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FC St. Pauli v Bayern Munich : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Alexander Blessin welcomes Vincent Kompany to the Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday evening, as their FC St. Pauli and Bayern Munich troops meet in the Bundesliga. In this preview you'll find odds for the 17 biggest betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head-to-head data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v Heidenheim at 14:30 on Saturday 25th April
Bayern Munich's next match is v Mainz at 14:30 on Saturday 25th April
The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and Bayern was on Saturday 11th April 2026
German Bundesliga
April 11th 2026
St. Pauli 0
5 Bayern
 
9' J. Musiala
53' L. Goretzka
54' M. Olise
65' N. Jackson
88' R. Guerreiro
 
STP
FCB
Shots On
3
8
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
3
4
Possession
23%
77%
Fouls
9
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
St. PauliBayern
 
K. Mets
H. Wahl
A. Pyrka
T. Ando
D. Sinani
J. Fujita (C. Metcalfe 66')
N. Vasilj
L. Ritzka (L. Oppie 77')
M. Rasmussen
A. Hountondji (M. Kaars 77')
M. Pereira Lage (T. Hara 88')
M. Neuer
M. Kim
(A. Davies 59') J. Kimmich
football iconL. Goretzka
(B. Sapoko Ndiaye 84') football iconJ. Musiala
football iconN. Jackson
(J. Tah 67') H. Ito
(J. Stanisic 58') K. Laimer
T. Bischof
football iconR. Guerreiro
(L. Díaz Marulanda 59') football iconM. Olise

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

We could well see a packed Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday evening but, unfortunately, we predict a high percentage of those in attendance will be gutted come full time. The statistics below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Bayern getting the better of hosts St. Pauli. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Alexander Blessin but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookie odds of 1.33 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 68% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
14%
6/1
25%
1/50
6%
Draw
18%
4/1
17%
1/50
4%
Bayern
68%
2/5
9%
1/50
4%
Bayern 2-0
10%
15/2
7%
3/1
Bayern 2-1
10%
8/1
10%
6/1
Bayern 1-0
9%
9/119/5
Draw 1-1
8%
17/2
14%
7/1
5%
Bayern 3-0
8%
9/1
13%
23/10
6%
Bayern 3-1
7%
10/113/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
19%
16/1
12%
Bayern 4-0
5%
14/1
36%
1/3
9%
Bayern 4-1
4%
16/1
13%
10/1
St. Pauli 2-1
4%
20/1
21%
22/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
11%
16/1
St. Pauli 1-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Bayern 3-2
4%
20/1
12%
25/1
11%
Bayern 5-0
2%
28/1
37%
17/5
12%
Bayern 4-2
2%
28/180/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1/2
4%
3/4
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
13/8
4%
1/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
40%
2/1
10%
12/5
4%
Away 1st Goal
58%
4/11
3%
1/3
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
11%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/6
8%
16/1
1%
BTTS - No
45%
11/10
8%
1/200
3%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
10/1
21%
1/50
8%
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/2
20%
1/50
8%
BTTS - Away Win
33%
13/88/1
Home/draw
32%
7/4
19%
1/50
6%
Away/draw
86%
1/10
2%
1/50
1%
Home/away
82%
1/6
4%
1/50
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/72/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
11/10
5%
3/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/11
3%
23/10
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
11/4
7%
21/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
1/3
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
11/27/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/91/16
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
11%
16/1
Home DNB
27%
9/2
30%
1/50
8%
Away DNB
80%
1/7
4%
1/50
2%
St. Pauli win to nil
6%
14/1
11%
-
Bayern win to nil
35%
13/8
13%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
7%
12/1
29%
100/1
St. Pauli / Bayern
5%
16/1
11%
100/1
St. Pauli / Draw
4%
18/1
17%
125/1
Draw / St. Pauli
5%
14/1
10%
40/1
Draw / Bayern
18%
10/320/1
3%
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
11%
28/1
6%
Bayern / St. Pauli
2%
33/116/1
17%
Bayern / Bayern
42%
1/1
14%
1/6
3%
Bayern / Draw
5%
16/1
19%
6/1
12%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 7 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 42 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 11 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Bayern lay in 1st place on 73 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 28 matches. Bayern are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 100 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 27 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 14 away games, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 3.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Bayern
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3025418079 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
3-1F
-
-
2
Dortmund3019743064 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3A
3
RB Leipzig3018572259 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-5A
4
Stuttgart3017582056 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-5F
5
Hoffenheim3016681554 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-4F
6
Leverkusen3015781952 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
7
Freiburg3012711-443 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
6-2A
w
 
2-3A
8
E.Frankfurt3011910-242 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
9
Augsburg3010614-1636 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
w
 
2-3F
10
Mainz3081012-934 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
11
Union Berlin308814-1832 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Köln3071013-731 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 16
w
 
1-3A
13
B. M'gladbach3071013-1431 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
14
Hamburg3071013-1531 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2A
15
W.Bremen308715-1831 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
St. Pauli306816-2526 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-5F
17
Wolfsburg306618-2524 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
w
 
8-1F
May 9
18
Heidenheim304719-3319 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
May 2
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
St. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
St. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Union Berlin
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli2 - 1W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli0 - 4Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Augsburg
HSt. Pauli1 - 1RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg2 - 3Bayern
Leverkusen1 - 1Bayern
Dortmund2 - 3Bayern
W.Bremen0 - 3Bayern
Hamburg2 - 2Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
Köln1 - 3Bayern
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Stuttgart0 - 5Bayern
Union Berlin2 - 2Bayern
B. M'gladbach0 - 3Bayern
E.Frankfurt0 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim1 - 4Bayern
Augsburg2 - 3Bayern
Hoffenheim0 - 4Bayern
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
Heidenheim0 - 4Bayern
Augsburg1 - 3Bayern
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Stuttgart1 - 3Bayern
Goals: Scored
70
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern3 - 2Freiburg
HBayern4 - 0Union Berlin
ABayern1 - 1Leverkusen
HBayern4 - 1B. M'gladbach
ABayern3 - 2Dortmund
HBayern3 - 2E.Frankfurt
ABayern3 - 0W.Bremen
HBayern5 - 1Hoffenheim
ABayern2 - 2Hamburg
HBayern1 - 2Augsburg
ABayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
ABayern3 - 1Köln
HBayern8 - 1Wolfsburg
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Mainz
ABayern5 - 0Stuttgart
HBayern3 - 1St. Pauli
HBayern6 - 2Freiburg
ABayern2 - 2Union Berlin
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for FC St. Pauli of late. It has been 5 Bundesliga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Bayern Munich.

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

St. Pauli 16th Bayern 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-38
St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
Bayern have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
3.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1
2.3
Attack rating
STP
FCB
59%
better
view stats
Games scored17
28
Failed to score11
0
Scored first9
19
Goals scored25
100
Avg. goals scored0.9
3.6
Avg. shots per game7
14
Avg. shots per goal8
4
Conversion rate for13
25
Avg. XG for1
2.7
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
STP
FCB
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
18
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first16
9
Goals conceded45
27
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+31%

St. Pauli v Bayern Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30535
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaJ Fujita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK30
-
T Ando DEF111
3
-
H Wahl DEF2621
1
-
K Mets DEF211
2
-
A Pyrka MID271
3
-
J Fujita MID2813
5
-
M Rasmussen MID9
-
L Ritzka MID18
1
-
D Sinani FWD2753
4
-
M Lage FWD2822
4
-
A Hountondji FWD174
2
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
D Nemeth  DEF
-
L. Oppie DEF211
-
A Dzwigala DEF1711
5
-
J. Robatsch DEF
-
C Metcalfe MID211
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD16
2
-
T Hara FWD3
-
M Kaars FWD253
1
-
Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2532187
L Díaz H KaneM OliseL Díaz 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK21
-
K Laimer DEF2536
6
-
M Kim DEF2211
1
-
H Ito DEF1313
-
T Bischof DEF2424
2
-
J Kimmich MID2626
4
-
L Goretzka MID2733
4
-
M Olise MID281218
6
-
J Musiala MID1124
1
-
R Guerreiro MID1652
-
N Jackson FWD1961
1
1
Subs
J Urbig GLK10
-
D Upamecano DEF2211
4
-
J Tah DEF2422
5
-
A Davies DEF1112
1
-
J Stanisic DEF2223
1
-
A Pavlović MID2231
2
-
L Díaz  FWD281513
6
1
H Kane FWD27325
1
-