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Marseille v Montpellier : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

We’ve Ligue 1 action to look forward to on Saturday night, as Roberto De Zerbi and his Marseille side host Rolf Landerl’s Montpellier at the Stade Vélodrome. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. Odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Marseille's next match is v Brest at 19:45 on Sunday 27th April
Montpellier's next match is v Reims at 16:15 on Sunday 27th April
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Montpellier was on Saturday 19th April 2025
French Ligue 1
April 19th 2025
Marseille 5
1 Montpellier
 
M. Greenwood 8'83' L. Mincarelli Davin
W. Ndollo Bille (OG) 60'
M. Greenwood 67'
J. Rowe 74'
A. Rabiot 90'
 
MAR
MTP
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
7
2
Corners
7
2
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
11
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
MarseilleMontpellier
 
G. Rulli
Q. Merlin (A. Harit 78')
M. Murillo Bermudez
U. Garcia Lopes
G. Kondogbia
V. Rongier (I. Bennacer 65')
P. Højbjerg
A. Rabiotfootball icon
M. Greenwoodfootball iconfootball icon
A. Gouiri (J. Rowe 65')
L. Tomaz de Lima (P. Lirola Kosok 86')
B. Lecomte
football iconW. Ndollo Bille
Y. Mouanga
B. Omeragic
football iconL. Mincarelli Davin
(I. Sylla 72') T. Sainte-Luce
(O. Maamma 90') N. Pays
J. Ferri
(K. Fayad 72') R. Nzingoula
(J. Chotard 72') J. Ndiaye
T. Coulibaly

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

As the Marseille players ready themselves for this match, the bookmakers have predicted a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Stade Vélodrome hasn't been an easy place to go for Montpellier in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
72%
1/7
7%
-
Draw
17%
15/2
42%
-
Montpellier
11%
14/1
58%
-
Marseille 2-0
13%
13/2
7%
-
Marseille 1-0
11%
10/1
16%
-
Marseille 3-0
10%
13/2
6%
-
Marseille 2-1
9%
10/1
16%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
16/1
42%
-
Marseille 3-1
7%
9/1-
Marseille 4-0
5%
17/2
21%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
25/1
37%
-
Marseille 4-1
4%
12/1
13%
-
Montpellier 1-0
4%
40/1
58%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1
26%
-
Montpellier 2-1
3%
40/1
58%
-
Marseille 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Marseille 5-0
2%
14/1
29%
-
Marseille 5-1
2%
20/1
19%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
3/10
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
5/2
27%
-
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/6
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
36%
4/1
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
37%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/20-
BTTS - No
53%
4/5-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
7/5
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
12%
17/2
27%
-
BTTS - Away Win
5%
22/1
53%
-
Home/draw
89%
1/33
4%
-
Away/draw
28%
9/2
38%
-
Home/away
83%
1/12
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/12
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/1
45%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
4/5
14%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/1
16%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/4
27%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
4/9
12%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/2
31%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/5
8%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/100
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
25/1
37%
-
Home DNB
84%
1/25
4%
-
Away DNB
23%
12/1
63%
-
Marseille win to nil
43%
10/11
9%
-
Montpellier win to nil
5%
25/1
53%
-
Marseille / Marseille
55%
8/15
12%
-
Marseille / Montpellier
1%
66/1
31%
-
Marseille / Draw
4%
22/1
21%
-
Draw / Marseille
21%
3/1-
Draw / Montpellier
2%
33/1
62%
-
Draw / Draw
6%
12/1
37%
-
Montpellier / Marseille
5%
16/1-
Montpellier / Montpellier
3%
28/1
53%
-
Montpellier / Draw
3%
28/1
38%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 57 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Montpellier are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 15 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 11 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

29 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 22 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Montpellier have conceded 66 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 17 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Montpellier
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2924505577 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
May 11
l
 
6-0A
2
Marseille Home3017492055 
-
-
l
 
0-5A
l
 
5-1A
3
Monaco3016682254 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
4
Lyon2915681851 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
5
Strasbourg3014971151 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Lille2914871350 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
7
Nice2913971748 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
8
Brest2913511144 
Apr 27
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-1F
May 4
9
Lens2912611042 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
10
Rennes3012216538 
May 18
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-0A
11
Auxerre2910811-238 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse299713034 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
13
Nantes297913-1530 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-3A
May 18
14
Angers298615-1830 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
15
Reims297814-1129 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
Apr 27
l
 
4-2A
16
Le Havre308319-3127 
w
 
5-1F
May 11
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
St Etienne296617-3624 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier A304323-4915 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-5F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille4 - 1Montpellier
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
AMarseille2 - 1Nantes
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
2
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers2 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Nice2 - 0Montpellier
Strasbourg2 - 0Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Lyon1 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
St Etienne1 - 0Montpellier
Le Havre1 - 0Montpellier
Reims4 - 2Montpellier
Monaco2 - 1Montpellier
Rennes3 - 0Montpellier
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
Lens2 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Reims1 - 2Montpellier
Clermont1 - 1Montpellier
Le Havre0 - 2Montpellier
Nice1 - 2Montpellier
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMontpellier0 - 2Angers
HMontpellier0 - 2Le Havre
AMontpellier0 - 1Auxerre
HMontpellier0 - 2St Etienne
AMontpellier0 - 1Lille
HMontpellier0 - 4Rennes
AMontpellier0 - 2Nice
HMontpellier1 - 4Lyon
AMontpellier0 - 2Strasbourg
HMontpellier0 - 2Lens
AMontpellier2 - 1Toulouse
HMontpellier2 - 1Monaco
HMontpellier1 - 3Angers
AMontpellier0 - 1Lyon
HMontpellier2 - 2Nice
AMontpellier0 - 2Lens
HMontpellier2 - 2Lille
AMontpellier0 - 1St Etienne
HMontpellier3 - 1Brest
AMontpellier0 - 1Le Havre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Marseille have not lost to Montpellier in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
9 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
2 / 11
MAR
6
D
4
MTP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Marseille3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille5 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Montpellier
Marseille2 - 0
League games at Montpellier since 2014
Montpellier
Marseille
Goals: Scored
18
21
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
MAR
5
D
3
MTP
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Montpellier
0 - 5Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Draw3 - 3Draw
Montpellier3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Montpellier3 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
Montpellier2 - 1
2 - 3Marseille
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Marseille in their meeting with Montpellier, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Montpellier, with Rolf Landerl's men failing to score in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Marseille 2nd Montpellier 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Marseille have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-23
Montpellier have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279215/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Montpellier
2.3
0.7
Attack rating
57%
better
MAR
MTP
view stats
Games scored23
12
Failed to score6
17
Scored first15
2
Goals scored57
21
Avg. goals scored2
0.7
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
12
Conversion rate for19
8
Avg. XG for1.8
1.1
KickOff rating
+57%
Defence rating
37%
better
MAR
MTP
view stats
Games conceded24
29
Clean sheets5
0
Conceded first14
27
Goals conceded41
66
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+37%

Marseille v Montpellier Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281658
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueD Cornelius
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK28
1
-
M Murillo DEF2412
1
-
G Kondogbia DEF21
1
-
U Garcia DEF1521
1
-
L Henrique MID2875
-
P Höjbjerg MID2423
5
-
V Rongier MID2031
4
-
Q Merlin MID2113
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD28163
2
-
A Rabiot FWD2362
3
-
A Gouiri FWD843
-
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
D Cornelius DEF19
6
2
P Lirola DEF1612
1
1
A Harit  MID923
1
I Bennacer MID71
1
-
B Nadir MID141
2
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
J Rowe FWD2222
1
-
Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262510
T SavanierT CoulibalyT SavanierR. Nzingoula
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Lecomte GLK25
-
W. Ndollo Bille DEF2
-
Y. Mouanga DEF8
1
-
B Omeragic DEF17
1
-
L. Mincarelli Davin DEF4
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF121
3
-
N. Pays MID7
-
J Ferri MID191
5
1
R. Nzingoula MID221
10
-
J. Ndiaye MID9
-
T Coulibaly FWD192
2
2
Subs
D Bertaud GLK3
-
I Sylla DEF181
2
-
K Kouyaté DEF10
5
1
F Sacko DEF151
1
-
T Savanier MID2625
4
1
J Chotard MID201
5
-
K Fayad MID15
2
-
W Khazri FWD2711
4
-
O. Maamma FWD1111
1
-