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Bayern Munich v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Apr, 14:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Bo Henriksen pays counterpart Vincent Kompany a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich charges face each other at the Allianz Arena. Team form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. Here we've gone for Bayern to win, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

We're predicting Bayern will claim victory after 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Allianz Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
66%
2/9-
Draw
17%
11/2-
Mainz
17%
10/1-
Bayern 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
-
Bayern 3-1
8%
9/1-
Bayern 2-0
7%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
7%
12/1-
Bayern 3-0
6%
7/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
20/1-
Bayern 1-0
5%
10/1
10%
-
Bayern 4-1
5%
14/1-
Bayern 3-2
5%
22/1-
Mainz 2-1
4%
25/1
10%
-
Bayern 4-0
4%
10/1-
Bayern 4-2
3%
28/1-
Bayern 5-1
3%
22/1-
Mainz 1-0
3%
28/1-
Mainz 3-2
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
75%
2/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
25%
2/1-
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
10/3
4%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
67%
4/5-
BTTS - No
33%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
41%
6/4-
BTTS - Draw
15%
13/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
14/1
12%
-
Home/draw
83%
1/20-
Away/draw
34%
3/1-
Home/away
83%
1/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
11/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
55%
1/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
45%
4/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
35%
11/5-
Under 4.5 Goals
65%
4/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
20%
9/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
80%
1/7-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/66-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
20/1-
Home DNB
78%
1/14-
Away DNB
29%
8/1-
Bayern win to nil
26%
6/5-
Mainz win to nil
5%
18/1
10%
-
Bayern / Bayern
48%
8/11
4%
-
Bayern / Mainz
2%
40/1
20%
-
Bayern / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / Bayern
21%
3/1-
Draw / Mainz
4%
20/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
8%
9/1-
Mainz / Bayern
5%
16/1-
Mainz / Mainz
4%
20/1-
Mainz / Draw
4%
22/1-
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 6 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 87 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 15 games at home winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 48 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Mainz are in 6th position in the Bundesliga on 47 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 8 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Home3022625872 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
2
Leverkusen2918922963 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
l
 
1-0A
3
E.Frankfurt2915681651 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
May 4
w
 
1-3F
4
RB Leipzig30131071049 
w
 
5-1F
May 3
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
5
Freiburg3014610-448 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Mainz Away3013891247 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
-
-
7
W.Bremen3013611-645 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-5F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
8
B. M'gladbach2913511344 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3F
9
Dortmund2912611942 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
10
Augsburg291199-742 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-3F
11
Stuttgart3011811641 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
12
Wolfsburg3010911639 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-3F
13
Union Berlin309813-1435 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
14
Hoffenheim307914-1730 
w
 
5-0F
May 17
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
15
St. Pauli298516-1029 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
Heidenheim306420-2822 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
17
VfL Bochum305520-3320 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
18
Holstein304719-3019 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-6F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Mainz have not won in 5 consecutive league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Bayern1 - 1Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 0Freiburg
Bayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
Bayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern2 - 0Köln
Bayern0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Augsburg
HBayern3 - 2St. Pauli
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
ABayern3 - 1Stuttgart
HBayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
ABayern0 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern4 - 3Holstein
ABayern2 - 1Freiburg
HBayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
HBayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
ABayern1 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern1 - 2Mainz
HBayern4 - 2Heidenheim
ABayern1 - 1Dortmund
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
Mainz 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hoffenheim2 - 0Mainz
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
B. M'gladbach1 - 3Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
Heidenheim0 - 2Mainz
W.Bremen1 - 0Mainz
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Leverkusen1 - 0Mainz
E.Frankfurt1 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg4 - 3Mainz
Holstein0 - 3Mainz
Freiburg0 - 0Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Augsburg2 - 3Mainz
Stuttgart3 - 3Mainz
Wolfsburg1 - 3Mainz
Heidenheim1 - 1Mainz
Freiburg1 - 1Mainz
RB Leipzig0 - 0Mainz
Bayern8 - 1Mainz
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMainz2 - 2Wolfsburg
AMainz0 - 2Hoffenheim
HMainz1 - 1Holstein
AMainz1 - 3Dortmund
HMainz2 - 2Freiburg
AMainz3 - 1B. M'gladbach
AMainz2 - 1RB Leipzig
HMainz2 - 0St. Pauli
AMainz2 - 0Heidenheim
HMainz0 - 0Augsburg
AMainz0 - 1W.Bremen
HMainz2 - 0Stuttgart
AMainz1 - 2Union Berlin
AMainz0 - 1Leverkusen
HMainz2 - 0VfL Bochum
AMainz3 - 1E.Frankfurt
HMainz2 - 1Bayern
AMainz3 - 4Wolfsburg
HMainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
AMainz3 - 0Holstein
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bayern have beaten Mainz in 7 consecutive home league meetings
8
Bayern have not lost to Mainz in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Mainz
Goals: Scored
49
13
Games: Scored
12 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
0 / 12
FCB
10
D
1
M05
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
Bayern8 - 1
Bayern6 - 2
Bayern2 - 1
Bayern5 - 2
Bayern6 - 1
Bayern6 - 0
Bayern4 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Mainz
Bayern2 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
Bayern3 - 1
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Bayern
Goals: Scored
15
27
Games: Scored
9 / 13
13 / 13
Clean sheets
0 / 13
4 / 13
FCB
9
M05
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 3Bayern
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz3 - 1
Mainz2 - 1
1 - 3Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
1 - 3Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
1 - 2Bayern
0 - 2Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Bundesliga outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Bayern 1st Mainz 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Bayern have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Mainz have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
3.1
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283694/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.6
1.3
Attack rating
33%
better
FCB
M05
view stats
Games scored28
22
Failed to score1
7
Scored first22
16
Goals scored83
46
Avg. goals scored2.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
18
Avg. XG for2.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
9%
better
FCB
M05
view stats
Games conceded17
20
Clean sheets12
9
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded29
34
Avg. goals conceded1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against20%
12%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Bayern v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2623107
J KimmichH KaneM OliseK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Olise MID28810
2
-
J Kimmich MID2717
4
-
H Kane FWD26238
4
-
M Kim DEF252
2
-
J Musiala MID25122
3
-
T Müller FWD2413
3
-
L Sané FWD2496
2
-
K Laimer MID2311
7
-
K Coman FWD2244
-
L Goretzka MID2141
2
-
S Gnabry FWD2154
-
M Neuer  GLK20
-
D Upamecano DEF202
6
-
R Guerreiro DEF1932
1
-
A Davies DEF1913
-
E Dier DEF151
-
A Pavlović MID151
2
-
J Palhinha MID14
2
1
S Boey DEF91
1
-
J Stanisic DEF81
-
H Ito DEF61
1
-
J Urbig GLK4
-
D Peretz GLK3
1
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
G Vidović FWD1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2815711
R ZentnerJ Burkardt A CaciD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Zentner GLK28
3
-
K Sano MID28
3
-
P Mwene DEF275
6
-
A Caci MID2717
6
-
J Lee MID2765
4
-
P Nebel MID2684
3
-
N Amiri MID2564
6
2
A Sieb FWD2523
3
-
D Kohr MID241
10
1
J Burkardt  FWD24152
-
S Widmer  DEF221
3
-
D Costa DEF191
-
H Hyun-seok MID181
-
M Jenz DEF17
4
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF1711
2
1
N Weiper FWD173
2
-
D Hoof DEF151
3
-
M Leitsch  DEF141
2
-
N Veratschnig DEF9
-
L Maloney MID3
1
-
A Nordin FWD3
-