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Stade Brestois 29 v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Eric Roy and Bruno Genesio clash in the Ligue 1 on Saturday night, as Stade Brestois 29 face Lille at the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Stade Brestois 29's next match is v Nice at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
Lille's next match is v Reims at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Brest and Lille was on Saturday 10th May 2025
French Ligue 1
May 10th 2025
Brest 2
0 Lille
 
L. Ajorque 42'
K. Doumbia 64'
 
SBR
LIL
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
7
12
Corners
3
7
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
BrestLille
 
M. Bizot
E. Fernandes
K. Lala
N. Ndiaye
M. Haïdara (B. Locko 72')
M. Camara
K. Doumbiafootball icon (J. Martin 82')
H. Magnetti
M. Pereira Lage
R. Del Castillo (A. Sima 72')
L. Ajorquefootball icon (H. Makalou 88')
L. Chevalier
T. Meunier
A. Souza Ribeiro
(G. Gudmundsson 88') I. Gonçalves dos Santos
(C. Akpom 33') M. Bakker
A. Mandi
(A. Bouaddi 66') N. Mukau
(R. Cabella 66') H. Haraldsson
N. Bentaleb
J. David
(O. Sahraoui 66') M. Fernandez Pardo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brest or Lille are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Lille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brest
36%
7/2
4%
-
Draw
25%
3/1
7%
-
Lille
39%
4/6
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
-
Lille 2-1
9%
15/2-
Brest 2-1
8%
14/1
15%
-
Lille 1-0
8%
7/1-
Brest 1-0
8%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Lille 2-0
6%
15/2
6%
-
Brest 2-0
6%
25/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Lille 3-1
4%
12/1-
Brest 3-1
4%
33/1-
Lille 3-2
3%
22/1-
Lille 3-0
3%
12/1
13%
-
Brest 3-2
3%
33/1-
Brest 3-0
3%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/6
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
6/5
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
15/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
4/9
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - No
42%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
12/5
6%
-
Home/draw
61%
23/20
10%
-
Away/draw
64%
2/11
2%
-
Home/away
75%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/5
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
7/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
13/8
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/2
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
7/2
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/5
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/14
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1
25%
-
Home DNB
54%
5/2
8%
-
Away DNB
56%
2/7
3%
-
Brest win to nil
17%
8/1
13%
-
Lille win to nil
19%
2/1
8%
-
Brest / Brest
10%
7/1
14%
-
Brest / Lille
4%
20/1-
Brest / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Brest
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw / Lille
18%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Lille / Brest
2%
33/1-
Lille / Lille
32%
8/5
10%
-
Lille / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Brest have conceded 34 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Brest have played 16 games at home, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lille lay in 5th place on 57 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brest
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3325625581 
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
4-1A
2
Marseille3319592562 
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
3
Monaco3318782661 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
4
Nice3316981957 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
5
Lille Away3316981557 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-1A
-
-
6
Strasbourg3316981357 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1F
7
Lyon33166111754 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Brest Home3315513-150 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-0A
9
Lens3314712-149 
l
 
1-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Auxerre3311913-142 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Rennes3313218341 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Toulouse3310914039 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
13
Angers3310617-1936 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
14
Reims338916-1333 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
0-2F
15
Nantes3371214-1633 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
Le Havre339420-3231 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
17
St Etienne338619-3730 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Montpellier334425-5316 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Brest 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest1 - 0Montpellier
Brest1 - 3Lens
Brest2 - 1Monaco
Brest0 - 0Reims
Brest2 - 0Angers
Brest2 - 2Auxerre
Brest2 - 5PSG
Brest2 - 1Lyon
Brest4 - 1Nantes
Brest3 - 1Strasbourg
Brest0 - 1Nice
Brest1 - 1Rennes
Brest2 - 0Le Havre
Brest2 - 0Toulouse
Brest4 - 0St Etienne
Brest1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 1Reims
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Brest0 - 2Monaco
Brest4 - 3Metz
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest1 - 0Montpellier
ABrest1 - 4Marseille
HBrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
ABrest0 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
Lille 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Angers0 - 2Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Nantes1 - 0Lille
PSG4 - 1Lille
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 2Lille
Lens0 - 2Lille
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Le Havre0 - 3Lille
St Etienne1 - 0Lille
Reims0 - 2Lille
Nantes1 - 2Lille
Metz1 - 2Lille
Monaco1 - 0Lille
Brest1 - 1Lille
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille1 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 0Angers
HLille3 - 1Auxerre
ALille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille1 - 2Lyon
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 1Nantes
HLille1 - 0Montpellier
ALille1 - 4PSG
HLille2 - 1Monaco
ALille2 - 0Rennes
HLille1 - 2Le Havre
HLille4 - 1St Etienne
ALille1 - 2Strasbourg
HLille2 - 1Nice
ALille0 - 0Auxerre
HLille1 - 1Nantes
ALille1 - 1Marseille
HLille3 - 1Brest
ALille2 - 2Montpellier
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lille have not lost to Brest in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Lille
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
SBR
2
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brest2 - 0
Brest3 - 2
League games at Lille since 2019
Lille
Brest
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
1 / 6
D
2
LIL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille3 - 1
Lille1 - 0
Lille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lille1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Lille.

Lille have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Stade Brestois 29 on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Brest 8th Lille 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Brest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279239/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
SBR
LIL
6%
better
view stats
Games scored26
28
Failed to score6
4
Scored first19
20
Goals scored50
50
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.5
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
SBR
LIL
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets9
11
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded53
33
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Brest v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311375
M BizotL AjorqueM LageK Lala
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bizot GLK31
4
-
K Lala DEF2932
5
-
E Fernandes DEF181
1
-
N Ndiaye DEF211
3
1
M Haidara DEF21
2
2
M Camara MID3353
5
-
H Magnetti MID311
4
-
K Doumbia MID2932
1
-
R Castillo FWD2564
-
L Ajorque FWD30132
5
-
M Lage FWD2827
4
-
Subs
G Coudert GLK2
-
B Locko DEF1
-
T. Zogbe DEF13
2
-
R. Le Guen DEF
-
J Martin MID171
2
-
H. Makalou MID3
-
A Sima FWD2672
2
-
I Salah FWD1211
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3316610
L ChevalierJ DavidJ DavidAlexsandro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK33
-
T Meunier DEF292
5
-
A Mandi DEF24
3
-
Alexsandro DEF2912
10
-
Ismaily DEF161
4
-
N Mukau MID211
4
-
N Bentaleb MID101
-
M Bakker MID2432
3
1
H Haraldsson MID2453
3
-
M Fernandez MID2142
4
-
J David FWD31166
5
-
Subs
V Mannone GLK
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF292
3
-
S Umtiti DEF
-
A Gomes MID1411
1
-
R Cabella MID222
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID231
2
-
C Akpom FWD1321
-
O Sahraoui FWD2933
1
-