Sabata
L. Balerdi Rossa
U. Garcia Lopes
S. Gigot
Q. Merlin
(I. Ndiaye 65') A. Ounahi
(C. Correa 83') A. Harit
(G. Kondogbia 65') P. Gueye
J. Veretout
P. Aubameyang
(F. Pemi Moumbagna 65') L. Tomaz de Lima
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 mins. Both Lille and Marseille's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.23.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Lille
55%
17/20
18%
20/23
19%
19/20
9%
10/11
9%
Draw
24%
13/5
11%
5/2
6%
12/55/2
3%
Marseille
21%
16/5
31%
16/5
35%
3/1
18%
29/10
18%
Lille 1-0
12%
6/1
18%
6/1
13%
6/1
13%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/211/211/2
Lille 2-0
10%
15/2
23%
8/1
18%
17/2
14%
17/2
5%
Lille 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/27/1
6%
Draw 0-0
7%
9/19/19/1
9%
10/1
Marseille 1-0
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
20%
11/1
9%
21/2
10%
Lille 3-0
6%
14/1
29%
16/1
26%
16/1
11%
15/1
11%
Lille 3-1
6%
14/1
21%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
15/1
7%
Marseille 2-1
5%
14/1
25%
12/1
18%
12/1
18%
12/1
24%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
13/1
12%
Marseille 2-0
3%
20/1
24%
22/1
35%
18/1
12%
19/1
25%
Lille 3-2
3%
25/128/125/122/1
Lille 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
40/1
27%
33/1
17%
28/1
29%
Lille 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
26%
33/1
17%
30/1
9%
Marseille 3-1
2%
33/1
48%
40/1
58%
28/1
12%
28/1
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1/1
3%
19/20
2%
10/11
4%
9/10
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
4/5
3%
4/5
2%
4/5
2%
9/10
1%
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
12%
4/6
11%
4/6
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
7/4
20%
33/20
18%
6/4
11%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/19/117/2
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/5
6%
4/5
6%
4/5
4%
3/4
6%
BTTS - No
49%
19/20
5%
10/11
7%
10/11
5%
Evens
4%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
11%
29/10
10%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
10%
7/2
7%
7/2
7%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7/1
33%
13/2
36%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
79%
2/9
10%
2/9
10%
1/4
6%
1/4
2%
Away/draw
45%
10/11
18%
10/11
19%
5/6
8%
22/25
13%
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
3/10
2%
3/103/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
1%
3/10
1%
1/3
3%
27/100
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
23/10
3%
9/4
7%
27/10
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
5/2
3%
23/10
2%
5/2
8%
47/20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
3/10
2%
3/102/7
3%
8/25
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/211/211/2
8%
23/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/91/10
1%
1/10
1%
1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
14/1
15%
14/1-14/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
1/33
1%
-1/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/161/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/19/18/110/1
Home DNB
72%
4/11
16%
4/11
19%
2/5
9%
21/50
5%
Away DNB
38%
2/1
36%
2/1
43%
7/4
16%
37/20
20%
Lille win to nil
31%
9/4
19%
21/10
23%
11/5
11%
-
Marseille win to nil
11%
6/1
27%
13/2
36%
6/1
17%
-
Lille / Lille
27%
2/1
20%
21/10
21%
21/10
9%
41/20
8%
Lille / Marseille
2%
33/1
17%
45/1
35%
40/1
21%
40/1
37%
Lille / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/112/113/1
8%
Draw / Lille
17%
15/4
14%
18/5
12%
4/1
9%
21/5
2%
Draw / Marseille
10%
15/2
21%
15/2
21%
8/1
13%
15/2
13%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/14/122/5
6%
Marseille / Lille
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
10%
25/122/1
Marseille / Marseille
13%
6/1
40%
13/2
36%
11/2
18%
11/2
23%
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1
15%
13/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 8 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 40 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Lille have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 25 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Marseille are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 39 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Marseille have conceded 14 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Lille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Marseille
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1F
 PSG2818914163 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Brest2915861753 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 24
 Monaco2815761552 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
-
-
 Lille Home28131051749 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
May 18
d
 
1-1A
 Nice281288644 
Apr 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Lens2912710643 
Apr 28
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-2F
 Lyon2912512-741 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Reims2911711-340 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Marseille Away281099839 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Rennes2910910539 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
 Toulouse299911-336 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 21
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
 Strasbourg299911-736 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Montpellier2981011-533 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 11
 Nantes299416-1731 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Le Havre2961013-1028 
w
 
3-0F
May 18
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Lorient286814-1726 
May 11
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 28
 Metz297517-1926 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Clermont2941015-2722 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
Win / draw / win form
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Marseille 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lille have beaten Marseille in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Marseille
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
7 / 10
5 / 10
Clean sheets
5 / 10
3 / 10
LIL
5
D
1
MAR
4
All league games since 2013
Lille
Marseille
Goals: Scored
21
27
Games: Scored
15 / 21
14 / 21
Clean sheets
7 / 21
6 / 21
LIL
6
D
6
MAR
9
Goal Statistics

Lille have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Marseille on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lille 4th Marseille 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Marseille scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Lille have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-21
Marseille have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262959/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.7
1
Attack rating
21%
better
LIL
MAR
view stats
Games scored25
19
Failed to score3
9
Scored first20
13
Goals scored42
41
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
31%
better
LIL
MAR
view stats
Games conceded14
21
Clean sheets14
7
Conceded first5
13
Goals conceded25
33
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate12%
15%
KickOff rating
+31%

Lille v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
L ChevalierJ DavidE ZhegrovaB André
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK28
1
-
T Santos DEF2412
5
-
L Yoro DEF272
4
-
Alexsandro DEF24
4
1
Ismaily DEF241
1
-
N Bentaleb MID213
5
-
B André MID263
8
-
H Haraldsson MID201
3
-
E Zhegrova FWD2755
2
-
J David FWD28162
2
-
R Cabella FWD2421
-
Subs
V Mannone GLK
-
B Diakité DEF1531
3
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF191
2
-
A. Bouaddi MID6
1
-
A Ounas MID181
-
Y Yazici MID2341
5
-
T Morais FWD2
-
T. Dago FWD41
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD1511
1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271177
P LópezP AubameyangP AubameyangS Gigot 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK27
1
-
U Garcia DEF8
-
S Gigot  DEF182
6
1
L Balerdi DEF222
4
-
Q Merlin DEF161
-
A Ounahi MID192
2
-
P Gueye MID9
-
J Veretout MID2312
4
-
L Henrique FWD91
-
P Aubameyang FWD28117
3
-
A Harit  FWD2512
5
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK2
-
S Sparagna DEF
-
B. Negouai DEF
-
G Kondogbia MID20
2
-
E. Soglo MID311
1
-
I Ndiaye FWD2432
1
F Moumbagna FWD821
-
J Correa FWD11
3
-
S Ali FWD1
-