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Toulouse v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 1 on Saturday night, as Habib Beye's Marseille travel to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. All of the important stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Toulouse's next match is v Metz at 16:15 on Sunday 15th March
Marseille's next match is v Auxerre at 19:45 on Friday 13th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Toulouse and Marseille was on Saturday 7th March 2026
French Ligue 1
March 7th 2026
Toulouse 0
1 Marseille
 
18' M. Greenwood
 
TOU
MAR
Shots On
2
3
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
4
2
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
15
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
ToulouseMarseille
 
G. Restes
R. Nicolaisen
M. McKenzie
W. Kamanzi (J. Russell-Rowe 78')
A. Dønnum
Y. Gboho
D. Sidibé
P. Diop (M. Sauer 84')
D. Methalie (J. Vignolo 79')
C. Cásseres Yepes (A. Vossah 69')
E. Correia da Silva (S. Hidalgo Massa 46')
G. Rulli
L. Balerdi Rossa
(A. Gouiri 66') football iconM. Greenwood
I. Barbosa da Paixão
(E. Palmieri dos Santos 83') P. Aubameyang
B. Pavard
F. Medina
(T. Nadi 66') G. Kondogbia
T. Weah
P. Højbjerg
(A. Vermeeren 82') Q. Timber

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market that seems hard to ignore for this tie: both teams to score. In Toulouse and Marseille we have two sides going head-to-head with relative issues at both ends of the pitch, and we expect them to prove that on Saturday night. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.62.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
36%
19/1060/1
Draw
24%
12/57/1
Marseille
39%
11/101/18
Draw 1-1
11%
11/219/4
Marseille 2-1
9%
8/118/1
Toulouse 2-1
8%
11/133/1
Marseille 1-0
7%
8/12/5
Toulouse 1-0
7%
11/115/2
Draw 2-2
6%
11/180/1
Marseille 2-0
6%
10/15/1
Toulouse 2-0
5%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/17/1
Marseille 3-1
4%
16/180/1
Toulouse 3-1
4%
22/1125/1
Marseille 3-2
3%
22/1150/1
Toulouse 3-2
3%
28/1150/1
Marseille 3-0
3%
20/128/1
Toulouse 3-0
3%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/1125/1
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/101/1000
Home 1st Goal
48%
11/1013/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/114/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/17/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/136/1
BTTS - No
39%
6/51/14
BTTS - Home Win
20%
9/228/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/39/2
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/116/1
Home/draw
61%
8/138/1
Away/draw
64%
4/111/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/20
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/917/4
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/31/7
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4100/1
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/201/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/17/1
Home DNB
53%
5/428/1
Away DNB
56%
4/71/200
Toulouse win to nil
16%
5/1-
Marseille win to nil
18%
3/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
16%
4/155/1
Toulouse / Marseille
4%
22/1100/1
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/180/1
Draw / Toulouse
11%
13/220/1
Draw / Marseille
14%
9/216/1
Draw / Draw
14%
9/216/1
Marseille / Toulouse
3%
28/110/1
Marseille / Marseille
25%
12/52/5
Marseille / Draw
7%
12/118/5
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Toulouse have conceded 21 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Marseille lay in 4th place on 43 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 12 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
2
Lens2518252756 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Marseille2514471946 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
4
Lyon2514471346 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
5
Rennes251276743 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
May 16
l
 
1-0A
6
Lille251258641 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
7
Monaco251249640 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
8
Strasbourg251069936 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
9
Brest251069036 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
10
Lorient258107-434 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
11
Angers259511-732 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
12
Toulouse258710431 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-2A
May 9
15
Nice256613-1824 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
Mar 13
w
 
0-1F
17
Nantes254516-2017 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
l
 
0-2A
May 3
18
Metz253418-3413 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Toulouse have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse1 - 1Paris FC
Toulouse0 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest2 - 0Marseille
PSG5 - 0Marseille
Paris FC2 - 2Marseille
Angers2 - 5Marseille
Lille1 - 0Marseille
Nice1 - 5Marseille
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
21
Marseille have not lost to Toulouse in 21 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Marseille
Goals: Scored
11
25
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
D
4
MAR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 3Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Marseille
0 - 2Marseille
2 - 5Marseille
1 - 2Marseille
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 6Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
23
8
Games: Scored
9 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
2 / 11
D
5
MAR
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
Marseille3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
Marseille6 - 1
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille4 - 0
Marseille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Marseille have conceded in each of their last 8 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.5 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

Toulouse 12th Marseille 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
Marseille have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
TOU
MAR
24%
better
view stats
Games scored16
18
Failed to score8
6
Scored first9
13
Goals scored33
51
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
9%
better
TOU
MAR
view stats
Games conceded16
18
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded28
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+9%

Toulouse v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25646
G. RestesY GbohoA DönnumM McKenzie
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK25
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2533
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF24
1
-
M McKenzie DEF222
6
-
W Kamanzi MID16
-
C Yepes MID231
5
-
P Diop MID811
2
-
D. Methalie MID21
6
-
A Dönnum FWD2034
6
-
Emersonn FWD1932
3
1
Y Gboho FWD2464
1
-
Subs
K Haug GLK
-
N. Said Mchindra GLK
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-
G. Bakhouche Piernas DEF
-
A. Vossah MID1711
2
1
M Sauer MID19
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD122
-
S Hidalgo FWD2143
3
-
J Russell-Rowe FWD5
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221554
M Greenwood M Greenwood P AubameyangL Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK21
2
-
T Weah DEF2222
3
-
L Balerdi DEF181
4
-
B Pavard DEF2012
4
-
F Medina DEF9
2
-
G Kondogbia MID8
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID2324
3
-
M Greenwood  MID24154
2
-
Q Timber MID7
1
-
I Paixão MID2254
2
-
P Aubameyang FWD2285
1
-
Subs
J Lange GLK4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF9
1
Emerson DEF203
2
-
T Nadi MID2
-
E Nwaneri MID511
1
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
H Traorè MID711
1
-
A Gouiri FWD1452
-
E. Lago FWD
-