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Marseille v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille and Metz clash at the Stade Vélodrome on Friday night, with both Habib Beye and Stéphane Le Mignan seeking a win in the Ligue 1. You'll find stats supporting our top of Marseille to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 1 performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Marseille's next match is v Lorient at 16:00 on Saturday 18th April
Metz's next match is v Paris FC at 16:15 on Sunday 19th April
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Metz was on Friday 10th April 2026
French Ligue 1
April 10th 2026
Marseille 3
1 Metz
 
P. Aubameyang 13'49' H. Tsitaishvili
I. Barbosa da Paixão 48'
H. Traorè 90'
 
MAR
MET
Shots On
9
2
Shots Off
9
3
Corners
7
4
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
12
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
MarseilleMetz
 
G. Rulli
L. Balerdi Rossa
A. Gouiri
M. Greenwood (H. Traorè 82')
I. Barbosa da Paixãofootball icon (H. Abdelli 90')
P. Aubameyangfootball icon (A. Vermeeren 72')
B. Pavard
F. Medina
T. Weah
P. Højbjerg
Q. Timber (T. Nadi 82')
J. Gbamin
football iconH. Tsitaishvili
G. Hein
(L. Michal 87') A. Touré
P. Sy
(F. Ballo Touré 82') M. Colin
S. Sané
K. Kouao
(N. Mbala 81') J. Deminguet
H. Diallo
B. Sarr

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

A Ligue 1 home win for Habib Beye's Marseille team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Marseille win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
66%
27/100
2%
1/50
Draw
19%
11/214/1
Metz
15%
8/1
9%
100/1
Marseille 2-0
10%
8/118/5
Marseille 2-1
10%
17/21/5
Marseille 1-0
9%
12/1
6%
6/1
Draw 1-1
9%
12/110/1
Marseille 3-0
8%
17/29/2
Marseille 3-1
7%
9/19/2
Draw 2-2
5%
18/112/1
Marseille 4-0
4%
12/1
8%
15/2
Metz 2-1
4%
25/125/1
Marseille 4-1
4%
12/133/1
Draw 0-0
4%
28/118/1
Metz 1-0
4%
33/120/1
Marseille 3-2
4%
18/140/1
Marseille 4-2
2%
25/1150/1
Marseille 5-0
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1/3
4%
4/9
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
12/5
4%
13/8
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/32/7
Away 1st Goal
40%
9/4
3%
27/10
No 1st Goal
2%
28/1
11%
18/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/1323/20
BTTS - No
44%
6/513/20
BTTS - Home Win
33%
13/101/66
BTTS - Draw
15%
6/1
7%
12/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
12/180/1
Home/draw
85%
1/14
1%
1/200
Away/draw
34%
11/412/1
Home/away
81%
1/91/66
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/101/14
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
6/16/1
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
4/53/1
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/11/5
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
7/422/1
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
4/91/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/2
8%
80/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/5
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/150
1%
1/200
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
28/1
11%
18/1
Home DNB
79%
1/121/300
Away DNB
28%
7/180/1
Marseille win to nil
34%
6/4-
Metz win to nil
6%
20/1-
Marseille / Marseille
48%
8/112/15
Marseille / Metz
2%
40/1
20%
22/1
Marseille / Draw
4%
18/18/1
Draw / Marseille
19%
10/314/1
Draw / Metz
4%
20/133/1
Draw / Draw
8%
10/128/1
Metz / Marseille
5%
14/170/1
Metz / Metz
5%
16/180/1
Metz / Draw
4%
20/190/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 55 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 15 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 37 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Metz have conceded 60 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2720343863 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2819272759 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2916492052 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
4
Lille2815581150 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
5
Rennes291487850 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Monaco2915410749 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
May 2
l
 
5-2F
7
Lyon2814681248 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
8
Strasbourg2812791243 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
Lorient289118-438 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
May 9
d
 
1-1F
10
Toulouse2810711437 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
3-4A
l
 
4-0A
11
Brest2810612-636 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
12
Paris FC2981110-835 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
13
Angers299614-1433 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
14
Le Havre2861012-1328 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
15
Nice287615-2227 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-1A
May 16
16
Auxerre295915-1424 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
17
Nantes284717-2119 
l
 
0-2A
May 1
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz293620-3715 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Marseille have drawn with Metz in 3 consecutive home league meetings
10
Marseille have not lost to Metz in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Metz
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
MAR
3
D
3
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
14
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
MAR
4
D
3
MET
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 86 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Marseille 3rd Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 67% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Marseille have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Metz have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.3
1
Attack rating
42%
better
MAR
MET
view stats
Games scored22
15
Failed to score6
13
Scored first16
6
Goals scored55
25
Avg. goals scored2
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
24%
better
MAR
MET
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first12
18
Goals conceded37
60
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+24%

Marseille v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251565
G RulliM Greenwood M Greenwood L Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK25
2
-
B Pavard DEF2312
4
-
L Balerdi DEF211
5
-
F Medina DEF131
5
-
T Weah MID2622
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID2724
3
-
Q Timber MID11
2
-
I Paixão MID2665
3
-
M Greenwood  FWD27156
3
-
A Gouiri FWD1873
-
P Aubameyang FWD2695
1
-
Subs
J Lange GLK4
-
Emerson DEF233
2
-
B Nadir MID194
4
1
T Nadi MID4
-
H Abdelli MID6
1
-
E Nwaneri MID821
1
-
A Vermeeren MID151
1
1
H Traorè MID1121
1
-
E. Lago FWD
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26658
J GbaminG HeinG HeinK Kouao
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sy GLK4
-
K Kouao DEF2521
8
-
S. Sané DEF1821
4
2
A. Touré DEF281
4
-
M Colin DEF21
1
-
J Gbamin MID2611
2
1
J Deminguet MID271
4
-
B Sarr MID7
1
-
G Hein MID2465
2
1
G Tsitaishvili MID2932
2
-
H Diallo FWD2241
-
Subs
J. Fischer GLK26
-
U. Mboula DEF11
1
-
T Yegbe DEF191
3
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF13
2
-
B Stambouli MID14
-
G Abuashvili FWD192
1
-
G Kvilitaia FWD5
-
L. Michal FWD7
1
-
N. Mbala FWD92
-