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Paris Saint-Germain v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parc des Princes, Paris

Paris Saint-Germain and their boss Luis Enrique Martínez García will be aiming to beat Stéphane Le Mignan and his Metz side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Parc des Princes in the Ligue 1. All the odds are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Paris Saint-Germain's next match is v Chelsea at 20:00 on Wednesday 11th March
Metz's next match is v Lens at 14:00 on Sunday 8th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between PSG and Metz was on Saturday 21st February 2026
French Ligue 1
February 21st 2026
PSG 3
0 Metz
 
D. Doue 3'
B. Barcola 45'
G. Ramos 77'
 
PSG
MET
Shots On
7
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
4
1
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
9
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
PSGMetz
 
A. Hakimi Mouh
L. Lopes Beraldo
I. Zabarnyi
L. Hernández Pi
G. Ramosfootball icon
D. Douefootball icon (I. Mbaye 46')
K. Lee (V. Machado Ferreira 63')
P. Fernández Sarmiento (J. Gonçalves Neves 63')
M. Safonov
W. Zaire Emery
B. Barcolafootball icon (K. Kvaratskhelia 64')
J. Fischer
J. Gbamin
B. Traore
(G. Kvilitaia 78') A. Touré
(N. Mbala 88') H. Tsitaishvili
G. Hein
T. Yegbe
S. Sané
(G. Abuashvili 66') K. Kouao
(J. Deminguet 66') F. Ballo Touré
(B. Sarr 66') L. Michal
H. Diallo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: PSG to win

A Ligue 1 home win for Luis Enrique Martínez García's PSG side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A PSG win is our recommendation, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 80% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
80%
1/8
5%
1/50
Draw
13%
8/1
20%
1/50
Metz
7%
14/1
26%
1/50
PSG 2-0
11%
13/26/5
PSG 3-0
10%
13/2
7%
1/4
PSG 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
PSG 3-1
8%
10/120/1
PSG 1-0
8%
11/1
13%
6/1
PSG 4-0
7%
8/1
12%
18/5
Draw 1-1
6%
16/1
11%
12/1
PSG 4-1
6%
12/150/1
PSG 5-0
4%
14/1
8%
22/1
PSG 5-1
3%
20/1
12%
150/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/1
10%
50/1
PSG 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
200/1
Draw 0-0
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
Metz 2-1
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
PSG 4-2
2%
33/1
15%
100/1
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
3/10
2%
8/13
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
5/2
8%
6/5
Home 1st Goal
63%
2/9
4%
1/5
Away 1st Goal
36%
3/1
13%
18/5
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
15%
22/1
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
5%
16/1
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
9%
1/200
BTTS - Home Win
37%
6/4
3%
16/1
BTTS - Draw
10%
9/1
18%
1/50
BTTS - Away Win
4%
22/1
32%
1/50
Home/draw
93%
1/33
2%
1/50
Away/draw
20%
5/1
25%
1/50
Home/away
87%
1/14
2%
1/50
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
1/12
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7/1
10%
6/1
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
4/5
3%
27/10
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
1/1
4%
1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
7/4
9%
18/1
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
4/9
6%
1/500
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
7/2
7%
66/1
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/5
3%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/2001/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Home DNB
89%
1/25
1%
1/50
Away DNB
16%
12/1
29%
1/50
PSG win to nil
44%
10/11
9%
-
Metz win to nil
3%
25/1
29%
-
PSG / PSG
55%
1/2
6%
1/14
PSG / Metz
1%
50/1
24%
28/1
PSG / Draw
4%
22/1
12%
11/1
Draw / PSG
19%
3/1
8%
16/1
Draw / Metz
3%
33/1
17%
50/1
Draw / Draw
7%
12/1
12%
33/1
Metz / PSG
5%
16/180/1
Metz / Metz
4%
28/1
29%
100/1
Metz / Draw
3%
28/1
15%
90/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 8 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 49 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 13 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Metz have conceded 49 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2417252453 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
3
Lyon2414371345 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
4
Marseille2413471843 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
5
Monaco251249640 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
May 3
l
 
5-2F
6
Lille241248640 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
7
Rennes241176340 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
8
Strasbourg251069936 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
Brest24969-233 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
10
Lorient24897-433 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
May 9
d
 
1-1F
11
Angers259511-732 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse24879531 
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
13
Le Havre246810-1026 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
14
Paris FC246810-1226 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
15
Nice246612-1424 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
w
 
2-1A
May 16
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
17
Nantes254516-2017 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz243417-3113 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
14
PSG have beaten Metz in 14 consecutive league meetings
14
PSG have not lost to Metz in 14 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2015
PSG
Metz
Goals: Scored
20
2
Games: Scored
6 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
0 / 6
PSG
6
League games at Metz since 2014
Metz
PSG
Goals: Scored
9
23
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
PSG
8
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.9 is fairly strong for Paris Saint-Germain in their clash with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 42 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

PSG 1st Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
22%
There is a 84% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+34
Metz have scored 34% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.9
0.8
Attack rating
43%
better
PSG
MET
view stats
Games scored20
14
Failed to score2
8
Scored first19
6
Goals scored49
22
Avg. goals scored2.2
1
Avg. shots per game13
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for2
1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
50%
better
PSG
MET
view stats
Games conceded11
18
Clean sheets11
4
Conceded first3
14
Goals conceded19
49
Avg. goals conceded0.9
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+50%

PSG v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231074
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaA Hakimi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Safonov GLK8
-
A Hakimi DEF1421
3
1
I Zabarnyi  DEF201
3
-
L Beraldo DEF111
1
-
L Hernández  DEF172
2
-
K Lee MID2023
2
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2514
2
-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID5
-
D Doué FWD1642
-
G Ramos FWD2351
2
-
B Barcola FWD22101
2
-
Subs
L Chevalier GLK17
-
R. Bellucci Marin GLK
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
N Mendes  DEF1733
1
-
W Pacho DEF18
-
Vitinha MID2417
2
-
J Neves MID1451
-
I. Mbaye FWD1812
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2143
1
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23647
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK24
-
K Kouao DEF2111
7
-
J Gbamin DEF2111
1
1
T Yegbe DEF171
2
-
S. Sané DEF132
3
2
F Ballo-Touré  DEF11
2
-
G Hein MID2064
2
1
L. Michal MID4
1
-
B Traoré MID181
3
-
A. Touré MID241
2
-
G Tsitaishvili MID2421
2
-
H Diallo FWD1741
-
Subs
O Ba GLK
-
B Sarr DEF2
-
M Colin DEF16
-
U. Mboula DEF8
-
J Deminguet MID221
4
-
B. Munongo MID5
-
G Abuashvili FWD171
1
-
G Kvilitaia FWD4
-
N. Mbala FWD41
-