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FC St. Pauli v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

We’ve Bundesliga action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Alexander Blessin and his FC St. Pauli side host Ole Werner’s RB Leipzig at the Millerntor-Stadion. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v Leverkusen at 14:30 on Saturday 14th February
RB Leipzig's next match is v Köln at 14:30 on Sunday 8th February
The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and RB Leipzig was on Tuesday 27th January 2026
German Bundesliga
January 27th 2026
St. Pauli 1
1 RB Leipzig
 
M. Kaars 90'66' Y. Diomande
 
STP
RBL
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
4
3
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
6
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
St. PauliRB Leipzig
 
M. Saliakas (A. Ceesay 87')
K. Mets
H. Wahl
E. Smith
A. Pyrka
J. Sands (J. Irvine 77')
D. Sinani (M. Pereira Lage 76')
T. Ando
N. Vasilj
J. Fujita (M. Rasmussen 77')
R. Jade-Jones (M. Kaars 67')
P. Gulácsi
W. Orban
E. Bitshiabu
R. Baku
N. Seiwald
(E. Banzuzi 85') C. Baumgartner
(T. Gomis 85') A. Nordby Nusa
D. Raum
X. Schlager
(C. Harder 64') R. Cardoso da Cruz
(B. Henrichs 90') football iconY. Diomande

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that St. Pauli and RB Leipzig will score 2 or more goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Alexander Blessin or Ole Werner has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of RB Leipzig coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
25%
15/4
14%
28/1
3%
Draw
24%
13/51/50
9%
RB Leipzig
51%
3/4
8%
18/1
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/217/2
RB Leipzig 1-0
10%
11/2
6%
1/6
6%
RB Leipzig 2-1
10%
15/240/1
RB Leipzig 2-0
9%
7/1
5%
7/1
6%
St. Pauli 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
11/2
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
16/1
8%
80/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/211/8
10%
RB Leipzig 3-1
6%
14/1
13%
200/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1150/1
9%
RB Leipzig 3-0
5%
12/1
12%
55/1
St. Pauli 2-0
4%
22/1
11%
22/1
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
28/1200/1
12%
RB Leipzig 4-1
2%
28/1200/1
St. Pauli 3-1
2%
40/1
17%
150/1
RB Leipzig 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
250/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1
4%
25/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5
5%
1/1000
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
13/8
4%
29/10
2%
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
13/10
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
17/211/8
10%
BTTS - Yes
55%
19/20
2%
8/1
3%
BTTS - No
45%
4/5
2%
1/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/1
15%
60/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
17/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/1
4%
33/1
Home/draw
49%
1/1
8%
17/2
7%
Away/draw
75%
2/11
5%
1/1000
Home/away
76%
2/71/25
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/3
2%
18/5
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/5
8%
1/6
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/2
8%
90/1
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/10
3%
1/300
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
6/1
9%
1/50
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/10
3%
1/50
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/11/50
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/331/50
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/168/15
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17/211/8
10%
Home DNB
42%
5/2
14%
60/1
5%
Away DNB
68%
2/7
6%
1/1000
3%
St. Pauli win to nil
12%
7/1
14%
-
RB Leipzig win to nil
27%
7/4
3%
-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
11%
7/1
17%
16/1
St. Pauli / RB Leipzig
4%
22/128/1
St. Pauli / Draw
5%
16/122/1
8%
Draw / St. Pauli
9%
17/2
13%
5/1
6%
Draw / RB Leipzig
17%
7/213/8
Draw / Draw
16%
9/217/10
10%
RB Leipzig / St. Pauli
2%
40/1
17%
45/1
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
30%
7/4
7%
6/1
6%
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 4 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 30 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 8 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

RB Leipzig lay in 5th place on 35 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. RB Leipzig have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

RB Leipzig have played 9 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2016315651 
Apr 11
l
 
3-1F
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
2
Dortmund2114612348 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-2A
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
3
Hoffenheim2013342042 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 28
Mar 20
l
 
3-1F
4
Stuttgart2112361039 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
5
Leverkusen2011361236 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
l
 
1-3F
May 2
6
RB Leipzig2011361136 
d
 
1-1A
May 9
-
-
7
Freiburg21867-130 
Mar 22
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 16
8
E.Frankfurt21777-528 
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
w
 
6-0F
Apr 18
9
Union Berlin21678-825 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
10
Köln20659-323 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Hamburg20578-822 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
12
B. M'gladbach21579-922 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 13
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
13
Augsburg216411-1522 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1F
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
14
Mainz215610-821 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
15
Wolfsburg215412-1519 
May 16
l
 
2-1A
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
16
W.Bremen214710-1719 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
17
St. Pauli214512-1517 
-
-
May 9
d
 
1-1F
18
Heidenheim213414-2813 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
St. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
St. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
St. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli0 - 0Hamburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Dortmund
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Wolfsburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 0Mainz
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Köln
ASt. Pauli1 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hamburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
ASt. Pauli2 - 2E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim0 - 3RB Leipzig
Union Berlin3 - 1RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach0 - 0RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim3 - 1RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 6RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg0 - 1RB Leipzig
Mainz0 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
W.Bremen0 - 0RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt4 - 0RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg2 - 3RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach1 - 0RB Leipzig
Freiburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Augsburg0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum3 - 3RB Leipzig
Stuttgart2 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Holstein0 - 2RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
ARB Leipzig0 - 6Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig0 - 0W.Bremen
Goal Statistics

RB Leipzig have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.7 against FC St. Pauli on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

St. Pauli 16th RB Leipzig 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-33
St. Pauli have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted
-23
RB Leipzig have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
RB Leipzig
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
STP
RBL
49%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score8
2
Scored first3
15
Goals scored16
36
Avg. goals scored0.9
2
Avg. shots per game7
12
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
17
Avg. XG for0.9
2.1
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
STP
RBL
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
9
Clean sheets3
9
Conceded first13
2
Goals conceded31
24
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against21%
15%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+37%

St. Pauli v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21434
N VasiljD SinaniJ FujitaJ Sands
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK21
-
T Ando DEF4
-
H Wahl DEF181
-
K Mets DEF15
1
-
A Pyrka MID181
3
-
J Sands MID201
4
-
E Smith MID1922
3
1
M Saliakas MID1111
2
-
J Fujita FWD203
3
-
D Sinani FWD1842
2
-
R Jade-Jones FWD82
1
-
Subs
B Voll GLK
-
L Ritzka DEF11
1
-
L. Oppie DEF181
-
J. Robatsch DEF
-
J Irvine MID12
-
M Rasmussen MID3
-
M Lage MID202
2
-
A. Ceesay FWD13
2
-
M Kaars FWD183
-
RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20774
P Gulácsi Y. DiomandeC BaumgartnerD Raum
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK20
-
R Baku DEF1812
3
-
W Orbán DEF201
2
-
E Bitshiabu DEF7
-
D Raum DEF2033
4
-
X Schlager MID1621
2
-
C Baumgartner MID1967
4
-
N Seiwald MID202
1
-
Y. Diomande FWD1974
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1664
-
A Nusa FWD1722
-
Subs
M Vandevoordt GLK
-
M Finkgräfe DEF3
-
B Henrichs DEF3
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
E Banzuzi MID171
2
-
A. Maksimović MID8
-
C Harder FWD1722
3
-
T. Gomis FWD121
-