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FC St. Pauli v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

the Millerntor-Stadion plays host on Friday evening, as Alexander Blessin's FC St. Pauli welcome Christian Streich's TSG 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. All the odds are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v Bayern at 14:30 on Saturday 29th March
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's next match is v Augsburg at 14:30 on Saturday 29th March
The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim was on Friday 14th March 2025
German Bundesliga
March 14th 2025
St. Pauli 1
0 Hoffenheim
 
N. Weißhaupt 51'
 
STP
TSG
Shots On
5
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
11
2
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
6
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
St. PauliHoffenheim
 
N. Vasilj
M. Saliakas
P. Treu
S. Van der Heyden (L. Ritzka 73')
D. Nemeth
H. Wahl
E. Smith
J. Irvine
D. Sinani (C. Boukhalfa 86')
N. Weißhauptfootball icon (O. Afolayan 73')
E. Saad (J. Eggestein 73')
O. Baumann
K. Akpoguma
(E. Yardımcı 85') D. Jurásek
L. Skiri Oestigaard
(V. Gendrey 71') P. Kadeřábek
A. Stach
(M. Bülter 57') U. Tohumcu
(B. Touré 71') F. Becker
T. Bischof
A. Kramarić
(H. Tabakovic 57') G. Orban

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by St. Pauli and Hoffenheim combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and we think there's a 80% chance of it being right on the money. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
37%
5/45/4
Draw
28%
9/4
2%
11/5
6%
Hoffenheim
35%
23/10
6%
23/10
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
12%
St. Pauli 1-0
12%
13/2
12%
6/1
13%
Hoffenheim 1-0
11%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Draw 0-0
10%
15/2
23%
13/2
21%
St. Pauli 2-1
8%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Hoffenheim 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
St. Pauli 2-0
7%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
Hoffenheim 2-0
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
St. Pauli 3-1
3%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Hoffenheim 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
St. Pauli 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Hoffenheim 3-0
2%
33/125/1
13%
St. Pauli 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Hoffenheim 3-2
2%
40/1
41%
25/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
11/10
10%
21/20
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
8/11
9%
7/10
11%
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/8
6%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5
6%
5/6
10%
BTTS - No
54%
19/20
5%
10/11
9%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
15/4
10%
7/2
13%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/310/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1
17%
5/1
14%
Home/draw
65%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Away/draw
63%
8/138/13
Home/away
72%
1/37/20
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4/11
5%
7/20
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
11/5
15%
2/1
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
3/1
25%
13/5
20%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/4
8%
1/4
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/1
33%
6/1
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/12
4%
1/12
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
31%
12/1
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
1/40
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/14
2%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/1
18%
13/2
21%
Home DNB
57%
4/7
3%
4/7
3%
Away DNB
54%
5/4
2%
5/4
5%
St. Pauli win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
-
Hoffenheim win to nil
21%
9/2-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
22%
11/413/5
3%
St. Pauli / Hoffenheim
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / St. Pauli
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Hoffenheim
12%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/4
14%
10/3
13%
Hoffenheim / St. Pauli
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
9%
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

21 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 4. St. Pauli have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 14 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Hoffenheim lay in 14th place on 26 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hoffenheim have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Hoffenheim have played 12 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2619525162 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 29
May 17
l
 
5-0A
2
Leverkusen2616822656 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-1A
3
Mainz2613671645 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
4
E.Frankfurt2613671445 
l
 
0-1A
May 11
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1A
5
RB Leipzig261196842 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-3A
Apr 5
6
Freiburg261268-242 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
7
B. M'gladbach2612410340 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 3
8
Wolfsburg261088938 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
May 9
9
Augsburg261088-638 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
10
Stuttgart261079437 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
11
Dortmund2610511435 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 26
d
 
1-1A
12
W.Bremen269611-1333 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 27
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-3A
13
Union Berlin267712-1428 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1A
14
Hoffenheim Away266812-1626 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
15
St. Pauli Home267415-1025 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
16
Heidenheim265417-2119 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
VfL Bochum264616-2718 
May 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
18
Holstein264517-2617 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
St. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
St. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
St. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
St. Pauli2 - 1Paderborn
St. Pauli2 - 0H.Berlin
St. Pauli1 - 0E. Braun
St. Pauli3 - 2Greuther
St. Pauli2 - 0Kaiserslautern
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Wolfsburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Mainz
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1VfL Bochum
HSt. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
HSt. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
ASt. Pauli0 - 2B. M'gladbach
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hoffenheim
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
Hoffenheim 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
VfL Bochum0 - 1Hoffenheim
W.Bremen1 - 3Hoffenheim
Leverkusen3 - 1Hoffenheim
Holstein1 - 3Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Dortmund1 - 1Hoffenheim
Mainz2 - 0Hoffenheim
Augsburg0 - 0Hoffenheim
Heidenheim0 - 0Hoffenheim
Stuttgart1 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Darmstadt0 - 6Hoffenheim
VfL Bochum3 - 2Hoffenheim
Mainz4 - 1Hoffenheim
Leverkusen2 - 1Hoffenheim
E.Frankfurt3 - 1Hoffenheim
Dortmund2 - 3Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg2 - 2Hoffenheim
Freiburg3 - 2Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHoffenheim1 - 1Heidenheim
AHoffenheim1 - 0VfL Bochum
HHoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
AHoffenheim3 - 1W.Bremen
HHoffenheim0 - 4Union Berlin
AHoffenheim1 - 3Leverkusen
HHoffenheim2 - 2E.Frankfurt
AHoffenheim3 - 1Holstein
AHoffenheim0 - 5Bayern
HHoffenheim0 - 1Wolfsburg
HHoffenheim1 - 2B. M'gladbach
AHoffenheim1 - 1Dortmund
HHoffenheim1 - 1Freiburg
AHoffenheim0 - 2Mainz
HHoffenheim4 - 3RB Leipzig
AHoffenheim0 - 0Augsburg
HHoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
AHoffenheim0 - 0Heidenheim
HHoffenheim3 - 1VfL Bochum
AHoffenheim1 - 1Stuttgart
Goal Statistics
St. Pauli 15th Hoffenheim 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-24
St. Pauli have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted
+17
Hoffenheim have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283651/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
STP
TSG
26%
better
view stats
Games scored11
18
Failed to score14
7
Scored first8
7
Goals scored19
32
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate for10
13
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
27%
better
STP
TSG
view stats
Games conceded18
22
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first15
16
Goals conceded30
47
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+27%

St. Pauli v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26365
N VasiljJ EggesteinJ IrvineE Smith
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK26
-
D Nemeth  DEF16
2
-
H Wahl DEF26
-
S Heyden DEF71
2
-
M Saliakas MID221
3
-
J Irvine MID266
2
-
E Smith MID241
5
-
P Treu MID252
2
-
D Sinani FWD1811
2
-
N Weißhaupt FWD111
-
E Saad FWD1322
1
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
L Ritzka DEF16
1
-
A Dzwigala DEF12
2
1
C Boukhalfa MID201
-
C Metcalfe MID4
-
J Eggestein FWD2434
3
-
O Afolayan FWD2521
2
-
S Banks FWD11
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD6
1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24766
A KramaricA KramaricA KramaricA Stach
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK21
-
P Kaderabek DEF18
5
-
K Akpoguma DEF25
2
-
L Østigård DEF5
-
D Jurásek DEF10
-
F Becker MID91
1
-
A Stach MID2211
6
-
U Tohumcu MID91
2
-
T Bischof MID2442
3
-
A Kramaric FWD2476
3
-
G Orban FWD104
1
-
Subs
L Philipp GLK5
-
R Hranáč DEF4
-
V Gendrey DEF1811
1
-
S Nsoki DEF16
1
D Geiger MID14
4
-
M Bülter FWD1741
3
-
H Tabakovic FWD1521
-
B. Touré FWD5
-
E Yardımcı FWD7
2
-