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Toulouse v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Saturday night at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, and it’s a Ligue 1 showdown between Toulouse and Lens. Carles Martínez Novell and Franck Haise going all-out to claim victory. For each and every Ligue 1 preview, KickOff delves into the statistics for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Ligue 1 Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Toulouse's next match is v St Etienne at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
Lens's next match is v Monaco at 20:00 on Saturday 17th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Toulouse and Lens was on Saturday 10th May 2025
French Ligue 1
May 10th 2025
Toulouse 1
1 Lens
 
Y. Gboho 47'61' N. El Aynaoui
 
TOU
LEN
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
2
1
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
17
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
ToulouseLens
 
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
A. Dønnum
J. Canvot
D. Sidibé
W. Kamanzi (G. Suazo Urbina 70')
C. Cásseres Yepes
V. Sierro
J. King
Y. Gbohofootball icon
F. Magri (Z. Aboukhlal 70')
M. Ryan
A. Juma Bah
J. Gradit
(A. Zaroury 68') D. Machado Mena
F. Medina
A. Diouf
football iconN. El Aynaoui
N. Mendy
(M. Satriano 76') A. Thomasson
(F. Sotoca 81') T. Pouilly
(W. Saïd 81') G. Koyalipou

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Toulouse and Lens will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Carles Martínez Novell or Franck Haise has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Lens coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
35%
6/5
2%
-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Lens
40%
11/5
3%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Lens 1-0
9%
10/1-
Lens 2-1
9%
10/1-
Toulouse 1-0
8%
8/1-
Toulouse 2-1
8%
8/1-
Lens 2-0
6%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Toulouse 2-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Lens 3-1
4%
22/1-
Toulouse 3-1
4%
16/1-
Lens 3-0
3%
33/1-
Lens 3-2
3%
28/1-
Toulouse 3-2
3%
22/1-
Toulouse 3-0
2%
20/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/13
3%
-
BTTS - No
44%
6/5
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
9/2-
Home/draw
60%
4/11-
Away/draw
65%
4/6
3%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1-
Home DNB
53%
4/7
3%
-
Away DNB
57%
5/4
2%
-
Toulouse win to nil
17%
3/1-
Lens win to nil
20%
5/1
9%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
23%
5/2
3%
-
Toulouse / Lens
3%
28/1-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Toulouse
15%
9/2-
Draw / Lens
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Lens / Toulouse
4%
22/1-
Lens / Lens
17%
4/1-
Lens / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Toulouse have conceded 34 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lens lay in 8th place on 48 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 16 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Lens
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3325625581 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Marseille3319592562 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
3
Monaco3318782661 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
May 17
d
 
1-1A
4
Nice3316981957 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Lille3316981557 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Strasbourg3316981357 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Lyon33166111754 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
8
Brest3315513-150 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
9
Lens Away3314712-149 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
10
Auxerre3311913-142 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2F
11
Rennes3313218341 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Toulouse Home3310914039 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
13
Angers3310617-1936 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
Reims338916-1333 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
15
Nantes3371214-1633 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1A
16
Le Havre339420-3231 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-2A
17
St Etienne338619-3730 
w
 
2-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Montpellier334425-5316 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Lens 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
1
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lens have beaten Toulouse in 3 consecutive away league meetings
3
Lens have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Toulouse
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lens
Goals: Scored
0
5
Games: Scored
0 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
3 / 3
LEN
3
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
TOU
1
LEN
3
Goal Statistics
Toulouse 12th Lens 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Toulouse have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279238/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
7%
better
TOU
LEN
view stats
Games scored24
22
Failed to score8
10
Scored first13
16
Goals scored40
37
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
TOU
LEN
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets10
12
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded40
38
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+10%

Toulouse v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
317610
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK281
1
-
D Sidibé DEF273
1
-
M McKenzie DEF2911
1
1
J. Canvot DEF17
2
-
A Dönnum MID3222
5
-
C Yepes MID3113
10
-
V Sierro MID2851
4
-
W Kamanzi MID231
3
-
Y Gboho FWD3043
2
-
J King FWD2752
2
-
F Magri FWD305
6
1
Subs
K Haug GLK6
-
G Suazo DEF306
-
U Akdag DEF8
2
-
M Zajc MID19
2
-
R. Messali MID121
-
E Zuliani MID1
-
M. Saka MID
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2572
4
-
S Babicka FWD2942
2
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
306714
A ThomassonN AynaouiA ThomassonF Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Ryan GLK13
-
T. Pouilly DEF9
1
-
J Gradit DEF24
4
-
A. Juma Bah DEF9
2
-
F Medina DEF281
13
1
D Machado DEF2714
6
2
A Thomasson MID3227
7
-
N Mendy MID9
2
-
N Aynaoui MID2361
4
-
A Diouf MID3311
2
-
G Koyalipou FWD144
-
Subs
R. Karolewicz GLK
-
N. Čelik DEF
-
M Sarr DEF20
-
A Fulgini MID2311
4
-
F Sotoca FWD3011
3
1
M Satriano FWD6
-
A Zaroury FWD2712
2
1
W Saïd  FWD233
4
-