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Borussia Dortmund v Holstein Kiel : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 14:30 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund are in Bundesliga action on Saturday afternoon, as Niko Kalliokoski aims to beat Marcel Rapp and his Holstein Kiel side at the Signal Iduna Park. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've searched our expansive database and dug out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Dortmund to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Bundesliga match, a bet on win / draw / win for Dortmund to win in front of their own fans is the way we would recommend bettors go. We predict they will be too strong for Holstein, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. There could be some bumps along the way, but Dortmund claiming victory is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.11.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
69%
1/9
5%
-
Draw
16%
9/1
25%
-
Holstein
15%
20/1
40%
-
Dortmund 2-1
9%
12/1
18%
-
Dortmund 3-1
8%
10/1
10%
-
Dortmund 2-0
7%
9/1
5%
-
Draw 1-1
6%
20/1
24%
-
Dortmund 3-0
6%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
25/1
24%
-
Dortmund 4-1
5%
11/1-
Dortmund 1-0
5%
18/1
27%
-
Dortmund 3-2
5%
22/1
10%
-
Dortmund 4-0
4%
17/2
14%
-
Holstein 2-1
4%
40/1
21%
-
Dortmund 4-2
3%
25/1-
Dortmund 5-1
3%
14/1
12%
-
Dortmund 5-0
2%
12/1
13%
-
Holstein 1-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
1/5
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
7/2
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
4/1
15%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
33/1-
BTTS - Yes
66%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
34%
19/20
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
42%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/1
18%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
22/1
21%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/66
2%
-
Away/draw
31%
11/2
30%
-
Home/away
84%
1/16
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/20
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
10/1
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
1/2
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
13/8
14%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
36%
11/10
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
64%
8/11
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
12/5
9%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
1/3
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/200-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
33/1-
Home DNB
80%
1/40
2%
-
Away DNB
26%
16/1
31%
-
Dortmund win to nil
27%
11/10
7%
-
Holstein win to nil
5%
33/1
31%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
59%
2/5
7%
-
Dortmund / Holstein
2%
50/1
24%
-
Dortmund / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
-
Draw / Dortmund
19%
10/3-
Draw / Holstein
2%
40/1
41%
-
Draw / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Holstein / Dortmund
6%
14/1-
Holstein / Holstein
2%
33/1
31%
-
Holstein / Draw
2%
33/1
31%
-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Dortmund have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 4 and lost 9 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Dortmund have outscored their opponents by 68 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Dortmund have played 16 games at home winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 19 goals at home.

Holstein are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 25 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 36 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 25 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

31 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Holstein have conceded 73 goals, scored 45, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Holstein
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3324726379 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-6A
l
 
4-3A
2
Leverkusen33191132968 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
2-4A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
3
E.Frankfurt3316982057 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
4
Freiburg3316710-255 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-2A
5
Dortmund Home33166111754 
-
-
w
 
4-2F
May 17
6
Mainz33149101251 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1F
7
RB Leipzig3313128651 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1F
8
W.Bremen3313911-648 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
9
Stuttgart33138121047 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
10
B. M'gladbach3313614-145 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-3F
l
 
4-1A
11
Augsburg33111012-1543 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
5-1A
w
 
1-3F
12
Wolfsburg33101013140 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
13
Union Berlin3391014-1737 
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
14
St. Pauli338817-1132 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1A
15
Hoffenheim3371115-1832 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
16
Heidenheim338520-2429 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
17
Holstein Away336720-2825 
May 17
l
 
4-2A
-
-
18
VfL Bochum335721-3622 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Dortmund have won 3 consecutive home league games
Dortmund 5TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Holstein 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Dortmund 5th Holstein 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Holstein will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Dortmund have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Holstein have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283715/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Holstein
2.7
1.2
Attack rating
18%
better
BVB
SVE
view stats
Games scored28
27
Failed to score5
6
Scored first18
12
Goals scored68
49
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for1.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
26%
better
BVB
SVE
view stats
Games conceded27
31
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first14
21
Goals conceded51
77
Avg. goals conceded1.5
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
20%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+26%

Dortmund v Holstein Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3120108
G KobelS Guirassy P GroßN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK31
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD3183
3
-
R Bensebaini DEF3016
6
-
P Groß MID3010
5
1
E Can MID3031
4
1
J Brandt MID2959
1
-
M Beier FWD2985
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD29204
4
-
J Ryerson DEF2823
5
1
W Anton DEF2522
4
-
M Sabitzer  MID251
2
-
F Nmecha MID2531
3
-
K Adeyemi  FWD2477
4
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF234
6
2
Y Couto DEF21
5
-
G Reyna MID152
3
-
N Süle DEF14
1
-
D Svensson DEF1112
-
S Özcan MID11
-
J Duranville FWD11
3
-
C Chukwuemeka MID91
1
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF5
1
1
W Campbell FWD4
-
A Meyer GLK2
-
K. Wätjen MID2
-
Holstein Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2711510
T BeckerS MachinoS SkrzybskiN Remberg
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gigovic MID3151
5
-
N Remberg MID311
10
-
S Machino FWD31113
2
-
M Knudsen MID301
7
-
F Porath MID3023
3
-
T Becker DEF292
2
-
T Weiner GLK25
4
-
L Rosenboom DEF2522
4
-
P Harres FWD2581
3
-
L Holtby MID241
1
1
S Skrzybski MID2365
-
F Arp FWD232
7
1
M Ivezic DEF22
5
-
M Komenda  DEF19
3
-
M Geschwill DEF1812
2
-
B Pichler FWD1812
1
-
A Bernhardsson FWD1872
3
-
D Zec DEF172
5
-
D Javorcek  DEF132
3
-
M Schulz MID12
3
-
J Tolkin DEF102
-
P Erras MID101
2
-
C Johansson DEF9
-
T Dähne  GLK8
-
A. Kelati MID811
1
1
I. Nekić DEF1
-