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Stade Brestois 29 v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 18:00 BST, Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

the Stade Francis-Le Ble masses welcome Lorient's fans on Saturday evening, as Eric Roy's Stade Brestois 29 go head to head with Olivier Pantaloni's team in the Ligue 1. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and the best odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Brest and Lorient have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brest
46%
2.20
13%
2.20
Draw
26%
3.25
4%
3.30
Lorient
28%
3.25
13%
3.30
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Brest 1-0
12%
7.507.00
8%
Brest 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Lorient 1-0
9%
9.50
14%
8.50
Brest 2-0
9%
10.00
5%
9.50
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
9.00
10%
8.00
Lorient 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Lorient 2-0
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
Brest 3-1
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
Brest 3-0
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
Lorient 3-1
2%
26.00
10%
23.00
10%
Brest 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
Lorient 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
29.00
12%
Lorient 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.10
5%
2.00
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.73
4%
1.73
Home 1st Goal
51%
1.80
8%
1.80
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.20
8%
2.30
No 1st Goal
5%
9.00
10%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.801.83
BTTS - No
50%
1.951.91
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4.75
10%
4.33
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6.50
13%
6.00
Home/draw
72%
1.33
6%
1.33
Away/draw
54%
1.67
7%
1.65
Home/away
74%
1.33
2%
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1.36
5%
1.33
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3.20
9%
3.10
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3.75
10%
3.60
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8.00
23%
7.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.08
3%
1.08
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
17.00
13%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.07
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9.00
10%
8.00
Home DNB
64%
1.57
9%
1.55
Away DNB
46%
2.25
14%
2.30
Brest win to nil
27%
3.75
10%
-
Lorient win to nil
15%
5.50
15%
-
Brest / Brest
23%
3.60
13%
3.40
Brest / Lorient
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Brest / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Brest
15%
5.50
10%
5.25
Draw / Lorient
11%
7.00
13%
7.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.60
Lorient / Brest
4%
26.00
13%
19.00
10%
Lorient / Lorient
15%
5.50
8%
5.00
Lorient / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Brest have conceded 25 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brest have played 10 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Lorient lay in 9th place on 28 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lorient have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lorient have played 10 away games, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brest
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2015322748 
l
 
0-3A
May 9
d
 
1-1A
May 3
2
Lens2015141846 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2012352439 
Feb 20
l
 
3-0A
Apr 19
l
 
4-0A
4
Lyon2012351339 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
5
Lille201028432 
d
 
3-3A
Feb 14
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
6
Rennes20875-131 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Strasbourg20938830 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Toulouse20866830 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
9
Lorient20776-428 
Feb 7
d
 
3-3A
-
-
10
Monaco20839-127 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
11
Angers20758-426 
May 16
w
 
0-2F
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
12
Brest20659-723 
-
-
d
 
3-3F
Feb 7
13
Nice206410-1122 
w
 
4-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
Feb 22
14
Paris FC20569-821 
l
 
1-2A
May 3
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
15
Le Havre20488-920 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
May 16
d
 
1-1F
16
Nantes203512-1714 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
17
Auxerre203413-1513 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
18
Metz203314-2512 
w
 
3-2F
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Win / draw / win form
3
Lorient have won 3 consecutive league games
9
Lorient have not lost in 9 consecutive league games
Brest 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Brest2 - 0Auxerre
Brest1 - 0Monaco
Brest3 - 2Metz
Brest0 - 0Lyon
Brest0 - 3PSG
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Brest4 - 1Nice
Brest1 - 2Paris FC
Brest3 - 3Lille
Brest2 - 0Lille
Brest1 - 0Montpellier
Brest1 - 3Lens
Brest2 - 1Monaco
Brest0 - 0Reims
Brest2 - 0Angers
Brest2 - 2Auxerre
Brest2 - 5PSG
Brest2 - 1Lyon
Brest4 - 1Nantes
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrest2 - 2Nice
HBrest0 - 2Toulouse
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
HBrest2 - 0Auxerre
ABrest1 - 3Rennes
HBrest1 - 0Monaco
ABrest2 - 1Strasbourg
HBrest3 - 2Metz
ABrest0 - 3Marseille
HBrest0 - 0Lyon
ABrest0 - 1Le Havre
HBrest0 - 3PSG
ABrest3 - 3Lorient
HBrest0 - 0Nantes
ABrest2 - 0Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nice
HBrest1 - 2Paris FC
ABrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest0 - 2Toulouse
HBrest3 - 3Lille
Lorient 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes0 - 2Lorient
Monaco1 - 3Lorient
Strasbourg0 - 0Lorient
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Lens3 - 0Lorient
Angers2 - 0Lorient
Paris FC2 - 0Lorient
Le Havre1 - 1Lorient
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Auxerre1 - 0Lorient
Ajaccio2 - 1Lorient
Annecy0 - 0Lorient
Guingamp1 - 2Lorient
Grenoble1 - 2Lorient
Paris FC3 - 2Lorient
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Red Star1 - 2Lorient
Dunkerque0 - 1Lorient
Lavallois2 - 0Lorient
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLorient2 - 1Nantes
ALorient2 - 0Rennes
ALorient3 - 1Monaco
HLorient1 - 1Metz
ALorient0 - 0Strasbourg
HLorient1 - 0Lyon
HLorient3 - 1Nice
ALorient1 - 1Nantes
HLorient1 - 1Toulouse
ALorient0 - 3Lens
HLorient1 - 1PSG
ALorient0 - 2Angers
HLorient3 - 3Brest
ALorient0 - 2Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Monaco
ALorient1 - 1Le Havre
ALorient0 - 4Marseille
HLorient1 - 7Lille
HLorient4 - 0Rennes
ALorient0 - 1Auxerre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brest since 2018
Brest
Lorient
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
SBR
4
LOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
Brest4 - 0
1 - 2Lorient
0 - 1Lorient
Brest3 - 2
Brest3 - 2
Brest3 - 0
League games at Lorient since 2017
Lorient
Brest
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
SBR
2
D
2
LOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 1Brest
Lorient2 - 1
1 - 2Brest
Lorient1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lorient4 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday evening against Lorient.

Brest 11th Lorient 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lorient will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Brest’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-18
Lorient have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
SBR
LOR
6%
better
view stats
Games scored13
14
Failed to score7
6
Scored first8
10
Goals scored26
27
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
1%
better
SBR
LOR
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded33
31
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against18%
20%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%

Brest v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19766
K LalaR CastilloL AjorqueL Ajorque
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Lala DEF191
3
-
J Chotard MID192
1
-
H Magnetti MID191
3
-
L Ajorque FWD1926
5
1
B Chardonnet DEF182
3
-
R Castillo FWD1872
1
1
P. Mboup FWD171
5
-
B Locko DEF151
-
K Doumbia MID1552
5
-
D Guindo DEF14
3
-
J Ebimbe MID142
1
-
R Lascary FWD1421
2
-
M Baldé FWD1322
-
S Coulibaly DEF12
3
-
L Tousart MID12
-
G Coudert GLK11
-
R Majecki GLK10
1
H. Makalou MID10
-
M Diaz DEF9
-
T. Zogbe DEF5
-
J Cardinal DEF51
1
-
S. Diop FWD2
-
R. Le Guen DEF1
-
J. Bourgault DEF1
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19646
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiL Abergel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K. Kouassi DEF1924
3
-
M Talbi DEF191
1
-
T Bris MID1922
-
L Abergel MID191
6
-
S Soumano FWD1942
2
-
K Dermane MID1812
3
-
A Avon MID181
3
-
Y Mvogo  GLK17
-
J Makengo MID1721
-
P Pagis FWD176
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1712
3
-
N Cadiou MID151
-
J Mvuka MID15
-
B Meïté DEF142
3
-
D Yongwa DEF14
2
1
A Tosin  FWD143
1
-
I Silva DEF111
1
-
B Dieng FWD831
2
-
A. Faye DEF7
5
-
N Adjei DEF6
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-