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Metz v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 16:15 BST, Stade Saint-Symphorien, Metz

Carles Martínez Novell leads his Toulouse team to the Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, with Stéphane Le Mignan's Metz their rivals. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds are also given.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this fixture will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Metz and Toulouse have rarely treated their fans to goal-fests of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Toulouse coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Metz
25%
3/1
7%
29/10
4%
Draw
27%
9/4
2%
23/10
Toulouse
48%
19/20
5%
1/1
2%
Toulouse 1-0
13%
11/25/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
Toulouse 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Metz 1-0
9%
9/115/2
Metz 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Toulouse 3-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
Toulouse 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
Metz 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Toulouse 3-2
2%
28/122/1
Metz 3-1
2%
33/125/1
Toulouse 4-0
2%
40/125/1
Toulouse 4-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/511/10
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/64/6
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4
4%
6/4
2%
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/117/10
2%
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
6%
13/2
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
53%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
7%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
19%
7/2
5%
16/5
Home/draw
52%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
Away/draw
75%
2/9
2%
1/4
Home/away
73%
1/3
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/519/10
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/111/4
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/401/80
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Home DNB
44%
7/4
5%
17/10
4%
Away DNB
67%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Metz win to nil
15%
11/2
8%
-
Toulouse win to nil
29%
9/4
4%
-
Metz / Metz
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Metz / Toulouse
3%
25/120/1
Metz / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Metz
10%
7/1
7%
7/1
7%
Draw / Toulouse
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
7/2
Toulouse / Metz
3%
33/128/1
12%
Toulouse / Toulouse
26%
11/5
6%
2/1
3%
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Metz have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Metz have conceded 56 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Metz have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 12th place on 31 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Metz
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
3-6A
Apr 3
2
Lens2518252756 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
3
Marseille2514471946 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
4
Lyon2514471346 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
May 9
w
 
1-2A
5
Rennes251276743 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Lille251258641 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
7
Monaco251249640 
May 3
l
 
5-2F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg251069936 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
9
Brest251069036 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Lorient258107-434 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
11
Angers259511-732 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse258710431 
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
-
-
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
15
Nice256613-1824 
w
 
2-1A
May 16
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes254516-2017 
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 16
18
Metz253418-3413 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Toulouse have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Metz have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 1Brest
Metz1 - 3Auxerre
Metz0 - 0Lille
Metz2 - 5Lyon
Metz2 - 3PSG
Metz0 - 1Rennes
Metz2 - 1Nice
Metz2 - 0Lens
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Metz1 - 1Angers
Metz0 - 1Strasbourg
Metz1 - 0Dunkerque
Metz3 - 3Rodez
Metz2 - 2Red Star
Metz2 - 1Troyes
Metz5 - 1Annecy
Metz0 - 1Ajaccio
Metz3 - 1Clermont
Metz3 - 0Grenoble
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMetz0 - 3Lens
HMetz0 - 1Brest
AMetz0 - 3PSG
HMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 0Lille
AMetz0 - 1Angers
HMetz2 - 5Lyon
AMetz1 - 2Strasbourg
AMetz1 - 1Lorient
HMetz2 - 3PSG
AMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 1Rennes
AMetz2 - 3Brest
HMetz2 - 1Nice
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz2 - 0Lens
AMetz1 - 6Lille
AMetz0 - 4Toulouse
HMetz0 - 3Marseille
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Le Havre1 - 4Toulouse
Auxerre2 - 2Toulouse
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Toulouse have beaten Metz in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Toulouse have not lost to Metz in 7 consecutive league meetings
3
Toulouse have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Metz
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
MET
1
D
3
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
0 - 1Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Metz3 - 2
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Metz
Goals: Scored
11
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
1 / 5
Clean sheets
4 / 5
1 / 5
MET
1
D
1
TOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Toulouse4 - 0
Toulouse3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Metz
Toulouse3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Metz of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Toulouse.

Metz 18th Toulouse 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Metz’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Toulouse have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Metz
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1
1.4
Attack rating
MET
TOU
19%
better
view stats
Games scored14
16
Failed to score11
9
Scored first6
9
Goals scored22
33
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for13
14
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
MET
TOU
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
17
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first17
14
Goals conceded56
29
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
15%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%

Metz v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24647
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK25
-
A. Touré MID251
3
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2521
2
-
J Deminguet MID231
4
-
J Gbamin DEF2211
2
1
K Kouao DEF2111
7
-
G Hein FWD2164
2
1
B Traoré MID191
3
-
H Diallo FWD1841
-
M Colin DEF17
-
T Yegbe DEF171
2
-
G Abuashvili FWD171
1
-
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
S. Sané DEF142
3
2
B Stambouli MID14
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF12
2
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
U. Mboula DEF9
1
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-
P Sy GLK1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25646
G. RestesY GbohoY GbohoC Cresswell
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK25
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2533
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF24
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2432
6
-
Y Gboho FWD2464
1
-
C Yepes MID231
5
-
M McKenzie DEF222
6
-
D. Methalie DEF21
6
-
S Hidalgo FWD2143
3
-
A Dönnum MID2034
6
-
M Sauer MID19
2
-
Emersonn FWD1932
3
1
A. Vossah MID1711
2
1
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
W Kamanzi DEF16
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
J. Vignolo FWD122
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-