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Toulouse v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Paris FC pay Ligue 1 rivals Toulouse a visit on Saturday evening, as Stéphane Gilli guides his men into an away clash with Carles Martínez Novell & co. at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Toulouse's next match is v Marseille at 20:05 on Saturday 7th March
Paris FC's next match is v Lyon at 19:45 on Sunday 8th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Toulouse and Paris FC was on Saturday 21st February 2026
French Ligue 1
February 21st 2026
Toulouse 1
1 Paris FC
 
J. Vignolo 87'39' M. Munetsi
 
TOU
PAR
Shots On
10
2
Shots Off
5
1
Corners
12
3
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
13
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/0
 
ToulouseParis FC
 
G. Restes
R. Nicolaisen
C. Cresswell
W. Kamanzi (J. Vignolo 61')
P. Diop (M. Sauer 86')
Y. Gboho
S. Hidalgo Massa
D. Sidibé
D. Methalie
C. Cásseres Yepes
E. Correia da Silva (J. Russell-Rowe 64')
Otavio Ataide
N. Sangui
M. Mbow
(V. Marchetti 67') football iconM. Munetsi
(T. De Smet 67') A. Gory
(M. Simon 85') I. Kebbal
K. Trapp
D. Coppola
P. Lees Melou
(J. Krasso 81') C. Immobile
(L. Koleosho 67') N. Ikoné

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We make over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Toulouse and Paris FC's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
46%
1/1
10%
14/1
Draw
25%
23/10
6%
1/25
Paris FC
29%
29/10
18%
25/1
Draw 1-1
12%
5/1
7%
1/7
Toulouse 1-0
9%
11/25/1
Toulouse 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
13/2
Toulouse 2-0
8%
8/1
6%
15/2
Paris FC 1-0
7%
9/1
17%
7/20
Paris FC 2-1
7%
12/112/1
Draw 0-0
6%
15/2
11%
13/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/145/1
Toulouse 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
50/1
Paris FC 2-0
4%
18/1
17%
17/2
Toulouse 3-0
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
Toulouse 3-2
3%
28/1
17%
200/1
Paris FC 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
80/1
Paris FC 3-2
2%
40/1150/1
Toulouse 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
6/5
10%
4/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
4/6
7%
1/7
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
6%
7/10
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
5%
6/4
No 1st Goal
3%
15/2
11%
13/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
19/20
5%
29/10
BTTS - No
43%
4/5
8%
2/9
BTTS - Home Win
23%
7/2
13%
6/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
5%
2/15
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/2
5%
11/1
Home/draw
71%
1/4
6%
1/50
Away/draw
54%
4/5
11%
1/14
Home/away
75%
1/3
3%
17/4
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
4/11
8%
2/1
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/5
14%
7/20
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3/1
14%
28/1
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/4
4%
1/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
7/1
38%
125/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/12
4%
1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
16/1
27%
1/50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/40
1%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/2
11%
13/2
Home DNB
63%
2/5
9%
2/5
Away DNB
47%
7/4
21%
7/4
Toulouse win to nil
23%
9/4
9%
-
Paris FC win to nil
14%
11/2
19%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
25%
9/4
13%
21/10
Toulouse / Paris FC
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Toulouse
16%
4/1
6%
19/5
Draw / Paris FC
10%
7/1
11%
7/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
14%
18/5
Paris FC / Toulouse
4%
25/1
13%
18/1
Paris FC / Paris FC
13%
11/2
13%
19/4
Paris FC / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Toulouse have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 26 goals.

Home League Performance

Toulouse have played 11 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Paris FC are in 15th position in the Ligue 1 on 22 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Paris FC have conceded 33 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
May 16
l
 
2-1A
2
Lens2417252453 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-1A
3
Lyon2414371345 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
4
Marseille2413471843 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
5-2A
5
Monaco251249640 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
6
Lille241248640 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
7
Rennes241176340 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 9
8
Strasbourg241059935 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
9
Brest24969-233 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 3
w
 
1-2F
10
Lorient24897-433 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
11
Angers259511-732 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
12
Toulouse24879531 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
13
Le Havre246810-1026 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
14
Paris FC246810-1226 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
-
-
15
Nice246612-1424 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Auxerre244614-1618 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Nantes254516-2017 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz243417-3113 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse0 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
Paris FC 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre0 - 0Paris FC
Nantes1 - 2Paris FC
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
Le Havre0 - 0Paris FC
Lille4 - 2Paris FC
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Lens2 - 1Paris FC
Nice1 - 1Paris FC
Brest1 - 2Paris FC
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Angers1 - 0Paris FC
Martigues1 - 1Paris FC
Rodez1 - 1Paris FC
Grenoble1 - 2Paris FC
Lavallois3 - 0Paris FC
Annecy2 - 3Paris FC
Dunkerque1 - 0Paris FC
Guingamp0 - 1Paris FC
Metz3 - 1Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParis FC0 - 5Lens
AParis FC0 - 0Auxerre
HParis FC2 - 2Marseille
HParis FC0 - 0Angers
AParis FC2 - 1Nantes
AParis FC1 - 2PSG
HParis FC0 - 3Toulouse
AParis FC0 - 0Le Havre
HParis FC1 - 1Auxerre
AParis FC2 - 4Lille
HParis FC0 - 1Rennes
AParis FC1 - 0Monaco
HParis FC3 - 3Lyon
HParis FC1 - 2Nantes
AParis FC1 - 2Lens
HParis FC2 - 0Lorient
AParis FC1 - 1Nice
HParis FC2 - 3Strasbourg
AParis FC2 - 1Brest
HParis FC3 - 2Metz
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2021
Toulouse
Paris FC
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
TOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Toulouse2 - 1
Toulouse1 - 0
League games at Paris FC since 2021
Paris FC
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
5
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
TOU
1
D
1
PAR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Paris FC
0 - 3Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Paris FC3 - 1
Goal Statistics
Toulouse 12th Paris FC 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Paris FC will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Paris FC have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
10%
better
TOU
PAR
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score7
7
Scored first9
6
Goals scored32
26
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
25%
better
TOU
PAR
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded26
39
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
21%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+25%

Toulouse v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24646
G. RestesY GbohoY GbohoC Cresswell
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK24
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2433
1
-
C Cresswell DEF2432
6
-
R Nicolaisen DEF22
1
-
W Kamanzi MID15
-
C Yepes MID211
5
-
P Diop MID711
2
-
D. Methalie MID20
6
-
S Hidalgo FWD2043
3
-
Y Gboho FWD2364
1
-
Emersonn FWD1832
3
1
Subs
K Haug GLK
-
N. Said Mchindra GLK
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
-
T. Garondo DEF
-
G. Bakhouche Piernas DEF
-
A. Vossah MID1611
2
1
M Sauer MID18
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD112
-
J Russell-Rowe FWD4
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23847
I KebbalI KebbalI KebbalO Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trapp GLK13
2
-
D Coppola DEF3
1
-
M Mbow DEF231
3
-
O Silva DEF20
6
1
A Gory MID1611
-
P Lees-Melou MID1411
4
-
M Munetsi MID72
-
N. Sangui MID17
-
I Kebbal FWD2384
5
-
J Ikoné FWD141
1
-
C Immobile FWD4
1
-
Subs
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF11
2
-
T Smet DEF161
4
2
V Marchetti MID182
1
-
W Geubbels FWD173
-
J Krasso FWD2322
-
J López FWD5
-
L Koleosho FWD61
-
M Simon FWD2132
-