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Toulouse v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th May, 20:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Sunday night at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, and it’s a Ligue 1 showdown between Toulouse and Stade Brestois 29. Carles Martínez Novell and Eric Roy going all-out to ensure the win. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both joy and misery to each set of fans. We expect both Toulouse and Brest to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the fixture seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Brest coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
27%
3.80
1%
3.70
28%
Draw
23%
3.70
9%
3.75
7%
Brest
50%
1.95
3%
1.91
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
15%
7.00
Brest 2-1
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
12%
Brest 1-0
8%
9.50
12%
8.50
Brest 2-0
8%
11.00
10%
9.50
14%
Toulouse 2-1
7%
13.0011.00
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
8%
Toulouse 1-0
6%
15.00
25%
12.00
20%
Brest 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00
36%
12.00
Brest 3-0
5%
17.0013.00
24%
Toulouse 2-0
4%
21.0017.00
13%
Brest 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
15.00
21%
Toulouse 3-1
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
Brest 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
19.00
27%
Toulouse 3-2
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.62
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.30
15%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.40
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1.57
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
36%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.57
8%
1.57
3%
BTTS - No
40%
2.25
10%
2.30
5%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
6.00
14%
5.75
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
4%
BTTS - Away Win
27%
3.40
15%
3.25
14%
Home/draw
50%
1.801.85
9%
Away/draw
73%
1.251.29
5%
Home/away
77%
1.29
1%
1.25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.20
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.50
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.62
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.50
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.50
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.20
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.00
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.07
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
36%
-
Home DNB
43%
2.622.70
20%
Away DNB
66%
1.441.40
11%
Toulouse win to nil
12%
8.00
14%
-
Brest win to nil
24%
3.75-
Toulouse / Toulouse
14%
6.005.75
20%
Toulouse / Brest
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
19%
Toulouse / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
8%
Draw / Toulouse
10%
8.007.50
7%
Draw / Brest
16%
5.004.80
13%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
9%
5.50
Brest / Toulouse
3%
29.0023.00
12%
Brest / Brest
26%
3.10
3%
3.00
9%
Brest / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Toulouse have conceded 26 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 16 games at home, winning 3, drawing 7 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Brest lay in 4th place on 58 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Brest have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Brest have played 16 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Toulouse
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Brest
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
 PSG33211024673 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
 Monaco3319772264 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Lille33161071858 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 19
d
 
1-1F
 Brest Away33161071658 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Nice3315991154 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
 Lens3314811850 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Lyon3315513-750 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-3A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Marseille331211101047 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
 Rennes33121011846 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-5A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Reims3312813-644 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
-
-
 Toulouse Home33111012-143 
d
 
1-1A
May 19
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Montpellier33101112-540 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Strasbourg3310914-1139 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
 Nantes339618-2133 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Le Havre3371115-1032 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Metz338520-2129 
w
 
4-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Lorient336819-2826 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-3F
 Clermont3351018-2925 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Brest 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Brest have not lost to Toulouse in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Toulouse since 2020
Toulouse
Brest
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
D
1
SBR
1
All league games since 2019
Toulouse
Brest
Goals: Scored
6
11
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
D
3
SBR
2
Goal Statistics

Stade Brestois 29's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Toulouse have conceded in each of their last 5 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.8 for E. Roy's side suggests that run should continue.

Toulouse 11th Brest 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Brest will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Toulouse have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+29
Brest have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263010/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
TOU
SBR
8%
better
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score9
9
Scored first11
14
Goals scored42
50
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate15%
14%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
TOU
SBR
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
19
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded43
34
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
13%
KickOff rating
+21%

Toulouse v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331448
G. RestesT DallingaG SuazoV Sierro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK33
3
-
R Nicolaisen DEF322
5
-
T Dallinga FWD32142
6
-
C Yepes MID3113
1
-
G Suazo DEF304
5
-
L Costa DEF3011
6
-
V Sierro MID3063
8
-
F Magri FWD2852
5
-
A Dönnum FWD261
8
-
W Kamanzi DEF232
1
-
M Desler DEF231
2
-
M Diarra DEF2212
5
-
S Spierings MID221
5
-
N Schmidt MID2111
4
-
C Mawissa DEF162
2
-
C Gelabert MID1612
1
-
Y Gboho MID1532
1
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD133
2
-
S Babicka FWD121
-
I Cissoko FWD1111
1
-
D Genreau MID8
-
K Keben DEF7
1
-
N Skyttä MID7
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
338811
B LockoR CastilloR CastilloP Lees-Melou
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Locko DEF333
5
-
K Lala DEF3213
7
-
B Chardonnet DEF3211
4
-
H Magnetti MID322
6
-
R Castillo FWD3288
4
-
M Satriano FWD3244
4
-
J Douaron FWD324
3
-
M Bizot GLK31
3
1
J Martin MID311
5
-
M Camara MID3162
7
-
S Mounié FWD3162
2
1
L Brassier DEF293
10
-
P Lees-Melou MID294
11
-
M Lage FWD2832
2
-
K Doumbia MID2464
-
B Brahimi FWD17
1
1
J Cardinal DEF12
3
-
A Camblan MID7
2
-
A Lebeau FWD71
-
G Coudert GLK3
-
T. Zogbe DEF1
-
J Amavi DEF1
-