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Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Vincent Kompany pays counterpart Nuri Şahin a visit on Saturday evening in the Bundesliga, as their Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund teams go head to head at the Signal Iduna Park. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our expansive database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Hoffenheim at 16:30 on Sunday 15th December
Bayern Munich's next match is v Mainz at 14:30 on Saturday 14th December
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Dortmund and Bayern was on Saturday 30th November 2024
German Bundesliga
November 30th 2024
Dortmund 1
1 Bayern
 
J. Bynoe-Gittens 27'85' J. Musiala
 
BVB
FCB
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
1
3
Corners
2
3
Possession
33%
67%
Fouls
11
7
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
DortmundBayern
 
G. Kobel
W. Anton (N. Süle 18')
N. Schlotterbeck
R. Bensebaini
J. Ryerson (Y. Couto 74')
M. Sabitzer (G. Reyna 90')
P. Groß
F. Nmecha
M. Beier
S. Guirassy
J. Bynoe-Gittensfootball icon (D. Malen 74')
M. Neuer
(M. Olise 80') M. Kim
D. Upamecano
A. Davies
L. Goretzka
J. Kimmich
(S. Boey 62') K. Laimer
L. Sané
(T. Müller 33') H. Kane
(K. Coman 62') M. Tel
football iconJ. Musiala

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Dortmund and Bayern to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean a losing bet but, with statistics below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
30%
7/2
7%
16/5
8%
Draw
20%
3/1
7%
3/1
9%
Bayern
50%
8/11
4%
3/4
Bayern 2-1
8%
15/2
11%
13/2
6%
Draw 1-1
7%
7/1
6%
13/2
12%
Draw 2-2
7%
12/1
30%
10/1
10%
Bayern 3-1
6%
11/110/1
10%
Dortmund 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Bayern 3-2
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Bayern 2-0
5%
9/1
23%
8/1
18%
Dortmund 3-2
4%
28/1
12%
22/1
21%
Bayern 1-0
4%
9/1
33%
15/2
23%
Dortmund 3-1
4%
28/1
12%
22/1
21%
Bayern 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Bayern 4-1
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Draw 3-3
3%
40/1
58%
28/1
38%
Dortmund 1-0
3%
16/1
26%
12/1
13%
Bayern 4-2
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
4/7
15%
11/20
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
11/8
26%
13/10
23%
Home 1st Goal
48%
13/8
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
1/2-
No 1st Goal
1%
16/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
74%
4/7
15%
4/7
12%
BTTS - No
26%
5/4
25%
13/10
18%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
6/1
17%
11/2
24%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
19%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
35%
21/10
13%
2/1
15%
Home/draw
50%
21/20
5%
21/20
Away/draw
70%
2/11
3%
2/9
2%
Home/away
80%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1/6
6%
1/6
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
4/1
29%
7/2
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
11/8
25%
13/10
24%
Under 3.5 Goals
43%
4/7
18%
11/20
16%
Over 4.5 Goals
38%
10/3
35%
3/1
39%
Under 4.5 Goals
62%
2/9
10%
2/9
10%
Over 5.5 Goals
22%
7/1
60%
6/1
46%
Under 5.5 Goals
78%
1/12
8%
1/12
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/33
2%
1/66
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
14/1
35%
12/1
24%
Home DNB
44%
9/421/10
3%
Away DNB
64%
1/31/3
1%
Dortmund win to nil
8%
8/1
18%
-
Bayern win to nil
16%
5/2
19%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
12%
6/1
17%
11/2
13%
Dortmund / Bayern
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Dortmund
9%
17/28/1
6%
Draw / Bayern
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
13%
5/1
14%
Bayern / Dortmund
3%
28/1
12%
25/1
24%
Bayern / Bayern
31%
7/48/5
Bayern / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league. Dortmund have won all their 3 games against teams above them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games. Dortmund have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 3. Dortmund have conceded 1 goal, scored 8, scored in every game and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Dortmund have played 6 games at home, winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 29 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 11 matches. Bayern are unbeaten in 11 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 11 games. Bayern are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 36 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 6 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern Away1310303133 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
-
-
2
E.Frankfurt138321527 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 17
Feb 22
d
 
3-3F
3
Leverkusen137511026 
Jan 10
May 10
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
4
RB Leipzig13733724 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 15
Dec 20
May 3
5
Freiburg14734124 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
6
Wolfsburg14635621 
May 3
Dec 22
Jan 18
w
 
2-3F
7
Dortmund Home13634421 
-
-
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
8
Stuttgart13553320 
Feb 8
l
 
5-1A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 1
9
Mainz13544519 
Mar 29
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Dec 14
10
W.Bremen13544-419 
Jan 25
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
w
 
0-5F
11
B. M'gladbach13535118 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
May 10
Jan 11
12
Union Berlin13445-216 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
13
Augsburg13445-916 
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
14
Hoffenheim13346-713 
Dec 15
Apr 26
Jan 15
May 17
15
St. Pauli13328-611 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Mar 29
w
 
0-1F
16
Heidenheim13319-1110 
w
 
4-2F
Feb 1
w
 
4-2F
Apr 19
17
Holstein131210-205 
May 17
Jan 14
Feb 1
w
 
1-6F
18
VfL Bochum130211-242 
w
 
4-2A
Feb 15
Mar 8
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Dortmund 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Dortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Dortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
Dortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
Dortmund2 - 0E.Frankfurt
Dortmund4 - 0Darmstadt
Dortmund5 - 1Augsburg
Dortmund1 - 1Leverkusen
Dortmund0 - 1Stuttgart
Dortmund3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Dortmund2 - 3Hoffenheim
Dortmund3 - 0Freiburg
Dortmund3 - 1VfL Bochum
Dortmund1 - 1Mainz
Dortmund2 - 3RB Leipzig
Dortmund4 - 2B. M'gladbach
Dortmund0 - 4Bayern
Dortmund1 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund4 - 2Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund4 - 0Freiburg
ADortmund1 - 3Mainz
HDortmund2 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund1 - 2Augsburg
HDortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
ADortmund1 - 2Union Berlin
HDortmund4 - 2VfL Bochum
ADortmund1 - 5Stuttgart
HDortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
ADortmund0 - 0W.Bremen
HDortmund2 - 0E.Frankfurt
HDortmund4 - 0Darmstadt
ADortmund0 - 3Mainz
HDortmund5 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund1 - 4RB Leipzig
HDortmund1 - 1Leverkusen
ADortmund2 - 1B. M'gladbach
HDortmund0 - 1Stuttgart
ADortmund2 - 0Bayern
HDortmund3 - 1E.Frankfurt
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
VfL Bochum0 - 5Bayern
E.Frankfurt3 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen0 - 5Bayern
Holstein1 - 6Bayern
Wolfsburg2 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim4 - 2Bayern
Stuttgart3 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin1 - 5Bayern
Heidenheim3 - 2Bayern
Darmstadt2 - 5Bayern
Freiburg2 - 2Bayern
VfL Bochum3 - 2Bayern
Leverkusen3 - 0Bayern
Augsburg2 - 3Bayern
Wolfsburg1 - 2Bayern
E.Frankfurt5 - 1Bayern
Köln0 - 1Bayern
Dortmund0 - 4Bayern
Mainz1 - 3Bayern
Goals: Scored
57
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBayern3 - 0Augsburg
ABayern1 - 0St. Pauli
HBayern3 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern5 - 0VfL Bochum
HBayern4 - 0Stuttgart
ABayern3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HBayern1 - 1Leverkusen
ABayern5 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern6 - 1Holstein
HBayern2 - 0Freiburg
ABayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
ABayern2 - 4Hoffenheim
HBayern2 - 0Wolfsburg
ABayern1 - 3Stuttgart
HBayern2 - 1E.Frankfurt
ABayern5 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 0Köln
ABayern2 - 3Heidenheim
HBayern0 - 2Dortmund
ABayern5 - 2Darmstadt
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bayern have not lost to Dortmund in 5 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Dortmund since 2013
Dortmund
Bayern
Goals: Scored
12
23
Games: Scored
7 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
5 / 12
BVB
2
D
3
FCB
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
0 - 4Bayern
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Bayern
2 - 3Bayern
0 - 1Bayern
Dortmund3 - 2
1 - 3Bayern
Dortmund1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Bayern
0 - 3Bayern
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Bayern since 2012
Bayern
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
38
14
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
BVB
2
D
1
FCB
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bayern
0 - 2Dortmund
Bayern4 - 2
Bayern3 - 1
Bayern4 - 2
Bayern4 - 0
Bayern5 - 0
Bayern6 - 0
Bayern4 - 1
Bayern5 - 1
Bayern2 - 1
0 - 3Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Bayern Munich on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

A PG of 2.3 is decent for Bayern Munich in their meeting with Borussia Dortmund, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 160 consecutive Bundesliga outings.

Dortmund 7th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Dortmund have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+26
Bayern have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283522/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.7
2.3
Attack rating
BVB
FCB
34%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score1
0
Scored first5
10
Goals scored22
36
Avg. goals scored2
3.3
Avg. shots per game10
15
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for21
22
Avg. XG for1.7
2.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
BVB
FCB
48%
better
view stats
Games conceded8
4
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first5
1
Goals conceded18
7
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
4
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against21%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.6
KickOff rating
+48%

Dortmund v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12635
J RyersonS Guirassy R BensebainiN Schlotterbeck
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK11
-
J Ryerson DEF1211
2
-
W Anton DEF10
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF122
4
1
R Bensebaini DEF1213
5
-
P Groß MID132
3
-
F Nmecha MID1321
-
M Beier MID1221
2
-
M Sabitzer  MID12
2
-
J Bynoe-Gittens MID1353
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD1061
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK2
-
Y Couto DEF7
3
-
N Süle DEF7
1
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF3
1
1
G Reyna MID4
-
A Azhil MID1
1
-
J Duranville FWD2
-
D Malen FWD122
-
W Campbell FWD3
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131464
D UpamecanoH KaneH KaneD Upamecano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK11
-
K Laimer DEF11
2
-
D Upamecano DEF132
4
-
M Kim DEF131
1
-
A Davies DEF122
-
J Kimmich MID133
-
L Goretzka MID811
-
L Sané MID911
1
-
J Musiala MID1181
2
-
M Tel MID5
-
H Kane FWD12146
1
-
Subs
D Peretz GLK1
1
-
E Dier DEF4
-
S Boey DEF51
1
-
A. Aznou Ben Cheikh DEF1
-
R Guerreiro DEF101
-
M Olise MID1354
-
K Coman FWD1232
-
A Ibrahimović FWD1
-
T Müller FWD1311
1
-