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St Etienne v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 20:00 BST, Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne

St Etienne and their manager Eric Orie will be hoping for victory against Carles Martínez Novell and his Toulouse side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard in the Ligue 1. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at the KickOff match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market which jumps out ahead of the rest for this meeting: both teams to score. In St Etienne and Toulouse we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to show themselves again on Saturday night. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.50.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Toulouse coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St Etienne
33%
1.91
47%
-
Draw
23%
3.90
8%
-
Toulouse
44%
3.50
91%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7.50-
Toulouse 2-1
9%
12.00
41%
-
St Etienne 2-1
8%
8.50
35%
-
Toulouse 1-0
7%
15.00
50%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
13.00
8%
-
Toulouse 2-0
6%
21.00
91%
-
St Etienne 1-0
6%
10.00
33%
-
Toulouse 3-1
5%
26.00
100%
-
St Etienne 2-0
4%
11.00
48%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Toulouse 3-2
4%
26.00
24%
-
St Etienne 3-1
4%
13.00
50%
-
Toulouse 3-0
4%
41.00
141%
-
St Etienne 3-2
3%
21.00
28%
-
Toulouse 4-1
2%
51.00
96%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.57
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.38
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
1.57
35%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
2.38
52%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.57
3%
-
BTTS - No
36%
2.25
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
3.40
43%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5.50
69%
-
Home/draw
56%
1.29
28%
-
Away/draw
67%
1.83
46%
-
Home/away
77%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.50
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.53
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.33-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
-
Home DNB
49%
1.44
48%
-
Away DNB
60%
2.62
87%
-
St Etienne win to nil
14%
3.75
53%
-
Toulouse win to nil
19%
7.00
87%
-
St Etienne / St Etienne
28%
3.00
50%
-
St Etienne / Toulouse
3%
26.00
24%
-
St Etienne / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
-
Draw / St Etienne
15%
5.50
35%
-
Draw / Toulouse
10%
8.50
55%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50-
Toulouse / St Etienne
4%
21.00
28%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
14%
6.00
100%
-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

St Etienne have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 6 and won 6. St Etienne have conceded 74 goals, scored 34, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St Etienne have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Toulouse lay in 12th place on 39 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Toulouse have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Toulouse have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St Etienne
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3325625581 
l
 
1-6F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Marseille3319592562 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
3
Monaco3318782661 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
4
Nice3316981957 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
8-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
5
Lille3316981557 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
6
Strasbourg3316981357 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Lyon33166111754 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Brest3315513-150 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
9
Lens3314712-149 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
Auxerre3311913-142 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
11
Rennes3313218341 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
12
Toulouse Away3310914039 
May 17
l
 
2-1F
-
-
13
Angers3310617-1936 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
4-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
14
Reims338916-1333 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
15
Nantes3371214-1633 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
16
Le Havre339420-3231 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
17
St Etienne Home338619-3730 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
May 17
18
Montpellier334425-5316 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
St Etienne 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
St Etienne have not lost to Toulouse in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at St Etienne since 2013
St Etienne
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
3 / 7
STE
2
D
3
TOU
2
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
St Etienne
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
STE
2
D
3
TOU
2
Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because St Etienne have conceded in each of their last 6 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.7 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

St Etienne 17th Toulouse 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that St Etienne will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
St Etienne’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Toulouse have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279253/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St Etienne
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.5
1.7
Attack rating
STE
TOU
9%
better
view stats
Games scored23
25
Failed to score10
8
Scored first11
14
Goals scored37
41
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
STE
TOU
28%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
23
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first22
16
Goals conceded74
41
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+28%

St Etienne v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

St Etienne Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331276
G LarsonneurL StassinZ DavitashviliA Boakye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Larsonneur GLK33
5
-
Z Davitashvili FWD3297
2
-
L Pétrot DEF303
4
-
D Appiah DEF281
2
-
P Ekwah MID281
3
-
L Stassin FWD28124
4
-
M Nade DEF2512
1
-
D Batubinsika DEF24
3
1
B Bouchouari MID241
5
-
L Mouton MID241
2
-
F Tardieu MID2314
-
A Moueffek MID211
2
-
I Sissoko FWD2031
1
-
A Boakye FWD173
6
-
Y Abdelhamid DEF16
3
-
I Cardona FWD1453
2
-
Y Maçon DEF12
4
-
B Old  FWD12
-
P Cornud DEF11
2
-
M Bernauer DEF10
3
1
I Wadji FWD9
-
L Fomba MID7
2
-
D. N´Guessan FWD7
-
I Miladinovic MID3
-
M. Nzuzi DEF2
2
-
K. Pedro DEF1
-
A Briançon DEF1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
317610
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Dönnum DEF3222
5
-
C Yepes MID3113
10
-
C Cresswell DEF3031
5
-
G Suazo DEF306
-
Y Gboho FWD3043
2
-
F Magri FWD305
6
1
M McKenzie DEF2911
1
1
S Babicka FWD2942
2
-
G. Restes GLK281
1
-
V Sierro MID2851
4
-
D Sidibé DEF273
1
-
J King FWD2752
2
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2572
4
-
W Kamanzi DEF231
3
-
M Zajc MID19
2
-
J. Canvot DEF17
2
-
U Akdag DEF8
2
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
K Haug GLK6
-