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Monaco v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

The Ligue 1 is the focus for both Monaco and Lyon on Saturday night, as bosses Adi Hutter and Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca go head to head at the Stade Louis II. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.

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Monaco's next match is v Lens at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
Lyon's next match is v Angers at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Monaco and Lyon was on Saturday 10th May 2025
French Ligue 1
May 10th 2025
Monaco 2
0 Lyon
 
T. Minamino 62'
D. Zakaria Lako Lado 68'
 
MCO
LYN
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
3
5
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
16
18
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
MonacoLyon
 
P. Köhn
J. Teze (V. de Oliveira Campos 76')
T. Kehrer
W. Singo
C. Oliveira Silva
L. Camara (S. Magassa 78')
D. Zakaria Lako Ladofootball icon (C. Mawissa Elebi 86')
M. Bieveth (E. Ben Seghir 76')
M. Akliouche
T. Minaminofootball icon (K. Diatta 86')
B. Embolo
L. Estella Perri
N. Alejandro Tagliafico
(D. Ćaleta-Car 22') C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
M. Niakhate
A. Maitland-Niles
T. Tessmann
T. Almada
(M. Cherki 65') N. Matić
(G. Mikautadze 76') J. Veretout
M. Fofana
A. Lacazette

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookies suggest that this Ligue 1 clash is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
54%
5/6
5%
-
Draw
20%
16/5-
Lyon
26%
13/5
8%
-
Monaco 2-1
9%
8/1-
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Monaco 3-1
7%
11/1-
Lyon 2-1
6%
12/1-
Monaco 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Monaco 3-2
5%
16/1-
Monaco 1-0
5%
14/1
25%
-
Monaco 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Monaco 4-1
4%
20/1-
Lyon 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
-
Lyon 1-0
3%
20/1
11%
-
Lyon 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Monaco 4-2
3%
25/1
10%
-
Draw 3-3
3%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
4/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
11/5
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
5%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
25/1
24%
-
BTTS - Yes
71%
2/5
3%
-
BTTS - No
29%
7/4
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
35%
7/4
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1
9%
-
Home/draw
74%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
46%
10/11
5%
-
Home/away
80%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
11/2
8%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
10/11
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
10/11
10%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
11/5
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
4/11
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
4/1
17%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
20/1-
Home DNB
68%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
40%
7/4
8%
-
Monaco win to nil
19%
10/3
8%
-
Lyon win to nil
8%
9/1-
Monaco / Monaco
31%
7/4-
Monaco / Lyon
3%
22/1
12%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Monaco
15%
9/2-
Draw / Lyon
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2-
Lyon / Monaco
5%
16/1-
Lyon / Lyon
14%
5/1
8%
-
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 7 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 63 goals to 61 goals.

Home League Performance

Monaco have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 36 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Lyon are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 54 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won 4. Lyon have conceded 24 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3325625581 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
2
Marseille3319592562 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2F
3
Monaco Home3318782661 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
4
Nice3316981957 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
5
Lille3316981557 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
6
Strasbourg3316981357 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
w
 
4-3A
l
 
4-2A
7
Lyon Away33166111754 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
8
Brest3315513-150 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
Lens3314712-149 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Auxerre3311913-142 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3F
11
Rennes3313218341 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1F
l
 
3-0A
12
Toulouse3310914039 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
13
Angers3310617-1936 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-3F
14
Reims338916-1333 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Nantes3371214-1633 
w
 
7-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
16
Le Havre339420-3231 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-4F
17
St Etienne338619-3730 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
18
Montpellier334425-5316 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
7
Monaco have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Monaco 3RD
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Lyon 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Lyon
Goals: Scored
15
15
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
MCO
5
D
2
LYN
4
League games at Lyon since 2014
Lyon
Monaco
Goals: Scored
29
15
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
MCO
3
LYN
8
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Monaco in their meeting with Lyon, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Lyon have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Monaco on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Monaco 3rd Lyon 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Monaco have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Lyon have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279244/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
2.3
1.6
Attack rating
MCO
LYN
2%
better
view stats
Games scored28
28
Failed to score4
4
Scored first18
17
Goals scored61
63
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
21
Avg. XG for2.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
7%
better
MCO
LYN
view stats
Games conceded22
23
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded37
44
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+7%

Monaco v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27131011
T KehrerM Biereth M AklioucheL Camara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Köhn GLK18
1
-
J Teze DEF151
2
1
W Singo DEF2612
4
-
T Kehrer DEF274
1
-
C Henrique DEF266
3
-
M Akliouche MID31510
2
-
D Zakaria MID2564
5
-
L Camara MID2827
10
1
T Minamino MID3063
4
-
B Embolo FWD3064
5
-
M Biereth  FWD16132
1
-
Subs
R Majecki GLK15
1
-
Vanderson DEF2813
5
1
C Mawissa DEF21
3
-
M Salisu DEF161
2
-
E Seghir MID3263
-
K Diatta MID18
2
-
S. Bouabré MID2
-
S Magassa MID201
5
-
G Ilenikhena FWD2232
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3213108
L PerriA LacazetteR CherkiD Caleta-Car
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Perri GLK32
1
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF3114
1
-
M Niakhaté DEF30
2
-
C Mata DEF294
6
-
N Tagliafico DEF2331
7
-
N Matić MID281
1
-
T Tessmann MID241
3
-
J Veretout MID262
4
-
T Almada MID1514
3
-
M Fofana MID2854
2
-
A Lacazette FWD29132
4
-
Subs
R Descamps GLK1
-
Abner DEF1811
1
-
S Kumbedi DEF14
1
-
W Omari DEF1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF181
8
-
R Cherki MID29810
3
-
P Akouokou MID2
1
-
G Mikautadze FWD33116
2
-