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Nantes v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Home advantage can be vital in the Ligue 1, and Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro’s Nantes will have the blessing of it on Sunday afternoon. Stéphane Gilli’s Paris FC are their opponents at the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 1 performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Nantes's next match is v Nice at 14:00 on Sunday 25th January
Paris FC's next match is v Angers at 16:15 on Sunday 25th January
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Nantes and Paris FC was on Sunday 18th January 2026
French Ligue 1
January 18th 2026
Nantes 1
2 Paris FC
 
M. Abline 50'6' I. Kebbal
78' L. Koleosho
 
NAN
PAR
Shots On
1
3
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
1
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
16
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
NantesParis FC
 
A. Lopes
N. Cozza
F. Coquelin (B. Guirassy 65')
R. Cabella
M. Ablinefootball icon
Y. El-Arabi (I. Kpene Ganago 65')
D. Machado Mena (J. Lepenant 18')
T. Tati
K. Amian Adou
I. Sissoko (A. Camara 82')
J. Mwanga
K. Trapp
M. Mbow
(V. Marchetti 81') Otavio Ataide
H. Traoré
T. Kolodziejczak
N. Sangui
A. Camara
M. Lopez
(L. Koleosho 67') A. Gory
(M. Munetsi 87') football iconI. Kebbal
J. Krasso

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Nantes and Paris FC will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro or Stéphane Gilli has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Paris FC coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
36%
17/10
20%
125/1
Draw
25%
21/1016/1
Paris FC
39%
9/5
11%
1/66
Draw 1-1
12%
5/18/13
Paris FC 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
5/2
Paris FC 2-1
9%
10/1
5%
1/6
Nantes 1-0
8%
15/2
16%
6/1
Nantes 2-1
8%
9/1
18%
9/2
Paris FC 2-0
6%
12/1
9%
4/1
Draw 0-0
6%
15/213/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
7/1
Nantes 2-0
6%
12/1
27%
10/1
Paris FC 3-1
4%
22/1
11%
8/1
Nantes 3-1
4%
22/1
12%
25/1
Paris FC 3-0
3%
28/1
10%
11/1
Paris FC 3-2
3%
33/1
10%
40/1
Nantes 3-2
3%
33/160/1
Nantes 3-0
3%
25/1
21%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
11/106/5
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
8/118/13
Home 1st Goal
47%
1/1
10%
21/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
21/20
5%
21/20
No 1st Goal
4%
15/213/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
43%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2
17%
45/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/17/1
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5/1
9%
1/16
Home/draw
61%
2/5
10%
14/1
Away/draw
64%
4/9
5%
1/1000
Home/away
75%
4/111/100
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/11
2%
2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/5
3%
5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/4
7%
8/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/7
1%
1/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/1
7%
60/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/12
1%
1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
16/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/2
5%
13/2
Home DNB
53%
5/6
19%
45/1
Away DNB
57%
5/6
10%
1/1000
Nantes win to nil
18%
10/3
18%
-
Paris FC win to nil
19%
7/2
13%
-
Nantes / Nantes
19%
10/3
20%
50/1
Nantes / Paris FC
3%
28/1
12%
100/1
Nantes / Draw
6%
12/180/1
Draw / Nantes
13%
5/1
7%
18/1
Draw / Paris FC
13%
5/1
9%
18/1
Draw / Draw
16%
15/414/1
Paris FC / Nantes
3%
28/1
17%
17/2
Paris FC / Paris FC
19%
7/2
9%
1/2
Paris FC / Draw
7%
14/110/3
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Nantes have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Paris FC lay in 15th place on 16 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 5 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Paris FC have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Paris FC have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG1914322645 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
May 16
l
 
2-1A
2
Lens1914141743 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
3
Marseille1912252438 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
l
 
5-2A
4
Lyon181035933 
Feb 7
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
5
Lille181026832 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
6
Rennes19874331 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
May 9
7
Strasbourg18837627 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
8
Toulouse18756626 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
9
Lorient19676-525 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
10
Monaco19739-524 
l
 
3-5A
Feb 15
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
11
Brest18648-522 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-2F
12
Angers18648-522 
Mar 8
l
 
4-1A
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
13
Le Havre19487-820 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
14
Paris FC18549-819 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
15
Nice185310-1418 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
16
Nantes183510-1314 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
17
Auxerre193313-1512 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
18
Metz183312-2112 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Paris FC 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goal Statistics
Nantes 17th Paris FC 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Paris FC will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Nantes have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Paris FC have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
NAN
PAR
17%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score7
4
Scored first5
5
Goals scored16
22
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
7%
better
NAN
PAR
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first11
11
Goals conceded28
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
21%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

Nantes v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18325
K AmianM AblineM AblineT. Tati
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK17
2
-
K Amian DEF181
2
-
T. Tati DEF17
5
-
J Mwanga DEF1411
2
1
N Cozza DEF14
-
I Sissoko MID1
-
F Coquelin MID6
1
-
M Abline MID1832
3
-
R Cabella MID21
-
D Machado MID3
-
Y Arabi FWD163
-
Subs
P Carlgren GLK2
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
J Lepenant MID121
1
-
B. Deuff MID9
-
B. Guirassy FWD1521
1
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
I Ganago FWD1
-
D. Koné FWD
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17747
M MbowI KebbalI KebbalM López 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trapp GLK7
-
H Traoré DEF101
3
-
M Mbow DEF17
2
-
O Silva DEF15
5
1
T Kolodziejczak DEF7
1
-
N. Sangui DEF11
-
I Kebbal MID1774
3
-
M López  MID163
7
-
A. Camara MID161
4
-
A Gory MID111
-
J Krasso FWD1723
-
Subs
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
T Ollila DEF7
-
T Smet DEF141
3
1
V Marchetti MID142
1
-
L Doucet MID51
2
-
M Cafaro MID8
-
M Munetsi MID1
-
J López FWD5
-
L Koleosho FWD11
-