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Marseille v Monaco : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Monaco, led by manager Sébastien Pocognoli, visit Roberto De Zerbi and his Marseille side at the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday evening in the Ligue 1. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Marseille to win in front of their own fans is what we would suggest. We predict they will overpower Monaco, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. There could be some bumps along the way, but Marseille winning is the bet come Sunday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
62%
1.831.83
Draw
19%
3.804.00
Monaco
19%
3.90
3%
3.80
Marseille 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 1-1
8%
8.007.50
Marseille 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Marseille 2-0
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
11.0010.00
Marseille 1-0
6%
12.009.50
5%
Marseille 3-0
6%
17.0013.00
Monaco 2-1
5%
13.0011.00
Marseille 3-2
5%
19.0015.00
Marseille 4-1
5%
23.0017.00
Marseille 4-0
3%
29.0021.00
Monaco 1-0
3%
17.0013.00
Marseille 4-2
3%
34.0023.00
Monaco 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
Draw 0-0
2%
19.0015.00
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
1.501.48
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
2.632.60
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.621.62
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.252.38
1%
No 1st Goal
1%
19.0013.00
13%
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.441.48
BTTS - No
33%
2.632.50
BTTS - Home Win
38%
3.002.90
1%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.334.40
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6.005.50
5%
Home/draw
81%
1.251.25
Away/draw
38%
1.911.95
Home/away
81%
1.251.25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1.141.14
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
5.505.00
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
2.202.10
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
1.671.65
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
3.753.50
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
1.291.29
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
6.506.00
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
1.111.10
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.021.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
19.0015.00
Home DNB
75%
1.401.36
Away DNB
32%
2.752.80
Marseille win to nil
24%
4.00-
Monaco win to nil
6%
9.00-
Marseille / Marseille
29%
2.882.75
Marseille / Monaco
3%
26.0023.00
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Marseille
16%
5.504.80
Draw / Monaco
9%
9.008.50
6%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.00
Monaco / Marseille
5%
19.0015.00
Monaco / Monaco
14%
6.005.75
Monaco / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 15 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 23 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Monaco are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 23 points having played 15 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Monaco have conceded 9 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1511131334 
Jan 24
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-4A
Feb 22
2
PSG1510322033 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
3
Marseille159242029 
-
-
Apr 5
Dec 14
4
Lille159241229 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
May 9
l
 
1-0A
5
Lyon14734624 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Jan 3
Mar 22
6
Rennes15663124 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
Jan 31
l
 
4-1A
7
Monaco15726023 
Dec 14
Apr 5
-
-
8
Strasbourg15717522 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2F
May 16
9
Toulouse15555220 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
10
Brest15546-419 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
11
Angers15546-419 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 17
Mar 1
d
 
1-1F
12
Nice15528-817 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
13
Paris FC15447-516 
w
 
5-2F
Jan 31
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
14
Le Havre15366-815 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
15
Lorient14356-1014 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
Jan 16
l
 
3-1A
16
Auxerre15339-1012 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
17
Nantes15258-1111 
Jan 4
May 3
Feb 15
w
 
3-5F
18
Metz153210-1911 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-2A
May 3
Win / draw / win form
11
Marseille have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
59
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
Monaco 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest1 - 0Monaco
Rennes4 - 1Monaco
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Angers1 - 1Monaco
Lorient3 - 1Monaco
Auxerre1 - 2Monaco
Lille1 - 0Monaco
Lens4 - 0Monaco
St Etienne1 - 3Monaco
Le Havre1 - 1Monaco
Brest2 - 1Monaco
Angers0 - 2Monaco
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Lille2 - 1Monaco
PSG4 - 1Monaco
Montpellier2 - 1Monaco
Nantes2 - 2Monaco
Reims0 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Strasbourg1 - 3Monaco
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco0 - 1Brest
HMonaco1 - 0PSG
AMonaco1 - 4Rennes
HMonaco1 - 4Lens
HMonaco0 - 1Paris FC
AMonaco5 - 3Nantes
HMonaco1 - 0Toulouse
AMonaco1 - 1Angers
HMonaco2 - 2Nice
AMonaco1 - 3Lorient
HMonaco5 - 2Metz
AMonaco2 - 1Auxerre
HMonaco3 - 2Strasbourg
AMonaco0 - 1Lille
HMonaco3 - 1Le Havre
AMonaco0 - 4Lens
HMonaco2 - 0Lyon
AMonaco3 - 1St Etienne
AMonaco1 - 1Le Havre
HMonaco0 - 0Strasbourg
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Monaco
Goals: Scored
17
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
MAR
3
D
5
MCO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Monaco
Marseille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Monaco
Draw3 - 3Draw
Marseille2 - 1
1 - 2Monaco
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Marseille
Goals: Scored
31
17
Games: Scored
11 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
1 / 12
MAR
4
MCO
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Monaco3 - 0
Monaco3 - 2
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
Monaco3 - 1
3 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Monaco6 - 1
Monaco4 - 0
Monaco2 - 1
Monaco1 - 0
Monaco2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

Marseille 3rd Monaco 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Monaco will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+45
Marseille have scored 45% more goals at home than predicted
-22
Monaco have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
2.4
1.3
Attack rating
10%
better
MAR
MCO
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score3
3
Scored first8
7
Goals scored35
26
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
19
Avg. XG for1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
30%
better
MAR
MCO
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first7
8
Goals conceded15
26
Avg. goals conceded1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+30%

Marseille v Monaco Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131054
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangA Gomes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
M Greenwood  FWD14103
-
A Gomes MID133
4
-
P Höjbjerg MID132
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD1355
-
G Rulli GLK12
1
-
M Murillo DEF122
4
-
B Pavard DEF1212
3
-
Emerson DEF121
1
-
T Weah FWD1211
1
-
I Paixão FWD1231
1
-
L Balerdi DEF111
3
-
M O'Riley MID1112
2
-
B Nadir MID114
1
-
N Aguerd DEF101
2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF8
1
A Vermeeren MID81
1
-
D. Bakola MID6
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
G Kondogbia MID5
1
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
J Lange GLK3
-
P Lirola DEF3
-
F Medina DEF2
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13535
J TezeA FatiK OuattaraJ Teze
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Teze DEF14
5
-
M Akliouche FWD1432
2
-
T Minamino FWD1432
4
-
M Biereth  FWD142
-
C Henrique DEF12
2
-
M. Coulibaly MID1111
4
-
G Ilenikhena FWD112
-
F Balogun FWD1141
1
P Köhn GLK10
1
-
T Kehrer DEF10
3
2
K Ouattara DEF103
2
-
M Salisu DEF101
3
-
K Diatta FWD101
1
-
A Fati FWD105
1
-
A Golovin MID921
1
-
L Camara MID83
2
-
Vanderson DEF72
2
-
L Hradecky GLK6
-
E Dier DEF61
-
C Mawissa DEF6
1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID61
-
D Zakaria MID61
2
1
A. Bamba MID5
1
-
P. Brunner FWD4
1
-
P Pogba MID3
-
L. Michal FWD2
-