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Paris Saint-Germain v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 25th Apr, 19:45 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Franck Haise is aiming for a crucial away win in the Ligue 1 on Friday evening, as he takes his Nice side to the Parc des Princes to visit Paris Saint-Germain and Luis Enrique Martínez García. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history a little further down the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Ligue 1 tie will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
57%
12/25
11%
-
Draw
21%
7/2
18%
-
Nice
22%
19/4
23%
-
PSG 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
18%
-
PSG 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
PSG 1-0
7%
17/2
21%
-
PSG 3-1
7%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
12%
-
Nice 2-1
6%
16/1
19%
-
PSG 3-0
5%
10/1
10%
-
Nice 1-0
4%
20/1
19%
-
PSG 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
-
PSG 4-1
4%
18/1
27%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
17%
-
PSG 4-0
3%
18/1
27%
-
Nice 2-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Nice 3-2
3%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1/2
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/8
18%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/3
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
9/4
13%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/13-
BTTS - No
37%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/4
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
8/1
18%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/7
4%
-
Away/draw
43%
13/8
19%
-
Home/away
79%
2/11
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/6
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/1
23%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
13/10
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/13
15%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/1
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/4
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/10
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/1
26%
-
Home DNB
72%
2/11
5%
-
Away DNB
37%
7/2
25%
-
PSG win to nil
25%
7/4
5%
-
Nice win to nil
9%
12/1
24%
-
PSG / PSG
37%
5/4
18%
-
PSG / Nice
2%
40/1-
PSG / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / PSG
19%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Nice
6%
12/1
24%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
17%
-
Nice / PSG
5%
16/1
13%
-
Nice / Nice
8%
9/1
23%
-
Nice / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten in 29 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 29 games. PSG are unbeaten at home after 15 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 5 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. PSG have outscored their opponents by 82 goals to 54 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Nice are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 48 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 25 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nice have conceded 19 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG Home2924505577 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
2
Marseille3017492055 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
3
Monaco3016682254 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
4
Lyon2915681851 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
5
Strasbourg3014971151 
w
 
4-2F
May 3
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
6
Lille2914871350 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Nice Away2913971748 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
Brest2913511144 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
2-5F
May 18
w
 
0-1F
9
Lens2912611042 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
10
Rennes3012216538 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-2F
May 11
11
Auxerre2910811-238 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
12
Toulouse299713034 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
13
Nantes297913-1530 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
14
Angers298615-1830 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
Apr 20
w
 
1-4F
15
Reims297814-1129 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 2
w
 
2-4F
16
Le Havre308319-3127 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
17
St Etienne296617-3624 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-6A
w
 
8-0F
w
 
1-3F
18
Montpellier304323-4915 
w
 
6-0F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Nantes
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
PSG1 - 0Lens
PSG4 - 2Strasbourg
PSG3 - 1Rennes
PSG3 - 1Brest
PSG6 - 0Montpellier
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
PSG3 - 3Le Havre
PSG4 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Clermont
PSG2 - 2Reims
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG2 - 1Le Havre
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG6 - 1St Etienne
HPSG3 - 1Marseille
APSG4 - 1Rennes
HPSG4 - 1Lille
APSG3 - 2Lyon
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
HPSG2 - 1St Etienne
APSG4 - 2Monaco
HPSG3 - 1Lyon
APSG0 - 0Auxerre
HPSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG3 - 0Toulouse
APSG4 - 2Angers
HPSG1 - 0Lens
Nice 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg2 - 2Nice
Monaco2 - 1Nice
St Etienne1 - 3Nice
Le Havre1 - 3Nice
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Lille2 - 1Nice
Reims2 - 4Nice
Montpellier2 - 2Nice
Lyon4 - 1Nice
Brest0 - 1Nice
Nantes1 - 1Nice
Lens0 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Angers1 - 4Nice
Auxerre2 - 1Nice
Lille2 - 2Nice
Strasbourg1 - 3Nice
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Reims0 - 0Nice
Lens1 - 3Nice
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANice2 - 2Strasbourg
HNice1 - 2Nantes
ANice1 - 2Monaco
HNice1 - 1Auxerre
HNice0 - 2Lyon
ANice3 - 1St Etienne
HNice2 - 0Montpellier
ANice3 - 1Le Havre
HNice2 - 0Lens
ANice1 - 1Toulouse
HNice2 - 0Marseille
ANice1 - 2Lille
ANice4 - 2Reims
HNice3 - 2Rennes
ANice2 - 2Montpellier
HNice2 - 1Le Havre
ANice1 - 4Lyon
HNice2 - 1Strasbourg
HNice2 - 2Lille
ANice1 - 0Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Nice
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
9 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
1 / 10
PSG
6
D
3
NIC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
2 - 3Nice
PSG2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
PSG3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
PSG4 - 1
PSG1 - 0
PSG3 - 1
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
PSG
Goals: Scored
9
25
Games: Scored
7 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
5 / 12
PSG
9
D
1
NIC
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nice
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Nice1 - 0
0 - 3PSG
1 - 4PSG
0 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
Nice3 - 1
0 - 3PSG
1 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
Goal Statistics

Nice have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. This run could continue, with Paris Saint-Germain's PG an impressive 2.1.

Paris Saint-Germain's defensive record is very strong, L. Martínez García's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Nice makes sense in this context.

PSG 1st Nice 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+36
Nice have scored 36% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279224/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
24%
better
PSG
NIC
view stats
Games scored27
26
Failed to score1
3
Scored first22
20
Goals scored80
54
Avg. goals scored2.8
1.9
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
15%
better
PSG
NIC
view stats
Games conceded21
23
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded26
37
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%

PSG v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2321105
B BarcolaO DembéléB BarcolaL Beraldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Barcola FWD281310
2
-
F Ruiz MID2634
-
O Dembélé FWD26215
1
-
K Lee FWD2665
1
-
W Pacho DEF251
2
-
Vitinha MID2542
1
-
D Doué FWD2556
1
-
J Neves MID2438
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2311
2
-
A Hakimi DEF2246
4
-
G Donnarumma GLK21
2
-
N Mendes  DEF2022
2
-
L Beraldo DEF191
5
-
Marquinhos DEF191
3
-
G Ramos FWD1662
-
S. Mayulu MID141
1
-
L Hernández  DEF13
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1023
-
M Safonov GLK8
-
I. Mbaye FWD61
-
Y. Zague DEF3
-
P Kimpembe DEF1
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281178
M Bulka E GuessandE GuessandH Boudaoui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bulka  GLK28
-
E Guessand FWD28117
2
-
P Rosario MID2421
3
1
M Cho FWD2434
2
-
M Bombito DEF23
2
1
H Boudaoui MID2322
8
-
S Diop FWD2363
3
-
J Clauss  DEF2235
6
-
G Laborde FWD2294
2
-
Dante DEF21
4
1
A Abdi DEF2032
1
-
Y Ndayishimiye DEF201
5
-
B Bouanani FWD202
2
-
T Louchet MID191
1
-
M Bard DEF181
3
2
T Ndombélé MID1812
2
-
J Boga FWD1812
-
A Mendy DEF12
1
-
Y Moukoko FWD1121
-
M Abdelmonem DEF10
2
-
B Santamaría MID9
1
-
V. Orakpo FWD4
-
A. Doumbouya DEF2
-
T Moffi FWD2
-
M Sanson MID1
-