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Bayern Munich v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Allianz Arena, München

Bayern Munich and their manager Vincent Kompany will be aiming to beat Christian Ilzer and his TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Allianz Arena in the Bundesliga. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.

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Bayern Munich's next match is v W.Bremen at 14:30 on Saturday 14th February
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's next match is v Freiburg at 14:30 on Saturday 14th February

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Bayern and Hoffenheim was on Sunday 8th February 2026

German Bundesliga

February 8th 2026

Bayern 5	1 Hoffenheim

H. Kane 20'	35' A. Kramarić
H. Kane 45'
L. Díaz Marulanda 45'
L. Díaz Marulanda 62'
L. Díaz Marulanda 89'

	FCB TSG
Shots On	14 4
Shots Off	12 3
Corners	8 2
Possession	54% 46%
Fouls	11 9
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/1

Bayern	Hoffenheim

M. Neuer D. Upamecano J. Tah (H. Ito 63') A. Davies (K. Laimer 80') J. Kimmich S. Gnabry (J. Musiala 63') H. Kane (N. Jackson 68') J. Stanisic L. Díaz Marulanda A. Pavlović M. Olise (L. Karl 63')	O. Baumann O. Kabak G. Prömel (L. Đurić 81') L. Avdullahu (I. Bebou 66') F. Asllani A. Hajdari K. Akpoguma V. Coufal (M. Damar 71') A. Kramarić (V. Gendrey 71') B. Touré (M. Moerstedt 81') A. Prass

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

As the Bayern players ready themselves for this clash, the bookies have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Allianz Arena has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Hoffenheim in the past, and we expect more of the same come Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bayern 68%	1.20 3%	1.02 3%
Draw 16%	8.00 14%	1.02 15%
Hoffenheim 16%	10.00 23%	1.02 13%
Bayern 2-1 9%	10.00 9%	12.00 6%
Bayern 3-1 8%	10.00	5.75
Bayern 2-0 7%	11.00 10%	7.00
Draw 1-1 6%	17.00 13%	15.00 8%
Bayern 3-0 6%	10.00 5%	5.50 6%
Draw 2-2 6%	21.00	29.00
Bayern 4-1 5%	12.00	1.75
Bayern 3-2 5%	19.00 10%	15.00
Bayern 1-0 5%	15.00	15.00
Bayern 4-0 4%	12.00 9%	5.50
Hoffenheim 2-1 4%	29.00 15%	29.00 11%
Bayern 4-2 4%	23.00	12.00
Bayern 5-1 3%	19.00	1.40
Hoffenheim 3-2 2%	41.00 20%	71.00 17%
Bayern 5-0 2%	19.00 12%	6.50 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%	1.22	1.01 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%	4.33	15.00 8%
Home 1st Goal 56%	1.30 1%	1.25
Away 1st Goal 43%	3.40 3%	4.00 3%
No 1st Goal 1%	34.00	21.00 13%
BTTS - Yes 68%	1.57 3%	2.90 2%
BTTS - No 32%	2.25 2%	1.36 4%
BTTS - Home Win 42%	2.05 2%	1.02 2%
BTTS - Draw 15%	8.00 7%	1.02 8%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	15.00 12%	1.02 16%
Home/draw 84%	1.06 2%	1.02 2%
Away/draw 32%	4.33 13%	1.02 8%
Home/away 84%	1.08 2%	1.02 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%	1.06	1.01
Under 1.5 Goals 9%	10.00	15.00 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 58%	1.57 3%	1.03 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 42%	2.38 3%	12.00 5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%	2.20	1.11 6%
Under 4.5 Goals 62%	1.67	5.75 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 22%	3.75	2.00 10%
Under 5.5 Goals 78%	1.29	1.75 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1.01	1.00
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	29.00	26.00
Home DNB 79%	1.07 2%	1.02 2%
Away DNB 27%	9.00 18%	1.02 17%
Bayern win to nil 26%	2.50 5%	-
Hoffenheim win to nil 5%	26.00	-
Bayern / Bayern 50%	1.57 3%	1.01 6%
Bayern / Hoffenheim 2%	51.00	56.00
Bayern / Draw 5%	21.00	23.00 13%
Draw / Bayern 17%	4.33	29.00 9%
Draw / Hoffenheim 4%	26.00 10%	91.00
Draw / Draw 7%	13.00	61.00
Hoffenheim / Bayern 6%	15.00	23.00
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim 5%	21.00 9%	34.00 10%
Hoffenheim / Draw 4%	23.00	1.02

Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bayern Hoffenheim
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	20	16	3	1	56	51	-	-	l 1-4A	l 5-1A
2	Dortmund	21	14	6	1	23	48	w 2-1F	Feb 28	Apr 18	l 2-0A
3	Hoffenheim	20	13	3	4	20	42	w 5-1F	w 1-4F	-	-
4	Stuttgart	21	12	3	6	10	39	Apr 18	w 0-5F	May 2	d 0-00-0
5	Leverkusen	20	11	3	6	12	36	w 3-0F	Mar 14	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
6	RB Leipzig	20	11	3	6	11	36	w 6-0F	w 1-5A	w 3-1A	Mar 20
7	Freiburg	21	8	6	7	-1	30	w 6-2A	Apr 4	Feb 14	d 1-1A
8	E.Frankfurt	21	7	7	7	-5	28	Feb 21	w 0-3F	l 1-3A	w 1-3A
9	Union Berlin	21	6	7	8	-8	25	Mar 21	d 2-2A	w 3-1F	w 2-4F
10	Köln	20	6	5	9	-3	23	May 16	w 1-3A	l 0-1A	Feb 21
11	Hamburg	20	5	7	8	-8	22	w 5-0F	d 2-2A	w 4-1F	Apr 25
12	B. M'gladbach	21	5	7	9	-9	22	Mar 6	w 0-3F	w 5-1F	May 16
13	Augsburg	21	6	4	11	-15	22	l 1-2F	w 2-3F	w 3-0F	Apr 11
14	Mainz	21	5	6	10	-8	21	d 2-2F	Apr 25	Apr 4	d 1-1F
15	Wolfsburg	21	5	4	12	-15	19	w 8-1F	May 9	Mar 14	w 2-3A
16	W.Bremen	21	4	7	10	-17	19	w 4-0F	Feb 14	May 9	w 0-2F
17	St. Pauli	21	4	5	12	-15	17	w 3-1A	Apr 11	Feb 28	w 0-3F
18	Heidenheim	21	3	4	14	-28	13	May 2	w 0-4F	w 3-1F	Mar 7

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

form

head to head (H2H)

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.8 is decent for Bayern Munich in their meeting with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 32 consecutive Bundesliga matches.

	Bayern 1st	Hoffenheim 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.8 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 18% 2 24% 3 22% 4 15% 5+ 21% There is a 82% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+20 Bayern have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted	+27 Hoffenheim have scored 27% more goals when away than predicted
	3.6 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

36%

better

FCB

TSG

view stats

Games scored	20		17
Failed to score	0		3
Scored first	14		10
Goals scored	74		43
Avg. goals scored	3.7		2.2
Avg. shots per game	14		10
Avg. shots per goal	4		5
Conversion rate for	26		22
Avg. XG for	2.7		1.6
KickOff rating		+36%

19%

better

FCB

TSG

view stats

Games conceded	12		15
Clean sheets	8		5
Conceded first	6		9
Goals conceded	18		23
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	1		1.4
KickOff rating		+19%

Bayern v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
18	22	15	5
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	L Díaz

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Neuer GLK	16			-
J Stanisic DEF	12	2	2	1 -
D Upamecano DEF	16	1	1	3 -
J Tah DEF	17	2	2	3 -
A Davies DEF	5			1 -
J Kimmich MID	16	1	5	4 -
A Pavlović MID	17	2	1	2 -
M Olise MID	20	10	15	4 -
S Gnabry MID	15	6	5	1 -
L Díaz MID	19	10	9	5 -
H Kane FWD	20	22	4	1 -
Subs
J Urbig GLK	4			-
H Ito DEF	8	1	3	-
R Guerreiro DEF	11	3	2	-
L Goretzka MID	18	1		4 -
J Musiala MID	3		1	-
T Bischof MID	16		3	2 -
K Laimer MID	16	2	4	5 -
L. Karl MID	18	4	2	-
N Jackson FWD	13	3		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
22	42	15	20
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	M Olise

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	22	42	4	9
M Olise MID	10	35	15	20
L Díaz MID	10	23	9	9
S Gnabry MID	6	13	5	6
Subs
L. Karl MID	4	13	2	2
R Guerreiro DEF	3	3	2	2
N Jackson FWD	3	7		1
J Stanisic DEF	2	2	2	1
J Tah DEF	2	5	2	1
A Pavlović MID	2	4	1	3
Subs
K Laimer MID	2	7	4	4
D Upamecano DEF	1	2	1	2
J Kimmich MID	1	5	5	12
Subs
H Ito DEF	1	3	3	1
L Goretzka MID	1	3		2
J Musiala MID		1	1
T Bischof MID		2	3	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1443	27	94
J Kimmich	K Laimer	M Olise

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	1443	12	34
J Tah DEF	1347	18	54
A Pavlović MID	1190	23	40
D Upamecano DEF	1086	25	54
M Olise MID	1034	17	94
Subs
L Goretzka MID	949	20	51
L Díaz MID	826	15	79
Subs
K Laimer MID	798	27	53
T Bischof MID	718	9	22
J Stanisic DEF	646	7	26
M Neuer GLK	554		2
Subs
L. Karl MID	526	18	38
H Kane FWD	521	12	86
S Gnabry MID	485	15	29
Subs
H Ito DEF	393		14
R Guerreiro DEF	303	6	11
J Urbig GLK	167
A Davies DEF	162	5	11
Subs
N Jackson FWD	121	2	13
J Musiala MID	36	1	5

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	8	5	7
O Baumann	A Kramaric	B. Touré	A Hajdari

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Baumann GLK	20			1 -
V Coufal DEF	20	1	4	2 -
K Akpoguma DEF	4			-
O Kabak DEF	11	2		-
A Hajdari DEF	17	1		7 -
B. Touré MID	16	2	5	1 -
A Kramaric MID	20	8	4	1 -
L Avdullahu MID	20		1	3 -
G Prömel MID	20	6	2	2 -
A Prass MID	18	1	1	1 -
F Asllani FWD	19	6	4	1 -
Subs
L Philipp GLK				-
V Gendrey DEF	4		1	-
K. Olagie Frees DEF				-
V. Lässig DEF				-
M Damar MID	10			-
L. Đurić MID				-
I Bebou FWD	12			1 -
M. Moerstedt FWD	14	2		1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	18	5	8
A Kramaric	A Kramaric	B. Touré	V Coufal

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Kramaric MID	8	18	4	4
G Prömel MID	6	8	2	1
F Asllani FWD	6	14	4	5
O Kabak DEF	2	2
B. Touré MID	2	7	5	6
Subs
M. Moerstedt FWD	2	3
V Coufal DEF	1	4	4	8
A Hajdari DEF	1	3		2
A Prass MID	1	5	1	2
L Avdullahu MID		1	1	1
Subs
V Gendrey DEF			1	1
M Damar MID		6		1
I Bebou FWD		2		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1169	34	99
L Avdullahu	V Coufal	V Coufal

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Avdullahu MID	1169	27	60
A Hajdari DEF	871	32	93
V Coufal DEF	788	34	99
O Baumann GLK	746		10
G Prömel MID	543	19	53
A Kramaric MID	538	4	27
F Asllani FWD	350	10	59
B. Touré MID	346	17	88
O Kabak DEF	326	6	42
A Prass MID	265	23	46
Subs
M Damar MID	108	4	8
M. Moerstedt FWD	84	6	25
I Bebou FWD	31		4
V Gendrey DEF	18		2
K Akpoguma DEF	13	2	3