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Borussia Dortmund v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

FC St. Pauli pay Bundesliga counterparts Borussia Dortmund a visit on Saturday afternoon, as Alexander Blessin guides his side into an away clash with Niko Kovač & co. at the Signal Iduna Park. This preview has the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Union Berlin at 17:30 on Saturday 24th January
FC St. Pauli's next match is v Hamburg at 19:30 on Friday 23rd January
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Dortmund and St. Pauli was on Saturday 17th January 2026
German Bundesliga
January 17th 2026
Dortmund 3
2 St. Pauli
 
J. Brandt 45'62' J. Sands
K. Adeyemi 54'72' R. Jade-Jones
E. Can 90'
 
BVB
STP
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
3
1
Corners
5
5
Possession
63%
37%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
DortmundSt. Pauli
 
G. Kobel
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Bellingham
F. Nmecha (S. Özcan 83')
J. Brandtfootball icon (C. Chukwuemeka 83')
E. Canfootball icon
D. Svensson
J. Ryerson (Y. Couto 71')
F. Soares Silva (S. Guirassy 71')
K. Adeyemifootball icon (M. Beier 71')
N. Vasilj
K. Mets
H. Wahl
football iconJ. Sands
E. Smith
A. Pyrka
(L. Oppie 64') L. Ritzka
J. Fujita
(T. Ando 64') A. Dźwigała
(R. Jade-Jones 64') M. Kaars
M. Pereira Lage

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Dortmund to win

A Bundesliga home win for Niko Kovač's Dortmund team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Dortmund win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
68%
1/31/500
Draw
21%
15/422/1
St. Pauli
11%
9/1125/1
Dortmund 1-0
16%
5/112/5
Dortmund 2-0
15%
5/18/5
Draw 1-1
9%
8/17/1
Dortmund 3-0
9%
7/111/5
Dortmund 2-1
9%
8/121/20
Draw 0-0
8%
10/14/1
Dortmund 3-1
6%
11/112/5
St. Pauli 1-0
5%
20/117/2
Dortmund 4-0
4%
14/16/1
St. Pauli 2-1
3%
28/125/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/12/5
Dortmund 4-1
3%
20/117/2
Dortmund 3-2
2%
33/13/1
Dortmund 5-0
2%
28/116/1
St. Pauli 2-0
2%
50/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/54/9
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/113/8
Home 1st Goal
61%
1/310/21
Away 1st Goal
33%
11/43/1
No 1st Goal
6%
10/14/1
BTTS - Yes
38%
6/527/10
BTTS - No
62%
8/131/4
BTTS - Home Win
22%
5/213/5
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/24/11
BTTS - Away Win
4%
20/19/1
Home/draw
89%
1/161/25
Away/draw
32%
9/41/4
Home/away
79%
2/1115/8
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/42/7
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
3/112/5
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
11/57/10
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/1121/20
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/217/10
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/74/9
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/7
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/14/1
Home DNB
83%
1/142/9
Away DNB
26%
8/129/10
Dortmund win to nil
47%
10/11-
St. Pauli win to nil
7%
16/1-
Dortmund / Dortmund
43%
10/114/1
Dortmund / St. Pauli
2%
50/150/1
Dortmund / Draw
4%
18/122/1
Draw / Dortmund
21%
11/423/20
Draw / St. Pauli
4%
18/17/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/113/5
St. Pauli / Dortmund
4%
20/128/1
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
5%
16/118/1
St. Pauli / Draw
4%
20/125/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Bundesliga league table. Dortmund are unbeaten in 16 games against teams below them in the league and kept 9 clean sheets out of 16 games. Dortmund are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 6 and lost no matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Dortmund have outscored their opponents by 32 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Dortmund have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

St. Pauli are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 12 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 27 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern1816205750 
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
2
Dortmund1811611839 
-
-
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
3
Hoffenheim1710341433 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
l
 
0-3A
Feb 28
4
Stuttgart181035733 
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
5
RB Leipzig171025932 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
Jan 27
May 9
6
Leverkusen17926929 
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
7
E.Frankfurt18765-127 
May 9
d
 
3-3F
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
8
Freiburg18666-224 
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
9
Union Berlin18666-324 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 24
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
10
Köln18558-320 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
11
B. M'gladbach18558-620 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
l
 
0-4A
Mar 14
12
Wolfsburg18549-1119 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 7
May 16
l
 
2-1A
13
W.Bremen17467-1318 
w
 
3-0F
May 16
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
14
Hamburg17458-1017 
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
Jan 23
w
 
0-2F
15
Augsburg184410-1516 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
16
Heidenheim183411-2213 
Feb 1
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
17
Mainz182610-1312 
Feb 13
w
 
0-2F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
18
St. Pauli173311-1512 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
8
St. Pauli have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Dortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
Dortmund1 - 0Köln
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund3 - 0Holstein
Dortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
Dortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
Dortmund3 - 1Mainz
Dortmund0 - 1Augsburg
Dortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
Dortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
Dortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
Dortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund1 - 1Bayern
Dortmund4 - 0Freiburg
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ADortmund1 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
ADortmund2 - 1Leverkusen
HDortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
ADortmund1 - 1Hamburg
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund3 - 3St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
HDortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg2 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz0 - 0St. Pauli
Köln1 - 1St. Pauli
Bayern3 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 2St. Pauli
W.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
Holstein1 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Wolfsburg1 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
Heidenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
VfL Bochum1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart0 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hamburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
ASt. Pauli2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli0 - 0W.Bremen
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 25 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their PG of 1.9 against FC St. Pauli on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Dortmund 2nd St. Pauli 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that St. Pauli will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Dortmund have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-28
St. Pauli have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
1.9
0.6
Attack rating
55%
better
BVB
STP
view stats
Games scored17
9
Failed to score0
7
Scored first15
3
Goals scored32
14
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+55%
Defence rating
50%
better
BVB
STP
view stats
Games conceded8
14
Clean sheets9
2
Conceded first2
12
Goals conceded15
28
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
20%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+50%

Dortmund v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18654
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonN Schlotterbeck
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK18
1
-
E Can DEF72
2
-
W Anton DEF161
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF1421
4
-
J Ryerson MID175
4
-
J Bellingham MID161
1
1
F Nmecha MID1823
-
D Svensson MID1811
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1852
3
-
J Brandt FWD1452
-
F Silva FWD124
1
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK
-
Y Couto DEF1213
4
-
N Süle DEF51
2
-
F. Mane DEF2
1
S Özcan MID4
-
C Chukwuemeka MID152
-
S Guirassy  FWD1762
2
-
M Beier FWD1652
2
-
J Duranville FWD
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17234
N VasiljE SmithJ FujitaA Dzwigala
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK17
-
A Dzwigala DEF1111
4
-
H Wahl DEF161
-
K Mets DEF11
1
-
A Pyrka MID14
3
-
J Sands MID161
3
-
E Smith MID1622
3
1
L Ritzka MID10
1
-
J Fujita FWD173
3
-
M Kaars FWD142
-
M Lage FWD172
2
-
Subs
E. Gazdov GLK
-
L. Oppie DEF171
-
J. Robatsch DEF
-
M Saliakas DEF81
2
-
F Stevens DEF
-
T Ando DEF1
-
A. Ceesay FWD11
2
-
O Afolayan FWD7
1
-
R Jade-Jones FWD52
1
-