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Stade Brestois 29 v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest

Eric Roy's Stade Brestois 29 side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, as Ivan Gennaro Gattuso's Marseille travel to the Stade Francis-Le Ble. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Stade Brestois 29's next match is v Strasbourg at 20:00 on Saturday 24th February
Marseille's next match is v Shakhtar at 20:00 on Thursday 22nd February
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Brest and Marseille was on Sunday 18th February 2024
French Ligue 1
February 18th 2024
Brest 1
0 Marseille
 
P. Lees Melou 88'
 
SBR
MAR
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
9
4
Corners
6
4
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
14
9
Yellow/red cards
3/1
1/0
 
BrestMarseille
 
G. Coudert
K. Lala
L. Brassier
B. Locko
B. Chardonnet
H. Magnetti (J. Le Cardinal 81')
P. Lees Meloufootball icon
K. Doumbia (J. Martin 66')
M. Pereira Lage (J. Le Douaron 73')
R. Del Castillo (M. Satriano 66')
S. Mounié
R. Blanco Veiga
U. Garcia Lopes
J. Clauss
L. Balerdi Rossa
C. Mbemba Mangulu
(G. Kondogbia 76') A. Ounahi
(L. Tomaz de Lima 76') A. Harit
(C. Correa 90') J. Junior Onana Onana
F. Pemi Moumbagna
(P. Aubameyang 61') I. Sarr
I. Ndiaye
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 73% chance of Brest and Marseille delivering at least 2 goals in this Ligue 1 match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Brest
51%
29/20
2%
7/5
3%
7/5
4%
11/8
7%
Draw
25%
21/10
3%
23/10
2%
9/443/20
Marseille
24%
21/10
8%
2/1
4%
2/1
4%
43/20
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/111/2
8%
11/2
8%
5/1
3%
Brest 1-0
12%
15/2
6%
7/17/1
6%
15/2
6%
Brest 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
17/2
5%
8/1
5%
17/2
5%
Brest 2-0
9%
11/111/111/1
8%
21/2
4%
Marseille 1-0
7%
9/1
5%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
9/1
11%
Draw 0-0
7%
8/19/117/29/1
11%
Marseille 2-1
6%
10/19/1
10%
9/1
5%
21/2
5%
Brest 3-1
5%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
18/1
5%
Brest 3-0
5%
22/125/122/1
21%
20/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/112/112/112/1
7%
Marseille 2-0
4%
14/114/114/1
15%
15/1
14%
Brest 3-2
3%
28/128/125/1
10%
25/1
10%
Marseille 3-1
2%
22/125/1
13%
22/1
10%
22/1
Brest 4-1
2%
40/150/1
9%
40/1
20%
40/1
11%
Brest 4-0
2%
50/166/1
14%
50/1
24%
40/1
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/110/11
2%
EvsEvens
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/54/58/114/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/510/11
2%
9/10
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
5/4
2%
23/2023/20
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/19/18/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
3/48/11
2%
8/113/4
3%
BTTS - No
49%
1/121/20EvsEvens
4%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
4/17/2
5%
18/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/116/516/5-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5/19/2
5%
9/2-
Home/draw
76%
4/112/5
3%
2/5
3%
4/11
4%
Away/draw
49%
8/154/7
3%
4/7
5%
3/5
5%
Home/away
75%
4/111/31/34/11
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10
2%
3/101/33/10
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5/2
3%
23/10
2%
9/45/2
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/5
3%
23/10
2%
5/25/2
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
2/73/10
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2
7%
11/211/213/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9
1%
1/10
1%
1/101/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
13%
14/1-15/1
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/28
1%
-1/100
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/14
1%
1/161/161/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
11%
9/1
5%
7/117/2
6%
Home DNB
68%
4/67/10
2%
4/6
3%
4/6
7%
Away DNB
42%
11/1021/20
3%
11/10
5%
6/5
7%
Brest win to nil
29%
3/1
8%
16/5
3%
3/1
5%
-
Marseille win to nil
13%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
4/1
9%
-
Brest / Brest
21%
3/13/1
6%
11/4
13%
11/4
9%
Brest / Marseille
3%
28/133/133/1
17%
35/1
6%
Brest / Draw
6%
12/114/112/123/2
Draw / Brest
15%
9/2
8%
9/25/1
8%
5/1
2%
Draw / Marseille
12%
11/211/26/1
8%
6/1
4%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/14/1
4%
4/119/5
1%
Marseille / Brest
3%
25/128/128/129/1
12%
Marseille / Marseille
17%
15/421/5
4%
4/1
15%
21/5
8%
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/114/112/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Brest have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Brest have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 29 goals.

Home League Performance

Brest have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Marseille are in 9th position in the Ligue 1 on 30 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Marseille have conceded 12 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Brest
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Marseille
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2A
 PSG2216513553 
Mar 31
l
 
4-0A
-
-
 Brest Home2211741340 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
 Nice221165739 
Apr 14
l
 
1-0A
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
 Lille2210841538 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 7
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
 Monaco221156938 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-2A
Mar 10
 Lens221066736 
Apr 28
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 28
 Rennes22976834 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 17
May 11
w
 
1-2A
 Reims22949-231 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Marseille Away22796530 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Feb 24
 Strasbourg22679-925 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 14
 Lyon227411-1125 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 3
w
 
1-2F
 Le Havre22598-524 
w
 
3-0F
May 18
d
 
1-1A
May 18
 Toulouse22589-823 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 21
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Montpellier22589-322 
Feb 25
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 31
 Lorient225710-1222 
May 11
w
 
2-4F
May 3
w
 
0-2F
 Nantes226412-1222 
Mar 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 7
w
 
0-1F
 Metz224513-1717 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Clermont223712-2016 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
Win / draw / win form
Brest 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Marseille 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Marseille
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
MAR
2
All league games since 2019
Brest
Marseille
Goals: Scored
10
17
Games: Scored
7 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
1 / 8
SBR
2
D
1
MAR
5
Goal Statistics

Stade Brestois 29's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Marseille have conceded in each of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.6 for E. Roy's side suggests that run should continue.

Brest 2nd Marseille 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Brest have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-16
Marseille have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262906/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Brest
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.6
1
Attack rating
4%
better
SBR
MAR
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score6
7
Scored first11
11
Goals scored31
29
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate13%
13%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
18%
better
SBR
MAR
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate11%
13%
KickOff rating
+18%

Brest v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22557
K LalaR CastilloR CastilloL Brassier
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Coudert GLK2
-
K Lala DEF2212
4
-
B Chardonnet DEF211
4
-
L Brassier DEF191
7
-
B Locko DEF222
2
-
P Lees-Melou MID213
7
-
H Magnetti MID222
3
-
R Castillo MID2255
3
-
K Doumbia MID1452
-
M Lage MID183
1
-
S Mounié FWD2232
3
1
Subs
Y Marillat GLK
-
J Cardinal DEF8
1
-
A. Cartillier DEF
-
J Martin MID
-
A Camblan MID6
2
-
A Lebeau MID41
-
J Douaron FWD214
2
-
M Satriano FWD2112
2
-
B Brahimi FWD12
1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19673
J Clauss P AubameyangP AubameyangJ Clauss 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Blanco GLK2
-
J Clauss  DEF2112
2
1
C Mbemba DEF1721
-
L Balerdi DEF172
3
-
U Garcia DEF4
-
A Ounahi MID142
2
-
J Onana MID5
1
-
A Harit  MID1912
2
-
I Sarr FWD1631
-
F Moumbagna FWD31
-
I Ndiaye FWD1812
1
Subs
S Ngapandouetnbu GLK
-
Q Merlin DEF21
-
B Meïté MID11
1
-
G Kondogbia MID14
-
E. Soglo MID311
1
-
P Aubameyang FWD2267
1
-
J Correa FWD9
3
-
S Ali FWD1
-
L Henrique FWD4
-