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Nantes v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 16:15 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

It's an away match for Eric Roy's Stade Brestois 29 side on Sunday afternoon, as they head to the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau for a Ligue 1 tie with Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro's Nantes. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Nantes or Brest are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nantes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
38%
27/207/5
Draw
25%
9/423/10
3%
Brest
36%
2/12/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
4%
Nantes 1-0
9%
13/26/1
Nantes 2-1
8%
17/215/2
Brest 1-0
8%
8/17/1
Brest 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Nantes 2-0
6%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
8/17/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
Brest 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Nantes 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Brest 3-1
4%
25/118/1
Nantes 3-0
3%
22/116/1
11%
Nantes 3-2
3%
28/122/1
Brest 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Brest 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
11/1021/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
8/117/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/610/11
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/1023/20
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/55/6
BTTS - No
44%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/119/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/210/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5/19/2
4%
Home/draw
64%
4/112/5
3%
Away/draw
62%
4/711/20
Home/away
75%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/111/3
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/521/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/413/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/16/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/121/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/115/2
6%
Home DNB
56%
4/64/6
Away DNB
54%
11/1021/20
2%
Nantes win to nil
19%
3/1-
Brest win to nil
18%
4/1-
Nantes / Nantes
21%
3/127/10
3%
Nantes / Brest
3%
28/122/1
Nantes / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Nantes
15%
9/29/2
4%
Draw / Brest
12%
11/211/2
7%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
2%
Brest / Nantes
3%
25/120/1
Brest / Brest
17%
4/17/2
Brest / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Nantes have conceded 43 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 14 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 10 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Brest lay in 11th place on 36 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brest have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Brest have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Brest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2720343863 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 22
l
 
0-3A
May 9
2
Lens2819272759 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Apr 24
l
 
3-1F
3
Lille2916581553 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
4
Marseille2916492052 
May 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
5
Lyon2915681451 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
6
Rennes291487850 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
l
 
3-4F
l
 
3-1F
7
Monaco2915410749 
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Strasbourg2812791243 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
May 13
w
 
1-2A
9
Lorient299119-638 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
10
Toulouse2910712037 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
11
Brest2810612-636 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
12
Paris FC2981110-835 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 3
13
Angers299614-1433 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
May 16
w
 
0-2F
14
Le Havre2961112-1329 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
15
Nice297715-2228 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2F
16
Auxerre295915-1424 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
17
Nantes284717-2119 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
18
Metz293620-3715 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Brest have lost 3 consecutive league games
5
Nantes have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Brest 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Brest have not lost to Nantes in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Nantes since 2020
Nantes
Brest
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
NAN
3
SBR
2
League games at Brest since 2019
Brest
Nantes
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
NAN
1
D
4
SBR
2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Nantes.

Nantes 17th Brest 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Nantes will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Nantes have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Brest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
NAN
SBR
29%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score12
9
Scored first7
14
Goals scored24
37
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
16
Avg. XG for1
1.3
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
NAN
SBR
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
19
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first18
12
Goals conceded45
43
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+12%

Nantes v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27537
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK27
3
-
M Abline FWD2753
5
-
N Cozza DEF24
1
-
C Awaziem DEF2312
7
-
K Amian DEF231
3
-
D. Assoumani MID231
3
-
J Lepenant MID221
4
-
Y Arabi FWD223
-
M Mohamed FWD203
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD1921
2
-
L. Leroux MID1811
1
-
F Centonze DEF153
4
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
F Coquelin MID14
2
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
278810
K LalaR CastilloL AjorqueL Ajorque
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lala DEF272
3
-
J Chotard MID272
2
-
H Magnetti MID2711
4
-
L Ajorque FWD2678
9
1
R Castillo FWD2682
1
1
B Chardonnet DEF253
4
-
P. Mboup FWD231
6
-
J Ebimbe MID224
2
-
R Lascary FWD2251
2
-
D Guindo DEF20
3
1
B Locko DEF202
-
K Doumbia MID2053
6
-
G Coudert GLK19
1
-
L Tousart MID19
-
M Diaz DEF17
4
-
S Coulibaly DEF14
3
-
M Baldé FWD1422
-
H. Makalou MID12
-
R Majecki GLK10
1
T. Zogbe DEF6
-
J Cardinal DEF51
1
-
R. Le Guen DEF2
-
S. Diop FWD2
-
J. Bourgault DEF1
-