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Montpellier v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier

Michel Der Zakarian's Montpellier side will have home backing in the Ligue 1 on Sunday afternoon, as Bruno Genesio's Lille visit the Stade de la Mosson. All statistics, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head history, will change as you explore each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Montpellier's next match is v Lens at 14:00 on Sunday 8th December
Lille's next match is v Brest at 18:00 on Friday 6th December
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Montpellier and Lille was on Sunday 1st December 2024
French Ligue 1
December 1st 2024
Montpellier 2
2 Lille
 
I. Sylla 45'44' J. David
A. Nordin 90'54' J. David
 
MTP
LIL
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
5
7
Corners
7
2
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
9
21
Yellow/red cards
4/1
5/1
 
MontpellierLille
 
B. Lecomte
I. Syllafootball icon
N. Maksimović (G. Bares 88')
B. Omeragic (M. Sagnan 63')
J. Chotard
J. Ferri (R. Nzingoula 63')
T. Savanier (T. Coulibaly 81')
W. Khazri (J. Ndiaye 63')
M. Al Tamari
A. Nordinfootball icon
E. Mbiayi
L. Chevalier
A. Mandi
B. Diakité
A. Souza Ribeiro
(G. Gudmundsson 77') M. Bakker
(H. Haraldsson 68') N. Mukau
B. André
A. Bouaddi
(O. Sahraoui 68') R. Cabella
(M. Bayo 90') football iconfootball iconJ. David
(T. Meunier 90') M. Fernandez Pardo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Lille to win

The turnout should be good at Stade de la Mosson on Sunday afternoon but, unfortunately, we predict the majority of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Lille getting the better of hosts Montpellier. It will be a tough one to take for home boss Michel Der Zakarian but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookie odds of 1.75 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of Lille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Montpellier
18%
7/210/3
Draw
22%
5/2
3%
13/5
4%
Lille
60%
4/55/6
2%
Lille 1-0
11%
7/1
6%
6/1
7%
Lille 2-0
10%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Lille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Lille 3-0
7%
14/111/1
Lille 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
10/1
15%
17/2
5%
Montpellier 1-0
5%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Montpellier 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Lille 4-0
3%
28/120/1
Lille 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Lille 3-2
3%
22/118/1
12%
Montpellier 2-0
3%
22/116/1
11%
Montpellier 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
10/11
10%
4/5
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
10/11
9%
19/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/2-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/4
5%
3/4
3%
BTTS - No
47%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
7/1
7%
6/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/218/5
BTTS - Away Win
28%
11/4
7%
5/2
6%
Home/draw
40%
19/2019/20
3%
Away/draw
82%
2/112/9
2%
Home/away
78%
2/72/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
11/4
13%
13/5
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5
16%
19/10
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
6%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
20%
17/4
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
4%
2/15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
12/1
30%
9/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/25
2%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/1
15%
17/2
5%
Home DNB
33%
9/42/1
3%
Away DNB
75%
1/31/3
Montpellier win to nil
9%
7/1
11%
-
Lille win to nil
33%
9/4
4%
-
Montpellier / Montpellier
11%
6/111/2
Montpellier / Lille
4%
20/118/1
12%
Montpellier / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Montpellier
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Lille
18%
15/418/5
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
8%
4/1
5%
Lille / Montpellier
3%
33/125/1
Lille / Lille
30%
15/89/5
4%
Lille / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Montpellier have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Montpellier have conceded 32 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Montpellier have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lille lay in 4th place on 22 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 12 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Lille have played 6 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Montpellier
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG1310302633 
May 11
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-3A
Mar 2
2
Marseille138231226 
l
 
0-5A
Apr 20
May 4
Dec 14
3
Monaco138231026 
Jan 19
l
 
2-1F
Feb 23
d
 
0-00-0
4
Lille 13652823 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 9
-
-
5
Lyon13643622 
Feb 16
Jan 4
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
6
Nice13553820 
Dec 15
Feb 23
Jan 19
d
 
2-2F
7
Lens13553320 
Feb 2
Dec 8
Mar 30
w
 
0-2F
8
Auxerre13616019 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
Apr 20
Jan 12
9
Reims13535218 
Apr 27
l
 
4-2A
May 18
w
 
0-2F
10
Toulouse13535118 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 26
w
 
2-1A
Apr 13
11
Brest13517-416 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
Dec 6
May 11
12
Rennes13427-114 
Mar 2
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
13
Strasbourg13346-513 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 9
d
 
3-3F
Jan 26
14
Angers13346-713 
Jan 12
Apr 13
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
15
St Etienne13418-1913 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
16
Le Havre13409-1412 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
Feb 9
w
 
0-3F
17
Nantes13256-511 
l
 
1-3A
May 18
Jan 4
Mar 16
18
Montpellier 13229-218 
-
-
Mar 9
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Montpellier 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Lille have not lost to Montpellier in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Montpellier since 2013
Montpellier
Lille
Goals: Scored
10
14
Games: Scored
5 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
5 / 10
MTP
2
D
1
LIL
7
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
Montpellier
Goals: Scored
15
6
Games: Scored
9 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
2 / 11
D
4
LIL
7
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Lille in their clash with Montpellier, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 17 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Montpellier 18th Lille 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Montpellier scoring 1 goal or less
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Montpellier have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-10
Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279059/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Montpellier
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1
2
Attack rating
MTP
LIL
44%
better
view stats
Games scored6
10
Failed to score6
2
Scored first2
8
Goals scored11
19
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
MTP
LIL
58%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
6
Clean sheets0
6
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded32
11
Avg. goals conceded2.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded13
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against21%
12%
Avg. XG against2
1.3
KickOff rating
+58%

Montpellier v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Montpellier Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12436
A NordinA NordinT SavanierR. Nzingoula
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Lecomte GLK10
-
E Mbiayi DEF13
2
-
N Maksimović DEF4
1
-
B Omeragic DEF8
1
-
I Sylla DEF91
1
-
J Ferri MID9
4
-
J Chotard MID7
3
-
M Tamari MID8
2
-
T Savanier MID1113
2
1
A Nordin MID124
2
-
W Khazri FWD1211
2
-
Subs
D Bertaud GLK3
-
T Sainte-Luce  DEF
-
F Sacko DEF101
1
-
M Sagnan DEF121
4
-
G Bares MID5
-
R. Nzingoula MID101
6
-
T Coulibaly MID101
1
2
A Gueguin FWD1
-
J. Ndiaye FWD4
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13935
L ChevalierJ DavidO SahraouiAlexsandro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK13
-
A Mandi DEF9
2
-
B Diakité DEF1311
2
-
Alexsandro DEF112
5
-
M Bakker DEF92
1
B André MID111
3
-
A. Bouaddi MID111
1
-
R Cabella MID111
1
-
N Mukau MID8
4
-
M Fernandez MID811
2
-
J David FWD1391
3
-
Subs
V Mannone GLK
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF13
1
-
T Meunier DEF111
2
-
Ismaily DEF1
1
-
H Haraldsson MID51
1
-
A Gomes MID5
1
-
O Sahraoui FWD123
1
-
M Bayo FWD102
1
-