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Nantes v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 20:05 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

We’ve Ligue 1 action to enjoy on Saturday night, as Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro and his Nantes side host Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca’s Lyon at the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of Nantes and Lyon delivering a minimum of 2 goals in this Ligue 1 tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Lyon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
22%
4.75
3%
4.80
9%
Draw
23%
3.903.70
3%
Lyon
55%
1.671.73
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.506.50
7%
Lyon 1-0
10%
7.00
13%
6.50
Lyon 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Lyon 2-0
9%
8.00
6%
7.50
7%
Lyon 3-1
6%
13.0012.00
9%
Nantes 1-0
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
Nantes 2-1
6%
15.0013.00
Lyon 3-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
11.00
15%
9.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Lyon 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
Nantes 2-0
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
Lyon 4-1
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Lyon 4-0
3%
26.0019.00
12%
Nantes 3-1
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.91
6%
1.85
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1.91
5%
1.85
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.63
1%
2.88
4%
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.531.53
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
15%
9.00
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.91
9%
1.85
3%
BTTS - No
45%
1.91
5%
1.85
1%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
9.00
6%
8.00
11%
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.004.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
3.75
10%
3.70
6%
Home/draw
45%
2.152.05
7%
Away/draw
78%
1.181.18
3%
Home/away
77%
1.251.29
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.29
3%
1.29
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3.75
6%
3.40
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.40
13%
3.20
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.33
5%
1.33
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
6.00
9%
6.00
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.13
1%
1.11
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
13.00
18%
11.00
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.04
1%
1.03
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.05
1%
1.05
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.00
15%
9.00
Home DNB
38%
3.503.40
9%
Away DNB
71%
1.291.29
6%
Nantes win to nil
11%
8.00
11%
-
Lyon win to nil
28%
2.75
8%
-
Nantes / Nantes
10%
8.50
6%
7.00
7%
Nantes / Lyon
4%
21.0019.00
Nantes / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
13%
Draw / Nantes
8%
10.009.50
5%
Draw / Lyon
18%
4.504.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
8%
5.00
5%
Lyon / Nantes
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
15%
Lyon / Lyon
31%
2.602.60
6%
Lyon / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Nantes have conceded 34 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 10 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Lyon lay in 4th place on 39 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lyon have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lyon have played 10 away games, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2015322748 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
2
Lens2015141846 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
May 16
w
 
0-1F
3
Marseille2012352439 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
4
Lyon2012351339 
Feb 7
l
 
3-0A
-
-
5
Lille201028432 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
6
Rennes20875-131 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
May 3
l
 
3-1F
7
Strasbourg20938830 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Feb 22
8
Toulouse20866830 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 9
9
Lorient20776-428 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
10
Monaco20839-127 
l
 
3-5A
Feb 13
Mar 22
w
 
1-3F
11
Angers20758-426 
Mar 8
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
12
Brest20659-723 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Nice206410-1122 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
3-2A
14
Paris FC20569-821 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
Mar 8
d
 
3-3F
15
Le Havre20488-920 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
16
Nantes203512-1714 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
Feb 7
17
Auxerre203413-1513 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
18
Metz203314-2512 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
Win / draw / win form
3
Nantes have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Lyon have won 5 consecutive league games
8
Nantes have not won in 8 consecutive home league games
5
Lyon have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes1 - 4Nice
Nantes1 - 2Paris FC
Nantes1 - 2Lens
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Nantes1 - 0Auxerre
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Nantes2 - 2Monaco
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes1 - 2Lorient
HNantes1 - 4Nice
HNantes1 - 2Paris FC
ANantes2 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 4Angers
HNantes1 - 2Lens
ANantes0 - 3Lyon
HNantes1 - 1Lorient
ANantes1 - 1Le Havre
HNantes0 - 2Metz
HNantes3 - 5Monaco
ANantes2 - 1Paris FC
HNantes0 - 2Lille
ANantes0 - 0Brest
ANantes2 - 2Toulouse
HNantes2 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1PSG
Lyon 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz2 - 5Lyon
Monaco1 - 3Lyon
Lorient1 - 0Lyon
Auxerre0 - 0Lyon
Brest0 - 0Lyon
Paris FC3 - 3Lyon
Nice3 - 2Lyon
Lille0 - 1Lyon
Rennes3 - 1Lyon
Lens0 - 1Lyon
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
St Etienne2 - 1Lyon
Auxerre1 - 3Lyon
Strasbourg4 - 2Lyon
Nice0 - 2Lyon
Montpellier1 - 4Lyon
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Brest2 - 1Lyon
PSG3 - 1Lyon
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLyon1 - 0Lille
ALyon5 - 2Metz
HLyon2 - 1Brest
ALyon3 - 1Monaco
HLyon1 - 0Le Havre
ALyon0 - 1Lorient
HLyon3 - 0Nantes
ALyon0 - 0Auxerre
HLyon2 - 3PSG
ALyon0 - 0Brest
ALyon3 - 3Paris FC
HLyon2 - 1Strasbourg
ALyon2 - 3Nice
HLyon1 - 2Toulouse
ALyon1 - 0Lille
HLyon1 - 0Angers
ALyon1 - 3Rennes
HLyon1 - 0Marseille
HLyon3 - 0Metz
ALyon1 - 0Lens
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
11
Lyon have not lost to Nantes in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nantes since 2014
Nantes
Lyon
Goals: Scored
7
17
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
NAN
1
D
5
LYN
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Lyon
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Lyon
1 - 2Lyon
Nantes2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 6Lyon
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Lyon
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Nantes
Goals: Scored
25
8
Games: Scored
12 / 13
6 / 13
Clean sheets
7 / 13
1 / 13
NAN
1
D
2
LYN
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
Lyon3 - 0
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lyon3 - 2
Lyon3 - 0
0 - 1Nantes
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon3 - 2
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon1 - 0
Lyon3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.8 against Nantes on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Nantes 17th Lyon 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Nantes have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Lyon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
NAN
LYN
37%
better
view stats
Games scored13
17
Failed to score7
3
Scored first5
14
Goals scored19
33
Avg. goals scored1
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1
1.9
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
NAN
LYN
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
10
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first14
4
Goals conceded36
20
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+42%

Nantes v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20426
K AmianM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Amian DEF201
2
-
M Abline FWD2042
4
-
A Lopes GLK19
3
-
Y Arabi FWD183
-
C Awaziem DEF1711
6
-
M Mohamed FWD173
1
-
N Cozza DEF16
-
D. Assoumani MID16
2
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
B. Guirassy FWD1521
1
-
J Lepenant MID141
2
-
L. Leroux MID1411
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
F Centonze DEF82
2
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
F Coquelin MID7
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19855
C MataP SulcA MoreiraA Maitland-Niles
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Maitland-Niles DEF1913
4
1
C Mata DEF19
4
-
M Niakhaté DEF182
3
-
P Sulc MID1882
2
-
C Tolisso MID1831
5
-
T Tessmann MID181
-
A Moreira FWD1825
2
-
A Karabec MID171
2
-
T Morton MID1722
3
1
D Greif GLK161
-
N Tagliafico DEF143
3
1
Abner DEF133
3
1
K. Merah MID131
2
-
M Satriano FWD1121
1
-
R Kluivert DEF1012
1
-
M. de Carvalho MID10
1
-
M Fofana FWD921
1
-
H Hateboer DEF8
1
R Ghezzal  FWD7
-
R Descamps GLK4
-
O Mangala MID3
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-