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FC St. Pauli v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 15th Feb, 14:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Sport-Club Freiburg, led by manager Julian Schuster, visit Alexander Blessin and his FC St. Pauli side at the Millerntor-Stadion on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
43%
2.55
2%
2.50
2%
Draw
27%
3.20
3%
3.20
14%
Freiburg
30%
2.90
5%
2.90
11%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
8%
St. Pauli 1-0
12%
7.50
21%
7.00
13%
Freiburg 1-0
9%
8.00
20%
7.50
12%
Draw 0-0
9%
8.00
27%
7.50
25%
St. Pauli 2-1
9%
10.009.00
6%
St. Pauli 2-0
8%
12.00
8%
10.00
9%
Freiburg 2-1
7%
11.00
10%
9.50
6%
Freiburg 2-0
5%
13.00
13%
12.00
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
St. Pauli 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
St. Pauli 3-0
4%
23.0019.00
Freiburg 3-1
2%
23.00
10%
19.00
27%
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
34.00
31%
23.00
21%
Freiburg 3-0
2%
29.0023.00
21%
Freiburg 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
2.20
15%
2.10
17%
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
1.67
13%
1.70
13%
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.83-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.20
5%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8.00
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.91
14%
1.85
9%
BTTS - No
51%
1.91
9%
1.85
12%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.50
16%
4.80
9%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
4%
4.33
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6.00
20%
5.50
20%
Home/draw
70%
1.401.40
5%
Away/draw
57%
1.501.53
Home/away
73%
1.36
2%
1.33
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1.40
9%
1.36
9%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
3.00
20%
2.90
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
4.00
25%
3.60
24%
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1.25
8%
1.25
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8.00
33%
7.00
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.08
4%
1.08
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
19.00
46%
15.00
36%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.02
2%
1.02
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.08
3%
1.07
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8.00
27%
7.50
25%
Home DNB
62%
1.73
4%
1.73
4%
Away DNB
49%
2.00
5%
2.00
5%
St. Pauli win to nil
25%
4.00
11%
-
Freiburg win to nil
17%
4.50
10%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
20%
4.33
8%
3.90
4%
St. Pauli / Freiburg
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / St. Pauli
14%
6.005.50
4%
Draw / Freiburg
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Draw
18%
4.75
14%
4.40
16%
Freiburg / St. Pauli
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Freiburg / Freiburg
17%
4.75
6%
4.50
13%
Freiburg / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 3. St. Pauli have conceded 20 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 6th place on 33 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 11 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2117314654 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
2
Leverkusen2113712246 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
May 3
l
 
5-1A
3
E.Frankfurt2111641839 
l
 
0-1A
May 10
May 17
l
 
4-1F
4
RB Leipzig211065736 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
Mar 8
l
 
3-1F
5
Stuttgart211056835 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
4-0A
6
Freiburg Away211038-833 
Feb 15
w
 
0-3F
-
-
7
Mainz21957932 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
8
B. M'gladbach21948231 
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
9
Wolfsburg21867830 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
10
W.Bremen21867-530 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
Feb 21
w
 
0-1F
11
Dortmund21858129 
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
Apr 5
l
 
4-0A
12
Augsburg21768-1127 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 2
13
Union Berlin21669-724 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Mar 30
d
 
0-00-0
14
St. Pauli Home216312-621 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Feb 15
15
Hoffenheim214611-1818 
Mar 14
w
 
0-2F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
16
Heidenheim214215-1814 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
17
Holstein213414-2113 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-2F
May 10
18
VfL Bochum212514-2711 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Freiburg 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goal Statistics

FC St. Pauli's defensive record is to be admired, Alexander Blessin's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Sport-Club Freiburg makes sense in this context.

St. Pauli 14th Freiburg 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
St. Pauli have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Freiburg have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283613/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
STP
SCF
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STP
SCF
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

St. Pauli v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21555
N VasiljM GuilavoguiJ IrvineE Smith
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK21
-
H Wahl DEF21
-
J Irvine MID215
2
-
P Treu DEF201
1
-
O Afolayan FWD2021
2
-
M Saliakas DEF191
3
-
E Smith MID191
5
-
J Eggestein FWD1934
3
-
C Boukhalfa MID181
-
M Guilavogui FWD1851
5
-
D Sinani FWD1411
2
-
A Albers FWD131
-
D Nemeth  DEF11
-
A Dzwigala DEF11
2
1
L Ritzka DEF11
1
-
K Mets DEF10
1
-
S Banks FWD10
1
-
R Wagner MID8
1
-
E Saad FWD822
1
-
J Sands MID6
1
-
N Weißhaupt FWD6
-
E Ahlstrand MID5
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
A. Ceesay FWD3
-
S Heyden DEF2
1
-
F Stevens DEF1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20685
R DoanR DoanV GrifoL Kübler
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Doan FWD2165
1
-
V Grifo FWD2168
2
-
M Ginter DEF202
2
-
C Günter DEF2021
-
M Eggestein MID20
3
-
P Lienhart DEF191
4
-
L Kübler DEF194
5
-
L Höler FWD1923
1
-
N Atubolu GLK18
2
-
P Osterhage MID18
4
1
M Rosenfelder DEF17
1
-
E Dinkçi FWD172
-
C Adamu FWD1622
2
1
N Höfler MID15
3
-
M Röhl MID131
1
-
M Gregoritsch FWD1313
3
-
J Makengo DEF11
1
-
K Sildillia DEF101
1
-
F Muslija MID9
-
F Müller GLK3
-
J. Manzambi MID3
-
B. Ogbus DEF2
-
M Philipp FWD2
-
J Beste FWD1
-