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Lille v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

the Stade Pierre-Mauroy is the setting on Sunday night, as Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lille welcome Francesco Farioli's Nice in the Ligue 1. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Lille and Nice will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca or Francesco Farioli has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
60%
3/5
20%
8/13
19%
Draw
22%
31/10
24%
3/1
21%
Nice
18%
9/2
47%
9/2
69%
Lille 1-0
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
13%
Lille 2-0
10%
7/1
16%
13/2
21%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Lille 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
12%
Lille 3-0
7%
11/1
29%
9/1
33%
Lille 3-1
6%
12/1
24%
10/1
27%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
26%
9/1
5%
Nice 1-0
5%
14/1
36%
11/1
26%
Nice 2-1
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Lille 4-0
3%
20/1
49%
16/1
41%
Lille 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Lille 4-1
3%
22/1
32%
18/1
27%
Nice 2-0
3%
28/1
53%
20/1
40%
Nice 3-1
2%
40/1
41%
28/1
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
8/11
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
17%
-
Home 1st Goal
56%
2/5
14%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
21/10
19%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - No
48%
19/2010/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
12/5
21%
9/4
19%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
4/1
11%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/2
27%
15/2
42%
Home/draw
82%
1/7
9%
2/13
12%
Away/draw
40%
13/10
28%
5/4
30%
Home/away
78%
2/9
8%
1/4
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1
29%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/6
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/1
37%
-
Home DNB
75%
2/9
15%
2/9
19%
Away DNB
34%
3/1
53%
29/10
59%
Lille win to nil
33%
7/4
19%
-
Nice win to nil
9%
9/1
54%
-
Lille / Lille
32%
6/4
23%
29/20
25%
Lille / Nice
3%
33/128/1
Lille / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / Lille
19%
10/3
13%
16/5
16%
Draw / Nice
8%
10/1
47%
9/1
33%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
10%
Nice / Lille
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
19%
Nice / Nice
9%
8/1
50%
7/1
45%
Nice / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 9 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lille have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Lille have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 32 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Nice are in 5th position in the Ligue 1 on 54 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 16 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Nice have conceded 8 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Lille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Nice
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1F
 PSG33211024673 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
 Monaco3319772264 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
 Lille Home33161071858 
d
 
1-1F
May 19
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Brest33161071658 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 19
d
 
1-1A
 Nice Away3315991154 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Lens3314811850 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
3-4F
w
 
0-2F
 Lyon3315513-750 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Marseille331211101047 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Rennes33121011846 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Reims3312813-644 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
 Toulouse33111012-143 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Montpellier33101112-540 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Strasbourg3310914-1139 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Nantes339618-2133 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Le Havre3371115-1032 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
 Metz338520-2129 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Lorient336819-2826 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Clermont3351018-2925 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Lille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Nice 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lille since 2013
Lille
Nice
Goals: Scored
10
12
Games: Scored
6 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
3 / 9
LIL
2
D
3
NIC
4
All league games since 2013
Lille
Nice
Goals: Scored
18
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
8 / 20
LIL
3
D
8
NIC
9
Goal Statistics
Lille 3rd Nice 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Nice scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
Lille have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Nice have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263006/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
1.9
1
Attack rating
25%
better
LIL
NIC
view stats
Games scored29
24
Failed to score4
9
Scored first23
18
Goals scored50
38
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate16%
11%
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
LIL
NIC
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets15
17
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded32
27
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate13%
11%
KickOff rating
+6%

Lille v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331988
L ChevalierJ DavidA GomesB André
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK33
1
-
J David FWD33194
4
-
E Zhegrova FWD3265
3
-
L Yoro DEF312
5
-
A Gomes MID308
5
-
T Santos DEF2912
6
-
Ismaily DEF2911
1
-
B André MID293
8
-
R Cabella MID2922
-
Alexsandro DEF28
5
1
Y Yazici MID2752
5
-
N Bentaleb MID253
7
-
H Haraldsson FWD251
4
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF241
2
-
B Diakité DEF2052
3
-
A Ounas FWD181
-
I Cavaleiro FWD1611
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID8
2
-
S Umtiti DEF6
-
T Morais FWD3
-
I Miramón MID2
-
A Ilić FWD2
-
V Mannone GLK1
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331158
M Bulka T MoffiJ BogaM Bard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bulka  GLK33
1
-
E Guessand FWD336
1
-
G Laborde FWD3342
2
-
Dante DEF3211
5
1
M Bard DEF3212
7
1
J Todibo DEF292
2
1
P Rosario MID29
4
-
M Sanson MID2923
4
-
T Moffi FWD29112
4
-
H Boudaoui MID2821
5
-
J Lotomba DEF27
4
-
J Boga FWD2765
1
-
K Thuram MID2611
6
-
Y Ndayishimiye MID23
6
1
R Perraud DEF191
2
-
A Claude-Maurice MID17
-
M Cho FWD1612
2
-
T Louchet MID121
1
-
S Diop FWD10
-
A Mendy DEF9
-
A Balde FWD6
-
V Rosier DEF3
-