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Marseille v AJ Auxerre : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Mar, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

AJ Auxerre, led by manager Christophe Pélissier, visit Habib Beye and his Marseille side at the Stade Vélodrome on Friday evening in the Ligue 1. In this preview you'll find the best odds for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

We're predicting Marseille will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Friday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Stade Vélodrome.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Marseille 1-1 Auxerre is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 10% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
61%
-1.48
Draw
21%
-4.60
Auxerre
19%
-6.50
Marseille 2-1
10%
-7.50
Draw 1-1
10%
-7.50
Marseille 2-0
10%
-6.50
Marseille 1-0
9%
-6.50
Marseille 3-1
7%
-10.00
Marseille 3-0
7%
-9.00
Draw 2-2
5%
-15.00
Auxerre 2-1
5%
-15.00
Auxerre 1-0
5%
-13.00
Draw 0-0
5%
-11.00
Marseille 3-2
4%
-19.00
Marseille 4-1
3%
-17.00
Marseille 4-0
3%
-15.00
Auxerre 2-0
2%
-23.00
Marseille 4-2
2%
-29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
-1.73
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
-2.05
Home 1st Goal
56%
-1.40
Away 1st Goal
41%
-3.25
No 1st Goal
3%
-11.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
-1.91
BTTS - No
43%
-1.80
BTTS - Home Win
30%
-3.20
BTTS - Draw
16%
-5.50
BTTS - Away Win
10%
-10.00
Home/draw
81%
-1.11
Away/draw
39%
-2.60
Home/away
79%
-1.20
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
-1.22
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
-3.90
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
-2.75
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
-1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
-5.00
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
-1.15
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
-9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
-1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-11.00
Home DNB
75%
-1.17
Away DNB
33%
-4.60
Marseille win to nil
31%
--
Auxerre win to nil
8%
--
Marseille / Marseille
37%
-2.10
Marseille / Auxerre
2%
-34.00
Marseille / Draw
5%
-15.00
Draw / Marseille
18%
-4.33
Draw / Auxerre
7%
-12.00
Draw / Draw
12%
-6.50
Auxerre / Marseille
5%
-17.00
Auxerre / Auxerre
9%
-9.00
Auxerre / Draw
5%
-15.00
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Correct score Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Auxerre
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Lens2518252756 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
3
Marseille2514471946 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Mar 13
4
Lyon2514471346 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
5
Rennes251276743 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
6
Lille251258641 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
l
 
3-4A
May 16
7
Monaco251249640 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
8
Strasbourg251069936 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
9
Brest251069036 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
10
Lorient258107-434 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
11
Angers259511-732 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
May 3
l
 
2-0A
12
Toulouse258710431 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
15
Nice256613-1824 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
May 9
l
 
3-1A
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
Mar 13
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Nantes254516-2017 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
18
Metz253418-3413 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
Correct score form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
2-0
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
3-2
3-2
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-1
4-0
4-1
4-2
5-1
5-1
5-2
6-2
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
5-0
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
-1
goal
2-2
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
3-2
+1
goal
3-0
3-0
3-1
5-1
5-2
6-2
+2
or more
Auxerre 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
3-1
4-2
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
+1
goal
2-0
3-1
4-0
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
4-3
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
0-0
0-0
1-1
2-2
2-2
x
+1
goal
3-1
3-1
+2
or more
Correct score head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2023
3-1
AUX + 2
or more
AUX + 1
goal
x
2-1
MAR + 1
goal
MAR + 2
or more
League games at Auxerre since 2022
2-0
AUX + 2
or more
1-0
AUX + 1
goal
x
MAR + 1
goal
3-0
MAR + 2
or more
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Marseille in their clash with AJ Auxerre, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 83 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Marseille 3rd Auxerre 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Auxerre will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Marseille have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Auxerre’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Auxerre
2.1
1
Attack rating
50%
better
MAR
AUX
view stats
Games scored19
11
Failed to score6
14
Scored first14
6
Goals scored52
19
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.8
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for19
10
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
5%
better
MAR
AUX
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first11
15
Goals conceded33
35
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+5%

Marseille v Auxerre Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221555
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD24154
2
-
P Höjbjerg MID2324
3
-
T Weah MID2222
3
-
I Paixão FWD2254
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD2285
1
-
G Rulli GLK21
2
-
B Pavard DEF2012
4
-
Emerson DEF203
2
-
L Balerdi DEF181
4
-
B Nadir MID184
4
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
A Gomes MID143
4
-
A Gouiri FWD1452
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
F Medina DEF9
2
-
G Kondogbia MID8
3
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
H Traorè FWD711
1
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Auxerre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24636
L SinayokoL SinayokoL SinayokoG Mensah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Danois MID2421
3
-
L Sinayoko FWD2463
5
-
D Léon GLK23
1
J Casimir FWD231
4
1
G Mensah DEF22
6
-
C Akpa DEF21
3
1
D Namaso FWD2122
6
-
E Owusu MID20
6
-
S Mara FWD201
-
M Senaya DEF191
6
-
F Oppegård DEF17
1
1
L Sy DEF16
-
R. Matondo MID16
3
-
S Diomandé DEF1511
2
1
A. Dioussé El Hadji MID14
3
-
I Osman FWD142
-
L Coulibaly FWD14
1
-
O Azzouzi MID111
1
1
F Carvallo DEF101
2
-
T Percin GLK3
-
T. Siwe DEF3
-
T. Devernois MID2
-
R. Rodin FWD2
-