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Lyon v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Lyon and Paris FC meet at the Groupama Stadium on Sunday evening, with both Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and Stéphane Gilli hoping for success in the Ligue 1. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Lyon's next match is v Le Havre at 16:15 on Sunday 15th March
Paris FC's next match is v Strasbourg at 14:00 on Sunday 15th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Lyon and Paris FC was on Sunday 8th March 2026
French Ligue 1
March 8th 2026
Lyon 1
1 Paris FC
 
C. Tolisso 90'63' M. Munetsi
 
LYN
PAR
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
8
7
Corners
8
2
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
7
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
LyonParis FC
 
D. Greif
N. Alejandro Tagliafico (R. Yaremchuk 58')
A. Da Silva Santos
M. Niakhaté
T. Tessmann (N. Teye Nartey 65')
A. Karabec (E. Moreira de Sousa 65')
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
H. Hateboer
T. Morton
K. Merah (C. Tolisso 58')
R. Himbert (A. Hamdani 82')
M. Mbow
A. Camara
(L. Koleosho 73') J. Krasso
N. Sangui
(T. Ollila 90') football iconM. Munetsi
K. Trapp
D. Coppola
(V. Marchetti 87') R. Matondo
P. Lees Melou
(A. Gory 73') M. Simon
(C. Immobile 73') N. Ikoné

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Lyon and Paris FC no more than 3 goals combined during this Ligue 1 clash according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
50%
17/20
21%
66/1
18%
Draw
26%
12/5
13%
8/1
13%
Paris FC
23%
7/2
28%
1/16
25%
Lyon 1-0
13%
5/1
14%
9/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
13%
4/1
7%
Lyon 2-0
10%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Lyon 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
25/1
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
33%
17/10
16%
Paris FC 1-0
8%
10/1
35%
3/10
21%
Paris FC 2-1
6%
14/1
21%
28/1
20%
Lyon 3-0
5%
14/1
36%
18/1
26%
Lyon 3-1
5%
16/1
42%
125/1
18%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/190/1
Paris FC 2-0
4%
20/1
38%
8/1
19%
Lyon 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
125/1
10%
Lyon 4-0
2%
33/1
62%
45/1
24%
Paris FC 3-1
2%
40/1125/1
15%
Lyon 4-1
2%
33/1
48%
150/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
11/10
22%
40/1
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/11
17%
1/1000
13%
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/13
13%
10/11
13%
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/8
9%
7/2
16%
No 1st Goal
6%
15/2
33%
17/10
16%
BTTS - Yes
47%
1/1
5%
7/1
3%
BTTS - No
53%
3/4
8%
1/16
3%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
7/2
32%
25/1
24%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
4/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/1
9%
25/1
16%
Home/draw
77%
2/11
4%
7/1
6%
Away/draw
50%
10/11
20%
1/1000
18%
Home/away
74%
3/10
4%
1/18
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/11
9%
5/1
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/5
20%
1/10
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
3/1
33%
125/1
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/4
11%
1/500
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
7/1
45%
1/50
36%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/12
5%
1/50
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
16/1
55%
1/50
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
2%
1/50
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/14
4%
4/9
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
33%
17/10
16%
Home DNB
69%
1/3
13%
22/1
11%
Away DNB
42%
9/4
28%
1/1000
29%
Lyon win to nil
31%
7/4
5%
-
Paris FC win to nil
14%
6/1
36%
-
Lyon / Lyon
29%
2/1
30%
6/1
20%
Lyon / Paris FC
3%
40/150/1
15%
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / Lyon
17%
15/4
10%
13/10
11%
Draw / Paris FC
9%
8/1
25%
5/1
18%
Draw / Draw
15%
4/1
17%
15/8
13%
Paris FC / Lyon
4%
25/1
24%
33/1
Paris FC / Paris FC
12%
13/2
25%
18/1
24%
Paris FC / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
25/1
13%
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 3 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 39 goals to 28 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 11 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Paris FC are in 14th position in the Ligue 1 on 26 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Paris FC have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
May 16
l
 
2-1A
2
Lens2518252756 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-1A
3
Marseille2514471946 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-2A
4
Lyon2514471346 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
d
 
1-1F
5
Rennes251276743 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 9
6
Lille251258641 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
7
Monaco251249640 
Mar 22
w
 
1-3F
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
8
Strasbourg251069936 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
9
Brest251069036 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-2F
10
Lorient258107-434 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
11
Angers259511-732 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse258710431 
l
 
1-2F
May 9
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
-
-
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
15
Nice256613-1824 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes254516-2017 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz253418-3413 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Lyon 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Paris FC 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.5 against Paris FC on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lyon 4th Paris FC 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Paris FC scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Paris FC’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
31%
better
LYN
PAR
view stats
Games scored21
17
Failed to score3
7
Scored first17
8
Goals scored39
28
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
35%
better
LYN
PAR
view stats
Games conceded12
18
Clean sheets12
6
Conceded first5
13
Goals conceded26
40
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+35%

Lyon v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24736
C MataC TolissoN TagliaficoT Morton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Greif GLK211
-
C Mata DEF24
5
-
M Niakhaté DEF232
3
-
H Hateboer DEF11
1
N Tagliafico MID173
4
1
T Tessmann MID231
1
-
T Morton MID2222
5
1
Abner MID183
4
1
A Karabec FWD181
2
-
K. Merah FWD161
2
-
R. Himbert FWD61
-
Subs
R Descamps GLK4
-
S. Kango DEF
-
C Tolisso MID2271
5
-
N. Teye Nartey MID62
-
O Mangala MID3
-
Endrick FWD733
2
-
R Ghezzal  FWD7
-
A. Hamdani FWD3
-
R Yaremchuk FWD41
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23326
M MbowM MunetsiM SimonA. Camara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trapp GLK14
2
-
A. Camara DEF211
6
-
D Coppola DEF4
1
-
M Mbow DEF241
3
-
N. Sangui DEF18
-
P Lees-Melou MID1511
4
-
M Munetsi MID83
-
J Ikoné MID151
1
-
R. Matondo MID3
1
-
M Simon MID2232
-
J Krasso FWD2422
-
Subs
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
T Ollila DEF9
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF11
2
-
V Marchetti MID192
1
-
M Cafaro MID8
-
A Gory FWD1711
-
W Geubbels FWD173
-
L Koleosho FWD71
-
C Immobile FWD5
1
-